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What is the prospect for the pig industry?

Rural farmers are now building a large number of pig farms. What is the prospect of raising pigs?

I think the prospect of raising pigs this year is still very good, but it's hard to say from next year. After all, it's "rare things are precious". The problem of insufficient pig stocks cannot be completely solved this year, but it may be fully recovered next year. I think the main reasons why rural farmers are building a large number of pig farms are as follows:

1. The state's support for pig breeding continues to increase, and the scope of support subsidies is further relaxed.

in order to encourage farmers' friends to actively fill the fence and raise pigs, the state has further increased the support and subsidies on various subsidy measures introduced last year. For example, for the discount subsidy for bank loans, the previous threshold of "selling more than 5, heads a year" will be lowered to "more than 5 heads" so that more farmers can enjoy this preferential policy; In terms of breeding land, livestock and poultry breeding land will be included in the scope of agricultural land, allowing farmers to occupy the necessary basic farmland for livestock and poultry breeding; As for the subsidy for the harmless treatment of death due to the epidemic, the scope of enjoyment has been expanded from a single pig in the past to chickens, cattle, sheep and other livestock and poultry.

2. The relaxation of "no-raising" conditions has prompted more rural farmers to engage in aquaculture.

In the past, in order to prevent the impact of aquaculture on the environment and ecology, some areas set up "no-breeding areas", and some places even adopted a "one size fits all" approach to strictly control the aquaculture industry, so that a large number of farmers who were willing to raise pigs could not feed them.

Now these measures have been relaxed, and the state has explicitly prohibited all localities from arbitrarily setting up "no-breeding areas", which has enabled many farmers to breed as they wish.

3. The continuous high price of the pig market has stimulated farmers' friends to flood into the pig industry.

The domestic pig market began to rise in the second half of last year, and has continued to this day. Although there was a ups and downs in the middle, the overall trend is still running at a high level. And as far as the current situation of the aquaculture industry is concerned, the probability of the pig market price falling sharply during the year is not high. This will inevitably stimulate many farmers' friends to actively build circles and increase columns, and all want to take advantage of this rare market to get a piece of it. This kind of psychology is actually normal and worth understanding. What is the prospect of raising pigs and will there be losses?

In fact, the aquaculture industry itself is a high-risk industry. Even when the epidemic situation is stable and the economy is developing smoothly, the aquaculture industry is full of market risks, so the question of whether to lose money depends on how you breed and how lucky you are.

1. The prospects are promising this year, and there is uncertainty in the coming year

The shortage of live pigs will continue to exist this year, but only to what extent. However, next year, the expansion effect of large and medium-sized pig farms will appear, the number of scattered pigs will also increase by leaps and bounds, the number of live pigs will increase greatly, and the contradiction between supply and demand will become smaller and smaller.

Therefore, I think the pig breeding within this year has a good prospect. As long as we pay attention to management and do a good job in epidemic prevention and control, we can generally make money. But in the coming year, the situation is unclear, and the future prospects are very uncertain.

2. If you can ensure that you are not disturbed by the epidemic, you can basically guarantee a profit margin.

African swine fever vaccine still poses a great threat to pig breeding today. The corresponding vaccine has not been successfully developed, and farmers cannot vaccinate pigs in advance; Outbreaks still occur from time to time in various places. As of March this year alone, more than 1 cases have been reported. Therefore, the prevention and control of pig epidemic this year is still a problem that cannot be ignored.

If the epidemic prevention work can be fully done in the breeding process to ensure that pigs are not disturbed by the epidemic situation, farmers still have a lot of profit space under the current high price situation.

3. The prevention and control of COVID-19 epidemic has achieved good success in China, which has also brought a favorable situation for farmers.

The COVID-19 epidemic has spread all over the world, and western countries have basically become the hardest hit areas, which has seriously affected their economic structure and foreign trade exports. However, the epidemic situation in COVID-19 has been well controlled in China, and our epidemic situation has been greatly improved.

The imported pork can't come, and the consumption demand hasn't decreased, so the domestic breeding has become more important, which will certainly support the possibility of a sudden sharp drop in pig prices, so this year's situation is still very favorable for farmers. Summary:

To sum up, I think the right time, the right place and the right people have decided that this year's breeding situation is good and the prospects are promising. However, by next year, some factors that are unfavorable to the relationship between supply and demand will be gradually resolved. Coupled with the sharp increase of farmers, the future market will be very uncertain. Therefore, I suggest that everyone must establish the concept of "seizing opportunities and taking them as soon as possible" to ensure success!

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