# Pig #
Now there are rumors in the market that tens of millions of people died because of Xiao Fei? Hearing the news, Bian Xiao was very surprised. You don't say! Every year, the "little fly" incident occurs, which has less and less influence on the aquaculture industry. If it is really that big, I can only tell you that the price of pigs in 2023 is hopeless.
Because if so many pigs die and go to the market, the price of pigs will be even worse.
Therefore, don't "misinform", but treat all kinds of news in the network rationally and dialectically.
65438+20231October 25th, the latest price of live pigs in China.
Heilongjiang Jiamusi pig 6.9 yuan/kg; Hunan Dongkou 280 kg 8 yuan/kg; Guangdong Duanzhou 308 kg 9.5 yuan/kg; Mu Ye 7.8~8. 1 yuan/kg; 8 yuan, Tongshan, Hubei/kg; Jilin Nong 'an 7. 1 yuan/kg; 7 yuan/kg of Heilongjiang Daqing standard pig, 6.5 yuan/kg of Zhong Da pig, 350~500 kg of 6.5 yuan/kg; 7.8 yuan, Xingtai, Hebei/kg; Shandong Yucheng 8. 1~8.2 yuan/kg; Shandong Feicheng 8~8.2 yuan/kg; Shandong Changyi 8.2 yuan/kg; Shandong Yucheng 8.3 yuan/kg; Henan Gongyi 7.5~7.6 yuan/kg; Shandong Taian Xintai 8 yuan/kg; Hubei Huangpi 280 kg 8 yuan/kg; Liaoning Changtu 8 yuan/kg;
8 yuan/kg, Lianyungang, Jiangsu; 7.2 yuan, Heishan, Liaoning/kg; 7.2 yuan/Jin, Beizhen, Liaoning; Lan Shu, Jilin 7. 1 yuan/kg; Jilin Changling 7~7.2 yuan/kg; Heilongjiang Bayan 6.8~7 yuan/kg; Changzhi, Shanxi 7~7. 1 yuan/kg; Anhui Lu 'an 8~8.5 yuan/kg; Linyi, Shandong 380 kg 6.8~7 yuan/kg, standard pig 6.5 yuan/kg; Liaoning Changtu 7 yuan/kg; Shanxi Yuncheng standard pig 8.3 yuan/kg; Gansu Tianshui about 300 kg 7.2 yuan/kg; Luoyang standard pig 7.5 yuan/kg; Chaoyang, Liaoning, 220~320 kg 7. 1~7.2 yuan/kg, about 320 kg 7.4 yuan/kg;
Now the whole market is discussing what will happen to the pig price in 2023? What month is the high point? Which month is more suitable for piglets? When can I gain weight twice? It's a bit premature to talk about these issues now.
First of all, there is no yield, and the number of sows that can reproduce is there.
43.9 million sows can be bred, an increase of 620,000 sows year-on-year, an increase of 1.4%.
Only a part of these fertile sows have been eliminated by free-range farmers, and the rest and large herds have not decreased. How to judge without clear market action?
The second point is that there is no large consumption of supply. The big fertilizer that was not released years ago has been transferred to the following year, accounting for about 15 ~ 20%. How to digest these big fertilizers, how to digest them?
Third, the Spring Festival is not over yet, and there is no so-called consistency in the market. Without consistency, there will be no change.
These three points determine that we should accurately judge the trend of the whole hog market in 2023, and what is the highest price? It is unfair and impossible to judge a high point in a few months. The so-called analysis results are blind, without accuracy and objectivity.
At the same time, those friends who want to catch pigs should not only consider the price of catching pigs, but also consider the price when selling pigs.
Because the scale field can last up to 20 days, but retail investors can last for 3 months, which is also our advantage.
The scale is a dead card, and we are a living card.
Only free-range households are eliminating sows in the whole market, and large groups and enterprises are not eliminated at all. If they start now, the short-term price for pigs will be bad and the long-term price will be good, but we can't see when they will reduce production capacity, which also makes the short-term price for pigs hopeless.
Many people agree that the market is a pit, especially in 2022, which is just a misunderstanding. 1If you sell pigs above 0 yuan, you will see the scenery. Only if you sell pigs below 10 yuan, you will feel that there is a so-called pit.
The difference between an idea and a choice leads to different results.
If all the free-range households are released in advance, the pit will be left to large enterprises, but the reason why the market is so "charming" and "magical" is emotional.
Whether it is a pit or not depends on whether you are inside or outside. You are a pit inside and a landscape outside.
Some old iron said that the pig price in 2023 is hopeless? Bian Xiao thinks this idea is incorrect, because only the strong will laugh last and the wise will laugh last. Only those who can survive and earn their own money are masters!
2023 is an opportunity for many people, but it is still a pit for many people.
And many people in into the pit in 2022 and into the pit in 2023. This is the human mind.
If you make a mistake in judgment within one year, it is called a mistake. If you look at the misjudgment within one year, it is definitely not a matter of judgment.
Free-range households are flexible, and we must give full play to this advantage in order to occupy a place in the market. If you really can't make a choice and judge clearly, flip a coin, because there is still a 50% chance of winning, so the thinking of raising pigs is too important!