The pig market has fluctuated higher, and some provinces have broken through the 8 yuan mark; The second wave of the egg market rose again, and the price of goods in some areas has exceeded 5 yuan; The corn and wheat in the grain market are not only oscillating and strengthening, but also there is a good news to promote the price increase of grain.
First, the market pig price is easy to rise and difficult to fall, and the turning point is coming.
The hog market experienced a round of plunge from a high of nearly 20 yuan per catty in 2020 10, and in late February of 2022, it reached the low point near 5.2 yuan, and then the hog price fluctuated at a low level, and gradually stabilized. From April to now, the hog price fluctuated upward. According to industry analysis, the inflection point of the hog cycle has arrived.
On May 15, the price of pigs continued to rise, except in South China, and all other regions showed local increases, ranging from 0.05-0.10 yuan. The national average price was 7.70 yuan/kg, including Shanghai, Fujian, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong, Henan, Guangdong, Hainan, Beijing and Tianjin.
The arrival of the inflection point of pigs is exactly what pig farmers expect, but the prices of corn, wheat and feed remain high and continue to rise, which also seriously affects the breeding profits; At the same time, due to the rising pig price, the price of pork has also increased. The current local pork price has increased by 2 or 3 yuan, and the meat of front legs and hind legs has reached 10 yuan, pork belly 12 yuan/kg, and ribs 15 yuan/kg.
If, according to the analysis of people in the industry, the pig price is expected to reach 10 yuan/kg before the Spring Festival and above 10 yuan during the year, it is still very likely that the pork price will reach 15 yuan/kg.
Second, the price of eggs has risen again.
Eggs are a powerful player in the aquaculture market this year. In April, due to many factors such as the panic buying of epidemic reserves, low production capacity and tight supply, there was a violent rise, and even the local egg price exceeded 6 yuan/kg.
After a period of calm decline, the mainstream egg price returned to the range of 4.6-4.8 yuan. However, due to the recent lack of egg price stock in circulation, the large market environment with less than expected production capacity, and the recovery of consumption, the egg price has risen again recently.
On May 15, the wholesale price of Hohhot rose by 0. 1 yuan, 5.0 yuan/kg; Duqi County, Henan Province rose by 0.05 yuan, 4.80 yuan/kg; Shandong Haiyang eggs rose by 5 yuan, 225 yuan /45 kg; Weifang, Qingzhou, Anqiu and other places rose by 0.05 yuan, 5.05 yuan/kg; Gansu Pingliang rose by 0. 1 yuan, and the household price was 5.4 yuan/kg;
Although eggs are rising again at present, the rising space should not be too optimistic. Personally, I think the rising space is limited, and the probability of breaking through the high point in April is not great.
First, consumption is in the period of alternating light season and peak season, and the overall consumption has insufficient motivation to increase the price of eggs.
Second, the price of eggs soared in the early stage, among which there were some irrational factors such as "snapping up and overbought" due to the epidemic situation. At present, the epidemic situation tends to be stable, so it can't be compared with the increase of egg prices in the early stage.
Third, it is understood that because many people are optimistic about the egg market in the second half of the year, some farms are already expanding their stocks, and the production capacity has picked up, which will have an impact on the future egg price.
Three, the grain market together to strengthen, but also good.
Since the end of March, the grain market has been on the rise, especially wheat and corn. The price of wheat has broken through the 1.70 yuan mark twice. Although it has been affected by the listing of new wheat recently, the price is still at a high level.
The corn market is affected by many factors, such as the bottoming out of grass-roots grain sources, the rising demand for downstream corn products, and the pre-reduction of global corn planting area in 2022. Recently, corn prices have fluctuated and strengthened.
On May 15, Shandong Baolingbao rose by 0.5 points, 1.428 yuan/kg; Fuyang biological in the plain rose by 0.5 points, 1.427 yuan/kg; The biochemistry of lemon increased by 0.5 points, reaching the high level of 1.52 yuan/kg; Kailu corn rose 0.5 points, 1.420 yuan/kg, which also hit a new high.
One of the biggest advantages of the grain market in 2022 should be the conflict between Russia and Ukraine since March 24, which made the world grain supply full of some uncertainties, and then superimposed with the global outbreak, which made the world grain market with tight supply worse.
According to an early warning issued by the World Food and Agriculture Organization, the world's worst food crisis since World War II will occur in 2022.
This is not an alarmist. Many countries in the world have begun to restrict food exports, which shows the importance of food at present.
Just received a message, that is, on May 13, the General Administration of Foreign Trade of India issued a notice: from now on, the export of wheat will be banned immediately.
We should know that India is the second largest wheat producer in the world, which will have an impact on the price of wheat and even corn in the world.
Dear friends, on May 15, the price of pigs broke 8 and the price of eggs broke 5! Food prices are good news again. What do you think of this? Has the new tide of agricultural products arrived? Welcome to express your views for your reference.