The price of pigs has soared. After the Spring Festival this winter, the price of pork has only gone up but not down. Maintain the price of a catty above 30 yuan and below 35 yuan, and a catty of ribs is about 45 yuan. Therefore, the price of farmed pigs only rises and does not fall. Now is the profit period of raising pigs, and the price of pigs should fluctuate between 23 yuan and 24 yuan. Because the current pigs, including those raised in rural areas or pig farms, are still in short supply, the market vacancy is still very large. In addition, because of the epidemic, the sales of pork are restricted, so the increase in pig prices is reasonable, and people with pigs are sure to make money.

In the first half of next year, the overall price of pigs was stable, and pork remained at a kilo in 30 yuan, so the price of pigs tended to be stable in the range of a kilo in 22 yuan. In the first half of the year, pig farmers can make money; In the second half of the year, with a large number of pigs coming out of the market, the price of pigs will drop. A well-run farmer can make a small profit, while a slightly poor farmer may break even without making money. Those who are not well managed will lose a lot of money.

With the recovery of pig breeding in the second half of last year, many ternary sows have been reared explosively, and by the end of this year, the domestic pig production capacity is at least 70% above that before the epidemic, so there should be an inflection point of pig stocks at the end of this year or in the middle and late next year, and even return to the previous normal level. Coupled with the impact of imported meat, it should be expected that pig prices will drop significantly by the end of this year or the first half of next year at the latest. If there is no sudden epidemic, next year's decline is an inevitable trend. ...

The Ministry of Agriculture announced that the African swine fever vaccine developed by Harbin Veterinary Research Institute has entered the stage of extensive clinical trials. The main reason for the increase in pork prices in China is that the African swine fever epidemic has led to the total annihilation of many pig farms, and many pig farms have reduced their stocks or even cleared their fields. Once the vaccine is listed, it means that the African swine fever epidemic shrouded in pig breeding will gradually disperse, allowing more capital to enter pig enterprises.

With the recovery of pig production capacity in China, the import of foreign pigs will decrease, which is beneficial to the protection of domestic national industries. However, once pork prices rise, imports will increase, which will also play a certain role in stabilizing pork prices.