In this regard, some insiders said that consumers' demand for pork was relatively strong years ago. After the holiday, demand was flat and supply decreased. In the case of low supply and demand, the price will go down as a whole.
Ma Liyuan, an analyst of Zhuochuang Information Pork Industry, believes that the pig stock will be restored to 80% by the end of 20021,and the demand increase in 20021is limited. It is predicted that the prices of live pigs and pork will continue to decline in 20021year, and the average price will be significantly lower than that in 2020.
Extended data:
Relevant data show that:
From 2065438+05 to 2065438+09, the fluctuation of pig production in China decreased. In 20 19, the pig production in China reached 42,253110,000 tons, which was 2 1.25% lower than that in 20 18. The main reason is that in 20 19, African swine fever led to the reduction of pig production in China, and the price of live pigs reached a record high. The high price leads to the decrease of people's demand for live pigs.
In 2020, affected by the COVID-19 epidemic, the pig production capacity will be excessively reduced, and the pig price will continue to run at a high level. The gap between pork production and sales is expected to expand by 32.7% year-on-year. In the first three quarters of 2020, the output of live pigs in China was 28.38 million tons, which was 10.80% lower than that in the same period of 20 19.
People's Information-Expert: It is estimated that the average price of live pigs in 20021year will be lower than that in 2020.