According to the latest information, as of 65438+February 12, the national average price of live pigs dropped by 3 1.6% compared with the high point of June 10, and the prices in many places continuously broke1/yuan/kg, touching the bottom of the traditional "9 yuan Pass".
According to the relevant data of 65438+February 12, the average price of breeding end dropped to about 9.7 yuan/kg, which was 0.63 yuan/kg lower than the previous day and 3 1.6% lower than the high point of1October17 yuan/kg. In just two months, the market has undergone new changes.
In view of the fact that this round of pigs fell more than expected, it was related to the rapid rise in the previous period.
Since April this year, the number of fertile sows in China has remained at about 4 1.77 million. In the case of relatively stable de-capacity, the stock of live pigs in the market has been maintained at a normal level, and the supply of live pigs is at a basic level of long-term easing.
Judging from the regional market conditions, the market price in Heilongjiang in Northeast China has dropped to about 9 yuan/kg, the pig price in Guangdong in high-priced areas has dropped to about 10.45 yuan/kg, and Jiangsu, Zhejiang and claw machine have only maintained at 10.05 yuan/kg.
65438+February The latest prices of 65438+February are as follows
However, after March-April, the market began to rebound to a certain extent, and the breeding end was reluctant to sell at a certain price. With the high number of secondary fattening supplements, the domestic production capacity has increased again, especially in August and September, nearly 30% to 40% of standard pigs began to enter secondary fattening, and the market risk has further increased.
This further enhances the risk of pig sales in June 5438+February.
On the whole, the sharp reduction of pig prices in this round is mainly due to the rationalization of prices that have increased too much in the previous period.
In addition, the current supply of live pigs at a certain stage is relatively sufficient, which is also an important reason for the decline in pig prices.
The consumption of pork in the market is still relatively low, and the curing season is not as good as in previous years, which leads to the oversupply of live pigs in the overall market.
Regarding the follow-up market price, the market fundamentals of the future pig price in mid-June 65438+February still exist, but the market is gradually changing, and there is still a certain market thickening at both ends of supply and demand.
Especially in the case that the price of live pigs in the northern region has fallen seriously, the enthusiasm of the market is very high, and the follow-up market is still related to pork consumption. If pork continues to fall below 15 yuan, it will be more difficult to return to the market.
The drop was over 3 1.6%, and the price of "Double Twelve" pigs partially hit the bottom of "9 yuan Pass"! What do you think of the latest price? The above only represents personal views, image source network,