China is a country with a great demand for pork. Last year, due to African swine fever, the supply of pigs in China was insufficient, and the price of pork rose sharply. But now the pork price has been basically stable, and there is a downward trend in the near future. Recently, the Bureau of Statistics has also responded to the decline in pork prices. Learn more about it.
Statistics Bureau talks about the decline of pork price
Fu, spokesman of the National Bureau of Statistics, said at the press conference on June 5438+06 that the price of pork in June 5438+00 decreased by 2.8% year-on-year, which led to a decrease of CPI by 0. 13 percentage points.
Last year, pork prices rose sharply due to insufficient production and supply. This year, the production and supply of live pigs have increased. In June 165438+ 10, the year-on-year increase of pork ended in June 19, showing the first decline.
With the increase of pork supply in the later period, the price trend may be lowered to some extent.
What will be the impact of falling pork prices?
1, CPI decreased
In June, the increase of CPI in 5438+ 10 was significantly lower than that in the previous month.
In particular, pork prices decreased by 2.8% year-on-year and 7.0% quarter-on-quarter. In terms of other foods, the prices of eggs, chickens and ducks continued to decline, and the decline continued to expand.
The prices of fresh vegetables, beef and mutton have increased, but the increase has also declined. It is understood that the decline in pork prices is one of the main factors for the decline in CPI.
2. Farmers lose money.
The decline in pork prices also has an impact on farmers.
Raising pigs is not easy. It takes several months to six months for a pig to be slaughtered. During this period, farmers have to invest a lot of costs, such as feed, labor, site, water and electricity, epidemic prevention costs and so on. Later, the decline in pig prices may cause farmers to lose money.
What is the trend of pork price in the later period?
The supply of live pigs has entered the end of 1 1.
The supply of live pigs on the market is still growing, but there is no shortage of live pigs on the market now. On the demand side, the market has certain advantages because the traditional consumption peak season is about to open at the end of the year; In terms of consumption, as the temperature drops, pork consumption is expected to increase again, bacon is also prepared, and consumption will increase to a certain extent, so pig prices will rise slightly, but due to the increase in the supply of live pigs, there is limited room for pig prices to rebound.
In addition, experts organized by rural agricultural departments predict that during the Spring Festival on New Year's Day in 20021,the supply of pork will increase by 30% year-on-year, and the price will be lower than that of the same period last year. In addition, it is difficult for pork prices to rise sharply. It can be seen that the market trend of pork prices in the later period did not increase much. It is recommended that farmers with pigs sell them as soon as possible.
The above is the introduction of the Bureau of Statistics on the decline of pork prices and the analysis of pork market trends in the later period. In short, the supply of live pigs is not as tight as last year, which is also the reason for the decline of pork. With the increase of pig slaughter in the later period, pork will decline, so we can say that it is not far from 10 yuan pork.