0 1, the "rocket pig" is coming?
After the National Day, the price of pigs has been rising for nine days, which surprised pig farmers. After all, the price of pigs has been falling since the beginning of the year, except for four days in late June, which is basically falling at other times. The losses of pig farmers have increased, and a pig will lose about 600 yuan.
However, today's market has ushered in a wave of enthusiasm. Today, the average price of live pigs 13.0 1 yuan/kg increased by 2.72 yuan/kg in nine days, with an increase of 26.43%, which also means that the pig price has entered the 6 yuan mark.
From the market analysis, the pig price in Northeast China is 6-6.5 Jin Yuan, and that in North China is 6.3-6.7 Jin Yuan, and the market continues to rise. The market in Northwest China also rose to 6.4-6.8 yuan/kg. The southwest region has increased by 3-6 gross, and the pig price is 6.6-6.7 yuan/kg; The price of Jiangsu and Zhejiang pigs is 6. 1-6.8 yuan/kg, while that of South China market is 0. 1-0.5 yuan, and the mainstream price is 6-6.6 yuan/kg.
The increase in pig prices has also given farmers confidence, and everyone has more expectations for the future market, while the losses of pig farmers have also narrowed, with a loss of 300-400 yuan for a standard pig weighing 240 kg. It can be seen that even if the pig price is higher, pig farmers are still in trouble, and many people are reluctant to sell, expecting the pig price to rise above 8 yuan as soon as possible.
So when will the "Rocket Pig" rise to 8-9 yuan? Judging from the current market situation, the upward momentum in the north has been reduced, and it is difficult to "soar" in the future. It is expected that the market will rise to around 6.5-7 yuan, and the subsequent pig price will rise and fall. After all, the production capacity of live pigs has recovered, and the stock of frozen meat is still high.
Therefore, pig farmers should be rational and not blindly reluctant to sell, otherwise pig prices will fall into a vicious circle.
02. Shrimp prices fell collectively.
Recently, affected by several typhoons, there has been much rain in the south, and many ponds have also risen, which is not good news for shrimp farmers. In order to reduce losses, many shrimp farmers have no choice but to go public, hoping to reduce losses.
Originally, after the holiday, the market sales volume was not too high, and the market began to run weakly. Now affected by the typhoon, shrimp farmers have no choice but to speed up listing. Those traffickers naturally increase their efforts to lower prices, and they are more picky when buying, and even smaller shrimps are not needed.
A shrimp farmer in Jiangmen said that there are too many shrimps in the market recently, but the market demand is not high. As a result, shrimp can't be sold. For example, 50 shrimps fell to 2 yuan, only one catty was 13.5- 14 yuan, 40 shrimps also fell to 16 yuan/catty, 30 shrimps were 20 yuan/catty, and 22 shrimps were 27 yuan/catty, 70. The main reason is that the market demand is small, there is no holiday stimulus, the shrimp delivery volume is low, the demand is not too high, the market is deserted, and then the market demand will drop.
In Guangxi producing areas, the price began to fall as early as the National Day, which led to shrimp farmers reluctant to sell, but the inventory was too high and the price was difficult to go up. At the same time, diseases are serious in some areas, and the quality and price of prawns are not very good, 50 prawns 17 yuan/kg, 40 prawns/kg in 22 yuan and 23 prawns/kg in 28 yuan.
Shrimp prices in Zhangpu, Fujian Province also began to fall, mainly due to the typhoon. Price of 50 shrimps 16.5 yuan/kg, 20 yuan/kg of 40 shrimps and 22 yuan/kg of 30 shrimps. However, there are not many ponds in the local area, so the price has not dropped much.
Generally speaking, shrimp prices have fallen, and the market may continue to be depressed due to the influence of weather and demand.
03. Broilers are dragged down by troubles.
The recent egg market is quite impressive. Although the price of eggs has fallen to 3.9 yuan in recent days, the price of eggs has returned to 4.2 yuan after two days' increase, mainly because after several days' digestion, the demand for post-holiday replenishment has increased, and the profits of egg farmers have begun to increase.
However, the market of hairy chicken was not very good, and it fell for four days in a row. When the price was the lowest, it reached one kilogram in 3.2 yuan and fell to a new low in the year. A kilo of chicken will lose 0.7-0.8 yuan, so a 4-5 kilo chicken will lose 3-4 yuan.
However, due to the decrease of hairy chickens, chicken farmers collectively refused to sell them, which led to an increase in prices. However, when the price of hairy chicken rose to 3.4 yuan, it stopped rising again and stabilized. For example, the price of chicken in Shandong is 3.39-3.42 yuan/kg, that in Henan is 3.42-3.5 yuan/kg, that in Hebei is 3.38-3.4 yuan/kg, and that in Jiangsu is 3.4-3.42 yuan/kg.
The market of hairy chickens is in a downturn, mainly due to the sluggish market demand after the holiday, the enthusiasm of middlemen for stocking is not high, and the profits of slaughtering enterprises are near the profit and loss line, so there is no enthusiasm for purchasing. However, due to the downturn of hairy chickens, the market of chickens has continued to fall. However, due to the skyrocketing feed and high cost, the supply of chickens has increased recently and can only be sold at low prices.
It can be said that today's whole industrial chain of hairy chickens is at a loss. In retail, because pork is cheap, the market is generally around 10 yuan, which leads people to buy less broilers. As a result, the hairy chicken was also dragged down by pork.
Now, there is still room for the hairy chicken to fall. I'm afraid it will bottom out at the end of 10, but starting from 1 10, the market for hairy chickens and frozen products will start to rise. But if you want to make a profit, you need to speed up the de-capacity, otherwise you will still be "squatting" next year.