With the development of the current drought, the expectation of Pu 'er tea in the market is rising again, and the appreciation price is also changing quietly. Whether Pu 'er tea will be as popular as it was a few years ago is unknown, but the value of Pu 'er tea has fluctuated greatly in recent years, which has worried many market participants.
According to media reports, the Pu 'er tea craze in the inland market began in 2002. At the Guangzhou Tea Expo in 2005, Deli old Pu 'er tea, weighing only 50 grams, was sold by Hong Kong guest Mr. Zhong for 6.5438+0.38 million yuan. The Pu 'er Banzhang cooked cake from Menghai Xinghai Tea Factory was taken away by the buyer for 88,000 yuan.
In 2005, Jiang Kun hosted the auction of Laoshe Teahouse, the capital of Ma Tea Ceremony and Gong Rui. A bucket of tea donated by Mr. Zhang Guoli was finally sold at a price of 6,543.8+6,000 yuan.
In September, 2006, at the first China Pu 'er Tea International Fair in Kunming, Lancang Ancient Tea Co., Ltd. won100g of double green brand palace loose tea for 220,000 yuan.
In May 2007, at the Shenzhen Tea Expo, a cake of 499 grams of precious Pu 'er tea "Jinxiu Tea Ancestor" from Fengqing Tea Factory in Lincang was sold at a high price of 400,000 yuan, with a price of more than 800 yuan per gram, setting a new record for tea auction.
Under the esteem of celebrities and manufacturers, Pu 'er tea has changed from a traditional drink to a collectible, and the price of tea has risen irrationally all the way. Correspondingly, the output of Pu 'er tea has also increased significantly. In 2004, the output of Pu 'er tea in Yunnan Province was 20,000 tons, increased to 52,000 tons in 2005 and further increased to 80,000 tons in 2006.
In 2007, according to the statistics of agricultural departments, the output of Pu 'er tea in the market began to reach 6.5438+0.4 million tons, but the actual consumption of Pu 'er tea was 20,000 tons, and a large number of Pu 'er tea was in stock, so the problem of oversupply of Pu 'er tea in the market became more and more serious.
What is worth remembering is April 20, 2007. Figures from Guangzhou Fangcun Tea Market, the largest wholesale market of Pu 'er tea, show that the price of Pu 'er tea reached a record high on this day. But it was on this day that the price of Dayi 7542 raw cake, an important price indicator in the market, began to fall. On the 20th day alone, the retail price of 7542 pieces of raw cakes per 30 kg dropped from 23,000 yuan to 6,543.38+0.7 million yuan. By September 2008, Dayi 7542 raw cake (15kg) had fallen below 1500 yuan, and the price of tea had shrunk by more than 70%. Some insiders estimate that the price avalanche in 2007 evaporated at least 654.38+0.5 billion yuan in the domestic Pu 'er tea market.
In just a few years, the mainland Pu 'er tea market has experienced great ups and downs, and experienced the trajectory of crazy speculation and collapse. Nowadays, the Pu 'er tea market has returned to rationality, but recently, some media reported the news that "200 Gansu tea merchants assembled Pu 'er to hoard goods and gamble". Some tea merchants told the media, "Some people may make big money, and some people may become poor-it all depends on the sky! "
In this regard, a local person in Pu 'er City who has been operating Pu 'er tea business for five years told the media that although the drought will lead to a reduction in tea production and an increase in tea prices this year, from the current situation, the motivation for speculation is insufficient. "The current price increase should be a normal rebound."
Some people in the tea association also analyzed that the price increase of Pu 'er tea only followed the market rules. Many investors in the market have held a large amount of stocks before, which have not been digested so far, and can fully meet the supply shortage caused by this year's drought and production reduction.
"There are a few investors who want to fry Pu 'er tea now. "Some wholesalers told the media that the overall Pu 'er tea market is relatively stable at present, and many tea merchants tend to be rational in their investment ideas after being deeply influenced by speculation, so it is unlikely that the price of Pu 'er tea will once again appear' sky-high'.