The recent continued rise in vegetable prices in various places has become a common concern among the public. During this period, Shouguang City, Shandong Province, as the national vegetable distribution center and price formation center, suffered two typhoons in succession and became one of the most severely affected areas.

Is the disaster in Shouguang vegetable production the main reason for the rise in vegetable prices across the country? Will vegetable prices continue to rise in the future? On the 28th, Tang Ke, Director of the Market and Information Technology Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, explained this.

The Shouguang disaster will not push up vegetable prices across the country

Tang Ke said that vegetable prices across the country have been rising continuously recently, and the increase is relatively obvious. According to monitoring by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the national average wholesale price of 28 types of vegetables has increased week by week since August. In the fourth week of August, it was 4.19 yuan per kilogram, an increase of 11.7% from the first week of August.

He said that some people are worried that the Shouguang vegetable disaster will affect the national "vegetable basket" supply and continue to push up vegetable prices nationwide. In this regard, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs organized a special tracking analysis and concluded that the impact of the Shouguang vegetable disaster on the national vegetable market will be limited and will not significantly increase national vegetable prices.

Summer is the off-season for the production and sale of fruits and vegetables in Weifang. A large number of vegetable farmers work in greenhouses under high temperatures and grow relatively few vegetables. There are few varieties of vegetables on the market and low yields, which does not affect the overall supply of vegetables nationwide.

For example, Beijing’s vegetable market is mainly supplied by Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Liaoning and other regions with lower temperatures from July to September. Shandong mainly sells onions, ginger and garlic. Weifang vegetables account for about 6% of the total supply in the Beijing market. %, the Weifang vegetable disaster has little impact on vegetable prices in Beijing, and the supply in the Beijing vegetable market is currently relatively stable.

The recent rise in vegetable prices is in line with the law of year-round fluctuations

Tang Ke said that affected by climate and other natural factors, my country's vegetable prices have obvious seasonal fluctuations.

Judging from years of historical price data, winter and spring are often the highest points in vegetable prices throughout the year. Afterwards, as the weather gets warmer and more vegetables are available on the open field, prices continue to fall to the lowest point in the year. As the country enters summer, Due to widespread hot and rainy weather, vegetable prices have stopped falling and rebounded, and will fall back in September and October.

Judging from the operation of the vegetable market this year, it is basically in line with this pattern. Vegetable prices began to rebound seasonally in July and maintained an upward trend in August.

According to the monitoring of the National Agricultural Products Wholesale Price Information System of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the average price of 28 types of vegetables in wholesale markets across the country from August 20 to 26 was 4.19 yuan per kilogram, an increase of 8.0% from the previous month, and an increase from the previous week. 5.4 percentage points higher and 10.8% higher than the same period last year. Compared with the average level for the same period in the past five years, the average price for that week was 9.1% higher.

Tang Ke said that the reason for the large rebound was mainly due to the sustained high temperature and rainy weather in many places across the country in the early stage. Some major producing areas suffered from floods and geological disasters, which had a negative impact on the growth, picking and transportation of vegetables. The impact is greater than in previous years.

It is expected that vegetable prices across the country will stabilize and fall in the future

According to Tang Ke, under normal circumstances, September and October are more suitable for vegetable growth in most areas across the country, and market supply has recovered. Vegetable prices stopped rising and fell.