Today, we will take a concrete inventory of the current market trends in all aspects of the pig market.
The price of live pigs increased by 37.4% month-on-month, and the current operation is dominated by shocks.
According to the monitoring of many data of live pigs, on July 2 1 day, the price of live pigs with foreign ternary yuan was 22.70 yuan/kg, down 0.03 yuan/kg from yesterday.
On the whole, today's pig prices are rising in the south and falling in the north.
It is worth noting that the pig price in Southwest China has gradually increased to more than 22 yuan/kg, and the pig price in Northeast China has been adjusted to the range of 2 1 yuan kg, and the pig price in production and marketing areas is being normalized.
After watching for a long time, the price of live pigs recently made a "triple jump" at the end of June, from 16 yuan to 18 yuan to 20 yuan, and finally settled in 22 yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 37.4%, exceeding the expectations of all industry participants.
However, since mid-July, pig prices have gradually shown a "stable" trend. According to the official big data analysis, this round of pig price increase is mainly a recovery and seasonal increase, superimposed with some special factors, but the overall output is sufficient, and the pig price does not have the motivation to continue to rise sharply in the later period.
At the same time, the government advises farmers to arrange production reasonably, slaughter pigs in time when their weight is appropriate, and earn the money they can earn first.
The price of piglets rose by 23.5% month-on-month, and it is running steadily and strongly at present.
According to the monitoring of a large number of live pigs, on July 2 1 day, the national price of ternary piglets outside 15 kg was 50.49 yuan/kg, down 0.5 1 yuan/kg compared with yesterday.
Although the price of piglets has been fluctuating around 50 yuan recently, the actual transaction situation is not ideal, and it belongs to a state of price without market, and the price of piglets varies greatly from region to region. The average price of piglets in Northeast China is higher, while that in Southwest China is lower.
Judging from the current number of piglets, the number of newborn piglets in the first half of the year is almost the same as that in the same period of last year, indicating that the number of live pigs on the market in the second half of the year will not be less than last year.
This is mainly related to the number of fertile sows. According to the present situation that there are 4,277 fertile sows on hand, and the fertile sows have rebounded for two consecutive months, the supply of fat pigs is guaranteed in the second half of the year, and the price increase of pigs will be limited at that time.
Pork prices rose by 32.45% month-on-month, mainly due to the weak callback.
According to a large number of live pig data monitoring, on July 2 1 day, the national white meat price was 29.66 yuan/kg, down 0.65 yuan/kg from yesterday.
With the rise of the price of live pigs, the price of pork has soared, which is too slow compared with the price of live pigs. Whether it is week-on-week or year-on-year, there is no small increase.
However, since this week, the increase in pork prices has begun to narrow, and pork prices in some areas have begun to decline weakly, which has a lot to do with front-end consumption. The main "contribution" of this wave of pork price inflation lies in the slaughter end, and the "contribution" of the consumer end is not great. With the increase of pork price, pork consumption capacity is weakened, and pork price falls accordingly.
Judging from the current operation of pig price, piglet price and pork price, all aspects of the pig market have basically ended the recent skyrocketing state and gradually developed in a stable direction. From the perspective of the development of the whole industry, the current situation of the live pig market should be regarded as a more rational state, don't you think?
Attached is the price list of ternary live pigs outside July 2 1 day, national 3 1 province (city).