In late June, pig prices across the country experienced a strong rise. Whether it is the main sales area of ??live pigs or the transfer area of ??live pigs, the price increase situation of grassroots pig prices is particularly favorable.

After incomplete data statistics, the actual price of live pigs at the grassroots level has returned to the golden range of eight or nine yuan at this stage.

And with the steady rise in pig prices, the pig-to-grain ratio at the grassroots level has also recovered to a certain extent and is now maintained at a level of 5.77:1.

However, while the price of live pigs is rising, the prices of corn and soybean meal are also rising.

The price of corn has now exceeded 2,900 yuan per ton, and the price of soybean meal has reached the level of 4,511 yuan per ton.

Farmers are facing increasing pressure on feeding costs. However, the entire industry is increasingly anticipating growth. Therefore, there is a high probability that the grassroots pig market will continue to show strong growth in the future. trend.

Judging from the overall increase in pig prices in the past three months, the maximum increase in grass-roots pig prices in the past three months has reached more than 40%.

For some farmers who have been losing money for a long time, their income has also been negative.

After the pig cycle officially bottoms out, domestic pig prices will still show relatively strong upward momentum in the future.

How much the grassroots pig price can rise in the second half of the year, and what level it can reach, mainly depends on the stock situation of reproductive sows.

If the stocking trend of fertile sows declines, it will inevitably affect the number of pigs sold at the grassroots level. Therefore, the overall trend of pig prices is directly related to the stock of fertile sows.

In fact, judging from the overall stock situation in the second half of the year, the decline in the stock of reproductive sows will not be too large, and the supply of live pigs at the grassroots level is still relatively sufficient.

Therefore, it is still very difficult for domestic pig prices to rise sharply in the second half of this year, and farmers are currently reluctant to sell, which to a certain extent will also increase the number of pigs they will face in the second half of this year. market risks.

If there is no obvious change in the demand side in the second half of the year, it will be extremely difficult for the price of live pigs to reach an increase of more than 40% again.

Although the current pig cycle has bottomed out, judging from the stock situation and consumption trends, there are still many challenges for pig prices to rise sharply in the future.

I also hope that the farmers can adjust their mentality and not blindly hope for a rise, which will eventually lead to passive selling of pigs.

In terms of short-term trends, domestic pig prices will still have positive price increases in late June.

We also hope that everyone can take advantage of the current short-term trend of pig prices showing a strong upward trend, actively adjust the rhythm of pig slaughter, and arrange pig slaughter in an orderly manner.

Let’s collect the latest live pig quotations nationwide on June 23

East China: Shanghai increased by 8.5~9.1, Shandong increased by 8.6~9.1, Anhui increased by 8.4~8.7, Zhejiang increased by 8.5~9.1 Jiangsu rose by 8.5~9.0, Fujian rose by 8.5~8.9;

Central China: Jiangxi rose by 8.4~8.6, Hubei rose by 8.2~8.5, Henan rose by 8.3~8.7, Hunan rose by 8.3~8.5;

South China : Guangdong rose 9.2~9.5, Guangxi rose 8.0~8.6, Hainan rose 9.0~9.7;

North China: Beijing rose 8.7~9.1, Tianjin rose 8.7~9.1, Shanxi rose 8.2~8.8, Hebei rose 8.5~9.2;

Northeast: Heilongjiang rose 8.2~8.5, Jilin rose 8.4~8.7, Liaoning rose 8.4~9.0;

Northwest: Shaanxi rose 7.9~8.5, Gansu rose 7.8~8.3;

Southwest : Chongqing rose by 7.9~8.3, Sichuan rose by 7.9~8.3, Yunnan rose by 7.6~7.8, Guizhou rose by 8.0~8.2;

In the past two days, the overall situation of national pig prices has shown a series of favorable changes.

As the actual purchase price of live pigs gradually approaches the ten yuan mark, farmers also have great expectations for the future trend of pig prices.

Objectively speaking, this round of rising pig prices is like a spark starting a prairie fire, ushering in all-around good news.

On the one hand, this reflects that the pig cycle has reached the bottom stage. On the other hand, it also shows us that in the future, a strong rise in domestic pig prices will become a high probability event.

However, Pig Wealth God still has some worries about the current overall trend of grass-roots pig prices.

After all, for us farmers, while the price of live pigs continues to rise, this will also, to a certain extent, affect the positive guarantee of policy regulation for pig prices at the grassroots level.

The price of live pigs continues to rise, and regulation can only increase efforts to ensure that grassroots pig prices do not fluctuate.

And in the off-season period for consumption, there are variables as to how long this round of positive pig prices can last.

So now the market industry has ushered in intense discussions on the domestic pig price trend in the future, which is generally polarized! Pig Caishen believes that after the number of breeding sows gradually returns to normal, grassroots pig prices may still fluctuate in July.

After all, it is an indisputable fact that during the off-season consumption period, sluggish consumer demand cannot provide support for pig prices.

So Pig Wealth God believes that in late June, this round of pig price increase cycle will become particularly valuable.

I hope everyone can take advantage of the rising pig prices based on the situation of pig raising.

On June 23, the price of pigs in the north and south will most likely continue to rise steadily. Let us wait and see.