In April, when the industry thought that real estate was smashed into a big pit, the property market gradually picked up. With the recovery of the pace of production and life, the demand for buying houses accumulated in advance is gradually released in the market. Coupled with media rendering, high-profile price increase of real estate, and speculation of school districts, the quiet property market seems to reproduce the scene of "prosperity". Buying is worried that the market will not go far, stand guard. I'm afraid I'll miss a year if I don't buy it. Property buyers are faced with a dilemma, which may be discussed from several aspects.
1, the local auction market is picking up. According to the statistics of Zhongyuan Real Estate, the turnover of land transfer fees in hot cities has increased substantially. 1-In April, the numbers of Guangzhou, Guangzhou and Shenzhen were 8.505 million yuan, 870 1 10,000 yuan, 510.62 million yuan and 87 1 10,000 yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 37.84%, 93.33% and 60,000 yuan. Hangzhou, Nanjing, Chengdu, Qingdao and Xiamen were 8.784 million yuan, 5.72 million yuan, 3.897 million yuan, 2.862 million yuan and 6.5438+0.63 million yuan respectively, up by 65.438+0.52%, 65.438+039.45%, 36.72%, respectively. Yichun, Dongguan, Nantong, Yantai and Huzhou saw the lowest year-on-year increase of 138%, and 50 large and medium-sized cities gained 1.22 trillion yuan from land sales, up 10.3% year-on-year.
In April alone, the land transfer income of 50 cities was 504.4 billion yuan, up 37% year-on-year. According to the statistics of Ke Rui, the transaction volume and price of land in 300 cities rose in April, and the average transaction price exceeded 3,000 yuan/square meter, setting a new high since 20 18; The average premium rate of land auction is 15.6%. The top 100 real estate enterprises took a total of 30/kloc-0.02 billion yuan, an increase of/kloc-0.08.9% from the previous month and a year-on-year increase of 7.2%. The land transaction volume in hot cities exceeded expectations, which is obviously related to the rescue policy.
2. The volume of commercial housing has basically recovered. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the sales volume and sales volume of commercial housing in March have recovered to the level of more than 80% in the same period last year. The data of April is not displayed for the time being, but according to the data released by Ke Rui, the transaction area of commercial housing in 37 key cities increased by 5 1% year-on-year, while the second-tier cities only decreased by 2% year-on-year. According to the statistics of the central bank, the confidence of buyers is still recovering.
3. The house price is relatively stable. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, in March, the price index of commercial housing in 70 cities nationwide rose slightly from the previous month. In April, China House Price Love Network showed that the price of new houses in 260 cities rose by more than 5% month-on-month, an increase of 1 city. Second-hand housing prices rose slightly from Shenzhen and Beijing, and fell slightly in Shanghai and Guangzhou. House prices in other cities fluctuate less.
Judging from the above data, the signs of market recovery are obvious, the phenomenon of real estate speculation in some cities has risen, the property market has turned from cold to warm, some housing enterprises have publicly raised prices, and house prices are still under upward pressure. Moreover, real estate tycoons Li Ka-shing and Wang Jianlin withdrew from mainland real estate, and now they are back.
Six years ago, Li Ka-shing withdrew from mainland real estate without earning the last copper coin, which was regarded as a classic quotation by the industry. Wang Jianlin, chairman of Wanda, sold commercial real estate without a square in the first two years and announced his withdrawal from real estate. Sunac Sun Hongbin not only took over Li Ka-shing's unfinished real estate project in Dalian, but also bought Wang Jianlin's Lv Wen real estate in a big way, and staged a live drama of real estate tycoon "shuffling".
? Li Ka-shing and Wang Jianlin quit the real estate industry one after another, which triggered a burst of speculation. Whether you are not optimistic about the future of real estate or financial problems, you don't have to ask "mystery". Now they have returned to their original jobs. As early as the end of last year, Li Ka-shing spent 2.4 billion yuan to acquire Linsan Impression City in Pudong. This year's low-key investment in the remittance project in Chengdu's core business district is nothing more than optimistic about the restructuring opportunities of small and medium-sized housing enterprises in the Mainland. In April, Wang Jianlin won two plots of land in Qingdao at a price of 9.57, setting a target of 654.38+000 billion for the whole year. The recovery of the real estate industry, gross profit is worth looking forward to.
Recently, the Economic Information Daily published on the front page that the performance of China real estate market is far from overheating, so we should be alert to the expected changes of macroeconomic and financial fundamentals and policies on real estate. Not long ago, the Economic Daily issued a document pointing out that the proportion of mortgage loans is too high, and the increasing pressure to repay loans has warned buyers that if the regulatory policies are relaxed, it will raise housing prices and hit rigid demand. The responses of the two central media show that the stability expectation of the property market is the top priority, the regulation will not be relaxed, and the housing prices do not have the conditions for rising.
The author believes that the recovery of the land market does not mean that the property market will reverse, and it does not mean that house prices will continue to rise. The epidemic sweeping across the world has a growing negative impact on the economy, and enterprises will face a crisis of survival, making it difficult for real estate to monopolize. Ensuring production and life this year is far more important than buying a house.