01, pig prices diving
In fact, since yesterday, the momentum of rising pig prices has shown a weak state, I did not think that today's pig prices really fell, its average price has fallen to 12.77 yuan / kg, down 0.24 yuan, this wave of low market confidence of many pig farmers have been hit. And with the accelerated pace of production capacity, coupled with consumption downturn, pig prices bottomed out.
From today's market analysis, the north can be said to be all down, down 0.3-0.45 yuan / catty, such as North China has fallen to 5.9-6.4 yuan / catty, of which Beijing and Tianjin fell 0.3-0.45 yuan; Northeast fell to 5.7-6.1 yuan / catty, down 0.3-0.4 yuan or so; Northwest fell 0.1-0.3 yuan, the market for 5.7-6.4 yuan / catty.
And in the southern area, East China continued to go down, the price fell back to 6-6.7 yuan / catty; Central China fell steadily, Henan fell 0.4-0.5 yuan, but the two lakes trend is still strong; Southwest quotes fell back to 6-6.7 yuan / catty, the two quotes for 5.4-6.9 yuan / catty.
The rise in hog prices in the early period, first of all, consumer demand increased, the market retail generally fell to below 10 yuan, especially in the north, frequent low prices of 4-7 yuan, stimulating consumer enthusiasm. Coupled with the weather turning cold, many people purchasing to make sausage. And with the increase in market volume, as well as pig farmers cover not to sell, pig prices began a wave of higher.
But recently the consumer enthusiasm began to reduce, and the slaughterhouse took the opportunity to put a large number of frozen meat in the past few days, the result is that the market shows a supply exceeds demand state, inhibiting the market higher. At the same time, because the price of pigs ushered in a big rise, coupled with feed costs continue to go up, some pig farmers are reluctant to continue to raise, accelerated the speed of slaughter.
It is against the background of suppressed demand and high market supply that hog prices are once again lower. This decline or will continue, as to when to rise, but also need to see how the market consumption in the second half of the month. Of course, this wave of decline is difficult to continue to fall, pig farmers do not need to be too nervous.
02, egg prices rose steadily
Every year in mid- to late-October, eggs into the off-season consumption, its market is not hot, the price is difficult to rebound, so in the first half of the egg prices fell quickly, once fell to 3.9 yuan / kg, back to "pre-liberation".
But after this wave of "super fall", egg prices again into the rising stage, today the average price of producing areas has risen to 4.31 yuan / catty, the average price of the sales area of 4.46 yuan / catty.
such as Beijing rebounded 0.08 yuan, the big Naga for 4.33-4.39 yuan / catty; Dongguan rebounded 0.06-0.07 yuan, the egg price of 4.26-4.45 yuan / catty; Hebei rose 0.04-0.1 yuan, the egg price of 4.02-4.3 yuan / catty; Shandong rebounded 0.1 yuan, the egg price of 4.22-4.33 yuan / catty.
The reason why the egg price is higher, but also because of the post-holiday businessmen's replenishment demand increased, the intermediary accelerated purchasing demand, and the production area of the inventory can be digested, so that the egg price began a wave of rebound.
This month's laying hen inventory is estimated at 1,164.5 million, down 0.98 percent from a year earlier and 8.6 percent from a year earlier, indicating that production capacity has not increased. However, the current egg inventory in the production area appeared to pile up phenomenon, and the market demand is weak, it is difficult to continue to raise the price rise, and the intermediary of the egg procurement is cautious, but also inhibit the market rise.
In the short term, there is no holiday stimulus, egg prices are difficult to continue to go higher. But it is expected that the beginning of November, with the "double 11" approaching, the e-commerce began to stock promotions, when the egg prices or ushered in a wave of higher, so egg farmers do not need to be too nervous, the late price is still stable.
03, cattle and sheep market higher
From the recent cattle and sheep market, the production area prices began a wave of higher situation, such as Xi'an rack cattle sold 13,000 yuan, the price of fat cows 17 yuan / kg; Suizhou fattening cattle for 15 yuan / kg; Liaoning fat cows for 17.5 yuan / kg, 500 kg rack cows for 14,000 yuan; Henan fattening cows is up to 18 yuan a catty.
Overall, cattle prices are still considerable, especially the breed of cattle, the price of 18-19 yuan per catty. And the market price of beef also ushered in a wave of high, the author's hometown supermarket, beef parts of different prices for 45-50 yuan / catty, this price compared to previous years on the high side of 3-5 yuan or so.
Sheep prices are also very considerable, such as Tongliao ewe lambs for 690 yuan, male lambs for 780 yuan / only; Laiyang more than 120 pounds of fattening sheep for 16 yuan / catty; Taizhou female flower head 20 yuan / catty; Ningde 50 pounds of ewe lambs for 1650 yuan; Shijiazhuang 200 pounds of large rams for 13.5 yuan / catty, out of the ewes for 11.3 yuan / catty; Yichang, Hubei, the old ewe sheep for 12-13 yuan / catty; Yanwo 120 kg fattening sheep for 14.2 yuan/catty.
And in the market, the price of mutton is also significantly higher, such as the author found in the supermarket, mutton starting price of 48 yuan / catty, compared with beef is more expensive.
The cattle and sheep market higher, but also because the weather began to get cold, the market demand for beef and lamb consumption increased significantly, led to the origin of the market higher. Coupled with import restrictions, especially the suspension of Brazilian beef exports to the country, the domestic supply is tight, but also promote the market rise.
As for the future of the cattle and sheep market, is expected to continue to go higher. As for why, but also because of the recent Ministry of Commerce issued a document that will organize the reserve of beef and mutton to replenish the work, when the inflow of beef and mutton into the market is less, to stimulate the market is favorable.