The reality may be even more cruel. In May, which just ended, American automobile sales decreased by 33% year-on-year, which is considered to be picking up. However, the statistics of the European Association of Automobile Manufacturers show that the number of new car registrations decreased by 56.8% year-on-year, which is much smaller than the 78% decline in April, but it is also the worst May since 1990 began to count sales. In addition, the Japanese market decreased by 44.9% year-on-year, which was the eighth consecutive month of decline in local automobile sales.
Relatively speaking, China, which has achieved staged victory in fighting the epidemic, has become a lifeline for global car companies. In terms of production and sales volume, the domestic data in May has increased by 18.2% and 14.5% year-on-year. Although the total sales volume in the first five months of this year has decreased by 22.6% year-on-year, according to the prediction of China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the automobile sales volume in China will only decrease by 10-20% in 2020.
Next year's Geneva Motor Show has been cancelled in advance, but with the second half of 2020, Chengdu Motor Show on July 24 and Beijing Motor Show on September 26 will continue to ignite the domestic auto market, and many new cars will also land on the market one after another, helping car companies to go against the wind. Drivers list the new cars that may be unveiled in the next six months, and force them into CP to provide some reference for potential consumers with budgets.
BMW 5 Series &; Mercedes-Benz E-Class: Mid-term change to go into battle
The new BMW 5 Series has been launched in South Korea and will meet domestic consumers as soon as September. Although it is a mid-term redesigned model, I think its shape is as subversive as the new generation, but everyone will not feel fresh about it. After all, the new 5 Series and the cash 3 Series can be seen as brothers at a glance, and there is a potential for dolls. However, in the interior part, the new 5 Series retains the design style of the current model, and only adds the central control panel with iD7, so it should be difficult to expand the space. However, the powertrain widely uses the 48V weak mixing system, which has become one of the few bright spots.
Mercedes-Benz E-Class will also be ushered in the mid-term change. This new car was released on the overseas line in March, and the public opinion was mixed, especially the "four-eye headlights" element inherited from W2 10 from W2 13. This time, even the symbolic daytime running lights were abandoned, and the controversial triangular taillights all weakened the business temperament of the new E-class, highlighting the trend of youthfulness. As for the interior part, the capacitive steering wheel and MBUX are new elements. In the powertrain, Mercedes-Benz and BMW also bet on the 48V weak hybrid system, and in addition, the two models will also be involved in intelligent assisted driving technology.
Not surprisingly, the BMW 5 Series and Mercedes-Benz E-Class will continue the existing price system after the mid-term change, and with the increase of preferential margin, the monthly sales of Mercedes-Benz E-Class can return to 1- 1.3 million, while the BMW 5 Series will remain at the level of 1.2- 1.5 million.
Hongqi H9&; DS9: Carnival of a few people
At the upcoming Changchun Auto Show, the price of Hongqi H9 may be announced. Previously, it was speculated that the starting price of the 2.0T model would reach 350,000. However, considering that the Audi A6L is a competitive product and the price system of Hongqi model is stable, the drivers expect that the entry price of Hongqi H9 may be less than 300,000.
Even so, Hongqi H9 has expanded the ceiling of China brand cars. After all, this medium-sized car with longitudinal rear drive has two supercharged power options, 2.5T and 3.0T The heroic appearance and the interior full of science and technology have surprised many consumers. If the final price is reasonable, Hongqi H9 has every chance to become a cash cow like HS5, and it is not surprising that the monthly sales volume reaches 2,000-3,000.
If the red flag H9 is the crown of China car, the crown of French car can be worn on the head of DS9. As the flagship model of DS brand, it originated from EMP? The DS9 of the platform 2, Mercedes-Benz E-Class with a size close to the standard wheelbase, is full of French idleness in design details, and the interior is full of DS's consistent exaggeration. It is particularly worth mentioning that DS9 is not only a 1.8T model, but also a plug-in hybrid version composed of 1.6T and motor.
Although at the moment when French cars are completely sinking, it is expected that the domestic sales of DS9 are likely to match that of DS7, and the double-digit monthly sales will not be surprising. However, DS itself is not here. The European market is the main battlefield of DS9. After all, all DS9 in the world will be produced in China factory.
Volkswagen CC station wagon &; Ford Focus Travel Edition: Be sure to buy it next time
"If you buy it, I will recommend it" and "I will definitely buy it next time" are the embarrassments that the station wagon faces in the China market: after many fans are greeted with various official maps and news reports, Volkswagen and Ford really introduce CC and Focus station wagons into China, and presumably the result will only be a three-digit monthly sales volume.
Of course, I still want to thank Volkswagen and Ford for their courage. After all, others have invested real money. In fact, CC station wagon did not follow the overseas version of Arteon? Shooting? Brake, FAW-Volkswagen still repositioned itself according to the domestic situation: from the pictures in the catalogue of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the chassis height of the domestic CC station wagon is higher, and a luggage rack is added, but the design details such as the sports grille and the hollow bumper still retain the overseas version. If FAW-Volkswagen finally starts at a price of around 260,000, then the CC station wagon must have a large enough discount to attract buyers.
The white body of Fox Travel Edition rolled off the assembly line at Changan Ford at the end of last month. Like FAW-Volkswagen, it is also in Fox Active? On the basis of Wagon, it has undergone localization adjustment. The main changes are that there are more chrome-plated parts, and the area of the net in the front face is greatly increased, which is close to the sharp side with the "open-eyed" light group. Of course, Fox Travel Edition still retains Fox Active. Wagon's practical shape, the power combination of 1.5T and 8AT will also be the main match. The estimated price can refer to Fox Active, and the starting price within150,000 will not be surprising.
Kia K5&; Modern Sonata: Hyena Survival
Hyena, a popular Korean drama this year, tells a bloody struggle for survival. For Korean car companies, the future of China market also needs to be sacrificed.
Kia worked hard for the brand-new K5, not only imported a batch of Korean versions for consumers to taste in advance, but also arranged a test drive experience for the media in advance. The brand-new K5, which is determined to be pre-sold at Chengdu Auto Show, has been replaced with the latest design elements of Kia family, which is full of youthful breath of hormones. At the same time, its body size is also in the leading position in the same class, and it will not lose to most opponents in hardware with the rich configuration list and the two powers of1.5t/2.0t+8at.
Hyundai Sonata, which also comes from i-GMP platform like Kia K5, just gave the pre-sale price of16.48-205,800 at Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao Auto Show, the latest Sensuous of Hyundai family? Sportiness design concept makes it look very recognizable, and the penetrating taillights are also quite eye-catching, but the measurements are slightly lower than KIA K5. As the tenth generation model in the eyes of the brand, the interior of the new Sonata has entered a new era, especially the 12.3-inch dual screen of the instrument panel and center console is very scientific and technological.
However, judging from the past positioning, the listing price of Hyundai models on July 22nd should be slightly higher than that of Kia K5. Of course, this is not the decisive loser. After all, Korean car companies will not have a good time. Although it is difficult for these two brothers to return to the peak state, they still need to work together to break the three-digit monthly sales and strive for their own 1000-2000 units.
Volkswagen Golf &; Honda Civic hatchback: Never mention steel cannon
Once upon a time, as long as hatchbacks loved to pack themselves with "small steel guns", after all, in the era when hatchbacks were called cars, it was difficult to sell hatchbacks without exercise to paint their faces.
Time has passed, who would have thought that there would be so many fans calling for Dongfeng Honda to introduce Civic hatchback like a tsunami every day, probably these friends are ready for Type? R modified parts. However, Dongfeng Honda did not appreciate it, and it has always been CIVIC? Hatchback concept car to confuse the audience, probably because Civic hatchback version has its own sports enclosure and central exhaust pipe on the declaration map of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, which will make the modified shop suffer heavy losses. Judging from the available information, the domestic hatchback Civic is likely to be more expensive than the sedan version, and it will largely divert the sales of the sedan version after the sale. At that time, the hatchback version Civic can bear 80,000 units of sales, and the two models will work together to stabilize the monthly sales of 20,000-23,000 units, which will be an optimistic result.
Tracing back to the source, Honda Civic originally originated from the hatchback version, just like Volkswagen's eighth generation golf is the orthodox successor. After the mid-term change, the seventh-generation golf has been in chaos under the impact of Japanese compact cars, and its monthly sales volume is difficult to break through 10 thousand, so the new generation golf has been highly anticipated by the public. However, the upgrade of the new car did not have a leap-forward effect. The improvement of the design details of the eighth generation golf was somewhat implicit, and the size of the body did not increase significantly. Even the powertrain still used the current model, and it was difficult to directly hit people's hearts by relying on the more scientific and technological interior-perhaps the public's mind has already flown to ID.3? According to the available information, the monthly sales of the eighth generation golf can generally maintain the level of 8000- 10000 sets. If you want to return to the glory of the sixth generation golf, you have to work harder.
Byd Han & Geely Preface: You are the most beautiful in my eyes.
Geely once called Borui "the most beautiful China car", but this subjective definition is easily broken. For example, BYD Han really wants to sit in this position.
This BYD flagship new energy sedan with a pre-sale price of 230,000-280,000 yuan will be launched on July 10. In addition to the hybrid DM model with 2.0T engine, the EV model with Ferrous lithium phosphate blade battery has attracted more attention, especially the single-motor Hanergy has a NEDC battery life of 605km, and of course the dual-motor model has a remarkable performance of 0- 100km/h in 3.9 seconds.
In addition to the performance data, Han's design is also quite mature. It has evolved more attractive details under the element of BYD's "Dragon", which makes BYD Han have an outstanding impression under the length of nearly 5 meters. Of course, Geely did not want to give up the "most beautiful" position. It is expected that the new CMA platform car released in September will be based on the Preface concept car. Although the positioning of this new car is far lower than that of BYD Han, which is a supplement between Emgrand GL and Borui, the details such as the shield-shaped straight waterfall grille and the back-sliding shape of the rear still illustrate Geely's iteration in design language.
Although BYD claims that Han has received more than 20,000 orders, its price is still somewhat high and low, and it is expected that the monthly sales will be maintained at 2,000-3,000 units in the future. In contrast, the production version of Geely Preface may be priced at around11160,000, and the more grounded positioning needs to help it get the monthly sales of 3,000-5,000 units.
Buick Angkor S? & ? Toyota Highlander: Traffic Star
Drivers have already experienced Buick Angkewei S in Shanghai. Although the name has only added a letter, it can be regarded as a replacement product. At the same time, the length and height have been slightly reduced, and the wider horizontal area and longer wheelbase have kept the riding experience of Angkewei S to a high standard. Moreover, from the design style, Buick injected more sheep placenta into Angkewei S, and the lines and details were more dynamic. The introduction of Avia version also guaranteed its sense of luxury. Judging from the current information, Angkewei S will be sold at the same time as the current Angkewei in the future. If Buick can control the price of the 2.0T entry-level model within 250,000, and the price of the Avia version is around 300,000, then Buick Angkewei S can still generate a monthly sales volume of 6,000-8,000 units with sufficient preferential margin, but it is difficult to form a1+1with Angkewei. The effect of 2.
Although the pricing is similar, GAC Toyota will not have the idea of letting Highlander have two generations under one roof. The brand-new Highlander, which has been released overseas, doesn't have many secrets. Although the design language hasn't changed earth-shaking, the upgrade in details is enough to make it more car-scrapping. The flatter outline makes this SUV somewhat moderate in itself. A little dynamic elements are integrated. In terms of creating a sense of science and technology in the car, the progress of the new Highlander is more obvious. With the space utilization rate that it has always been proud of, I believe that Toyota dealers will still be able to continue to increase the monthly sales of 8,000 units at the same guide price-after all, GAC Toyota's enemy is only FAW Toyota Highlander, which will be put into production next year.
Honda Fit&; Land Rover Defender: Who is the diode?
It is foreseeable that these two models will run counter to each other in terms of sales volume and word of mouth.
The new Honda Fit will undoubtedly make Japanese car fans crazy. Although it is difficult to confuse it with super-running, the magic seat and the electronic handbrake disappear in the configuration list, and the long-awaited hybrid system is far away. However, considering its practicality and cost performance, the new Fit will still be the top stream in the market segment, and the monthly sales will be1-kloc-0/.5 million units.
However, Land Rover Defender has received bad reviews since the spy photos flowed out. Although the product strength has been greatly improved compared with the old model, the span after the replacement far exceeds that of Mercedes-Benz G-Class upgrading from W463 to W464, subverting the impression of traditional off-road vehicle fans on the name "Defender"-if it is found 5, it will not bear these criticisms. Moreover, the pre-sale price of the new Land Rover Defender started at the threshold of 790,000, which is almost double the price in the local market, directly discouraging those who are shy in their pockets. Range Rover Star Pulse is likely to become its trend template, and the final monthly sales volume can reach 500-800 units, which is already up to standard.
Weilai EC6? & ? Tesla Model? Y: sniper
In the third NIO last year? On Day, Wei Lai presented the coupe version of ES6-EC6 in the case of ET7 jumping tickets. Although in the plan, Weilai will deliver EC6 in September this year, but this new energy car company has not even announced the pre-sale price, but hopes to be based on Tesla Model? The pricing of y is accurately attacked.
Actually, Tesla Model? Y gave an estimated price very early: 488,000 for the long-life all-wheel drive version and 535,000 for the high-performance version. But obviously, this price is only for the pre-sale price of imported models, and insiders revealed that a large number of new equipment has settled in Tesla's Shanghai factory, Model? It will definitely be put into production within y years, and there is even news that there are already two domestic Model? Y trial car rolled off the assembly line, it seems that Musk's dance still has a reason.
According to the domestic Model? 3 pricing, Tesla Model made in Shanghai? Even if Y only produces the all-wheel drive version, I believe that the final price will be within 400,000, and there is even room for further reduction in the future, which makes the pricing of Weilai EC6 basically benchmark-from the price of ES6, the starting price of EC6 sports version is about 380,000, which is more reasonable.
However, in terms of sales forecast, it is difficult for Weilai EC6 to compete with Tesla Model. Y in the same breath. Coupe SUVs have always been relatively small, and it is good for EC6 to estimate that the monthly sales volume can be 300-500 units, but Model? Y is another trump card that Tesla is expected to sell more than 10,000 yuan a month.
Mercedes-benz GLA & Audi A3: Price is king.
Although domestic car sales are generally depressed, the life of mainstream luxury brands is still comfortable, and the important reason is that these traditional giants have lowered the threshold for entry and made it easy for young people.
At the just-concluded Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Auto Show, Mercedes-Benz released a new GLA in a low-key manner. This compact SUV may be officially launched in August, and its price is expected to be lowered to around 250,000 due to the switch to 1.3T power.
It must be said that Mercedes-Benz's brand-new family design language is more suitable for small-sized vehicles. The brand-new GLA is obviously more exquisite and dynamic than the current version, and the same interior style as the brand-new A-class is also easy to impress young users. The actual book data of the controversial 1.3T engine is slightly better than the current 1.6T entry version, at least it will not make friends who are afraid of three-cylinder engines feel chilling.
The current GLA has not been a hot-selling model of Mercedes-Benz. This replacement should boost its sales, and it can stably sell more than 5,000 units per month. However, SUVs produced on the same platform will always have more premium, and consumers who pay attention to cost performance will be more willing to choose cars like Audi A3.
The new A3 was released in March this year, but it has already appeared in the catalogue of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. According to relevant data, at least the new A3 hatchback version does not have an increased wheelbase, and Audi will continue to use the current 1.4T engine, and will not replace it with the overseas version of 1.5T power for the time being. Of course, the price of the new A3 will be the killer. Although Audi is a little shabby in materials, it is expected that the starting price of the new car will continue to be180,000. With this affordable pricing and a new generation of design style, I believe that consumers who shout "real fragrance" can stabilize the monthly sales of the new A3 at 7,000-9,000 units.
Hippocampus 7X? & Roewe iM8: I heard that the spring of MPV is coming.
Although many car companies use the concept of "second child" to package MPV, in addition to Toyota Erffa, Buick GL8, Honda Odyssey and Ailishen can really sell it.
Looking back more than ten years ago, Prima Haima was also a popular niche in the MPV field. Based on Premacy developed by Mazda for the European market at the beginning of the century, it inherited the glorious tradition of Hainan Mazda HMC6450d, and once ranked among the top in the MPV sales list with an annual sales of about 20,000 units. However, the seahorse, which lives by selling houses, can't expect this 7X to come back to life. Although the pre-sale price of13-170,000 is not too high, the six-seat/seven-seat layout and the power combination of1.5t+6at/1.6tgdi+6at are also mainstream, even the face value of the seahorse 7X.
The brand appeal of SAIC Roewe will be better. The iM8 released by Roewe Brand Day also continues the details of Roewe Vision-iM concept car, and the overall look and feel is more aura, quite a modified Japanese MPV style. Relatively speaking, however, the price of Roewe iM8 is not expected to be too low. If the starting price is in line with Chuanqi GM8, the price range should be around18-260,000 yuan, and the final sales volume is likely to stay at1500-2,500 units.
Text | ｜MAX
Figure | Network
This article comes from the author of Chejia, car home, and does not represent car home's standpoint.