And in the elimination of chicken as well as the egg market, the market trend is different, in which the egg price showed strong running trend, but, with the market demand gradually receding, the market warning escalation, the egg price has a high retracement of the expected.
In the grain market, after the year, corn storage difficulty steeply, North China as well as the Yellow River and Huaihuai, etc., the amount of corn on the poor loose, superimposed, directed rice auction storm, spot corn pressure, prices continue to go down.
In the wheat market, wheat prices or return to the same period last year's "high light", after all, by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the first half of last year, the domestic spot wheat prices rose three times more than 1.7 yuan / kg!
So, what happened in the market, today we focus on analyzing!
In the cull chicken market, in January, supported by the Spring Festival holiday, consumer demand boost, cull chicken prices rose and then stabilized, the average price continued the weak trend, which, in January, the average price of domestic cull chickens is only 4.58 yuan / catty, a drop of 14.9%.
It is understood that, by the New Year's Day, the Spring Festival period, the holiday consumption favorable support, the rural bazaar purchase and sale of active, increased orders of the slaughtering enterprises, before the Spring Festival, the market of old chicken elimination increased, but, into the post-holiday market, the inertia of the demand fell back, the breeding side of the old chicken out of the cycle shifted ahead of the end of the month to phase out the size of the reduction in the sale of the downturn in the purchase and sale of the price of the main sideways! According to institutional analysis, in January, the old chicken out of the general age of 543 days, in the institutional sample monitoring of the 11 production areas, the old chicken out of the scale reached 1.96 million, up 14% from the previous year, it can be seen, the holiday effect pulled the market demand, supported the rebound of the elimination of chicken prices!
Entering February, theoretically, the old chicken out of the scale of more than 21 years in September to October, replenishment of chickens, the old chicken out of the pressure is still greater, but, by the elimination of more pre-holiday, post-holiday egg prices to maintain the trend of high, farmers elimination of the enthusiasm or will be poor! However, due to the inertia of the post-holiday demand back down, the market for meat products just insufficient, into February, elimination of chicken prices or will maintain the trend of sideways oscillation, the price lacks the basis for a significant decline!
And in the egg market, according to the recent 5 years before and after the Spring Festival, the trend of egg prices, after the year egg prices fell by more than 10%, which is also in line with expectations, but, since last year, farmers are subject to corn, soybean meal prices are high, chickens replenishment of heat bias, by the laying of insufficient stock of chickens, at the end of the month of January, the domestic by the laying of egg stocks of 1,177 million chickens, is still in the lowest level of the last five years, farms Egg inventory pressure is weak, superimposed on the breeding cost is higher, the mood of the price is strong, the bottom of the egg price support is strong!
And with the resumption of work in all sectors, the terminal market after the festival appeared to focus on replenishment demand, by the market production and marketing of all segments of the inventory is low, traders take stock of the high mood, recently, the trend of the egg price is strong, the price gradually rushed up to 4.58 yuan / kg or so! However, with the end of the terminal market stocking up into the end, downstream demand is still in the off-season, the momentum of residential household consumption deviation, the domestic production and marketing market, egg prices into the sideways consolidation of the stage!
Individuals believe that, for the month of February, the trend of egg prices, due to the high cost of farming, egg inventory pressure is not large, although, the weak demand for residential households, however, with the gradual improvement of the demand for grouping, in particular, the students back to school, migrant workers back to their homes, consumption support still exists, although the egg price is expected to have weak adjustments, however, downward adjustments or will be limited, individuals believe that, in February, domestic Production and marketing market, egg prices roughly horizontal at 4.2 ~ 4.6 yuan / catty or so!
In the wheat market, as we all know, in the first half of last year, wheat prices hit record highs, some of the factory listed offer rose above 1.7 yuan/catty! And caused the first half of last year, wheat prices soaring factors, on the one hand, by the wheat feeding scale increased dramatically, the beginning of the grassroots residual grain shortage, the supply is obviously tight; on the other hand, by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the international grain prices rose sharply, the domestic wheat market continues to follow, which also appeared in the wheat historic high!
But, in February this year, the wheat market is difficult to return to the "high light"!
On the one hand, 22 years of wheat prices high, wheat and corn prices appear inverted performance, wheat lacks the basis of feeding, grain enterprises focused on flour mills, and by the restrictions of the mask problem as well as changes in eating habits of residents, pasta demand for weakening, since last year's three and four quarters, flour consumption deviation, some small and medium-sized flour enterprises perennial maintenance of low operating rate, which also causes At this stage, domestic spot wheat supply is relatively loose! According to institutional data to understand, 22/23 years of new wheat supply 147 million tons, an increase of 820,000 tons, the total wheat consumption of 127.7 million tons, a year-on-year reduction of 18.69 million tons, wheat supply balance of up to 19.57 million tons!
On the other hand, in the short term, flour demand into the off-season, and wheat reserves as well as the minimum purchase price of wheat continued to auction, around the rotation of wheat has also increased the performance of the market, the supply pressure still exists, a preliminary estimate of the domestic storage of wheat stocks is still 40 million tons, and the storage of wheat transaction price will also become the domestic spot wheat prices, "wind vane! "
The supply pressure still exists!
So, based on multiple factors, in February, wheat prices or will be weak sideways, enterprise offer hovering at 1.58 ~ 1.63 yuan / catty, but, due to the high price of wheat trader storage, grass-roots residual grain is gradually reduced, the downward space of wheat prices is limited!
Warning upgrade! February knockout chicken, egg prices are weak, wheat prices are difficult to return to the "high light"! In this regard, how do we see it? The above is the author's personal views, pictures from the network!