The trend of wheat price is "stable and strong"
The first day of September ushered in the school day, especially under the influence of masks in some areas, the replenishment volume in the terminal market increased, while the relative operating rate of flour processing decreased. In the case of relatively sufficient supply of wheat, the price is relatively stable. However, with the gradual improvement of operating rate and the enhancement of grain harvesting willingness, the overall trend of wheat will be in a strong state.
Insiders analyzed that with the recovery of flour demand, the wheat market will increase the demand for flour milling enterprises. However, from the perspective of market supply, it is difficult to improve the loose fundamentals of wheat surplus grain at the grass-roots level, and the listing of autumn grain and corn has entered the countdown. Traders still have pressure to cover positions, and the resistance to wheat price increase is greater!
According to relevant data, the wheat storage capacity of domestic flour enterprises has narrowed as a whole. In order to receive the wheat as soon as possible, flour enterprises such as Huatong and Wudeli raised the price by 10 per ton to 20 yuan, and the horizontal price of wheat was about 1.5 to 1.6 yuan per catty.
At the same time, the purchase of national grain reserves has gradually come to an end, and the demand for wheat is mainly supplied to flour enterprises. At present, the demand for terminal flour has gradually improved in the third and fourth quarters. In the case of loose wheat supply, the price increase is not strong enough, and the overall trend is still stable, but compared with other price changes, the wheat price will show a certain steady and strong momentum in the subsequent period.
The trend of corn is "limited"
Rainfall weather changes before September have had a certain impact on the trend of corn market in North China. First of all, judging from the changes of old grain, it is more difficult to store corn because of wet weather, and the price of corn is weak because of centralized supply.
However, from the northeast of the main corn producing area, in the case of reduced production, the market bullish sentiment is still enhanced, traders are reluctant to sell, and the operating rate of deep processing enterprises has improved to a certain extent. Especially in the case that some factories have sufficient stocks, the enthusiasm of market price adjustment is concentrated, which greatly strengthens the market where corn prices fluctuate.
Judging from the price of corn in different places, the price of corn in northeast Heilongjiang has increased by 20 yuan per ton, and the mainstream price in the market is between 1.3- 1.35 yuan per catty.
From the price point of view of North China, the downstream market demand decreased as a whole, the turnover of some inventory products slowed down, and the loss of deep processing continued. Many corn enterprises have begun to stop purchasing and reduce production. In the case of reducing the operation, the demand for corn is more cautious!
As the weather vane of corn price in Shandong, with the increase of arrival volume, the arrival volume of enterprises is close to 800 cars, and the downward trend of factory prices is sluggish. The price of mainstream processing enterprises dropped by 6 per ton to 30 yuan, and in some areas it dropped by 5 per ton to 30 yuan. The mainstream market price ranges from 1.36 to 1.43 yuan per catty.
The live pig market "oscillates"
At the end of August, the price of live pigs went down. However, when the number of pig enterprises decreases and the supply of pigs decreases, the purchasing pressure of slaughter enterprises increases and the domestic pig price rises. The market also continued the trend of sideways rise, especially the shock of pigs strengthened and the center of gravity of pigs moved up.
According to the latest data, the price of live pigs rose by 1 1.62 yuan on the first day of September, with an increase of 0.05 yuan per catty. The market fluctuated strongly, rising by 65.7% compared with the same period of last year.
Judging from the national pig market, the overall increase is 0.05 to 0.05 yuan per catty.
As a traditional low-price area, the average price in Northeast China is between 1 11.3 yuan, and in North China it is between 1 1.2 to1.6 yuan.
As a traditional high-priced area, the price in Southwest China is per catty 12.3 yuan, and the price in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces is per catty1.6 to1.8 yuan.
Judging from the current market, the pig price fluctuated strongly in early September, driven by the decrease in the amount of live pigs sold and the gradual recovery of pork consumption in the market.
In the follow-up market, the price of live pigs will fluctuate.
First of all, the current market consumption support is weak, especially the epidemic situation in some areas is still not stable, the consumption of restaurants and canteens is limited, students start school late, the consumption support is weak, and the operating rate of slaughter enterprises is low, down 3.5% compared with the same period last year.
In addition, the current increase in demand may not meet expectations, especially the pork storage in September will increase the supply of pork.
On the whole, with the arrival of the Mid-Autumn Festival, the reluctance to sell in the pig market has weakened actively, making it more difficult for the pig market to rise, and it may fall after the holiday!
Trend analysis in September: wheat price is "stable and strong", corn is "limited" and pig market is "volatile"! What do you think of this? Welcome to leave a message for discussion!
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