Now with you time back to the end of 18 years to 19 years before the Spring Festival, to see how the experts predicted that 19 years of garlic market will rise attitude and basis.
1. Due to the influence of the 2017 market is better, the planting season of the year garlic planting area increase caused by the 2018 production, oversupply to the big price, hit a new low in ten years, a large number of loss-making growers planted in fact crops, garlic planting surface reduced by 30%, the supply of garlic in 2021 will certainly reduce the supply of supply is reduced naturally easy to be speculated on by the capital and push up the market.
2. The growth of garlic is greatly affected by the weather, if there is no inverted spring cold this spring and the impact of serious pests and diseases, will be ready to go.
3. Rising planting costs, by pesticides, fertilizers, fuel, labor, transportation costs and other rising, may push up the garlic market.
4. Diversification of storage methods, the application of cold chain technology so that the garlic cold storage up to two years, can also be processed into dried garlic or planted into garlic yellow.
5. Export increase, China has become the first exporter of garlic, quality and price of Chinese garlic is very competitive, can ease the pressure of domestic demand.
Finally, it was predicted that the price of garlic would rise in 2021, but the magnitude may not be large. But "garlic you ruthless" is now ruthless! Experts also dropped glasses, but the analysis is also reliable. As for this year's investment in planting garlic, next year, whether the market is ideal, if you will be analyzed according to the expert thinking and principles to think, more collection of garlic industry data, you are also an expert, should be invested in by your decision.
This year is 2021 now the garlic sold on our market is planted after the fall harvest in 2018, this year's price quotations of garlic rising trend is more obvious, it is no exaggeration to say that the price of garlic has been in the state of rising after entering the year 2021. From just after the Spring Festival when sold to 1.7-1.9 yuan rose to the current 3.8-3.9 yuan, can be said to have doubled. But in the face of such a rising trend of garlic is not recommended in this year's fall harvest after large-scale contracted land planting of garlic:
2021 garlic to our garlic farmers to bring a relatively large income, the preliminary estimate of each mu mu land garlic can bring about returns in about 7000 yuan. In this case will make this year's garlic planting area to follow the wind of the expansion of planting, and then make the total production of garlic in 2021 increased, according to the current end consumption of garlic to analyze the consumption of garlic is still limited. So when the supply and demand relationship in the economy changes, the price of garlic can not be avoided.
Secondly, we are all familiar with the effect of the garlic cycle, for example, in 2016 when the price of garlic sold to nearly 5.2 yuan per catty. At that time, no matter whether the previous is not planted garlic began to buy garlic seed garlic, has been in the planting of garlic farmers are also continue to expand the planting area. At that time, the price of garlic seeds was as high as 6.06.5 yuan per catty. But in 2017 when the garlic harvest, first garlic moss cheap no one wants to buy, my garlic moss has nearly 3 acres of land are thrown, to the garlic harvest time per catty is only just 0.9-1.1 yuan per catty, according to the garlic planting to see the investment cost of this price is not enough to protect the capital.
Garlic as a cash crop as its price changes faster, both uncertain factors are too much. Before planting need to examine the market situation, planting risk investment need to be cautious!
I want to plant garlic, this year can make money?
As the saying goes, "plant a year loss of three years! This year in the Jinxiang, Cangshan, Shangqiu and other places of origin to understand that hybrid red garlic per acre of income of nearly 10,000 yuan. Some people rely on this to get rich, embarked on the road to prosperity. But also in some years encountered a poor market, large areas of garlic and can not bring income, but is a loss-making situation, damage to the enthusiasm of farmers planting serious can lead to a few years can not return to the capital. But no matter how much change, garlic is still a good economic crop, nowadays by the producers of planting favor!
"Planting garlic earns a year lose three years, this is very meaningful! In 16 years, there was a "garlic you hard market, a catty of dried garlic wholesale sale can be as high as 6 dollars; and 18 years of the market is a rare trough state, dry garlic per catty less than 1 yuan, fresh garlic per catty only four or five cents, this year most of the garlic is a loss of not making money!
Seed garlic can make money need to consider a lot of factors, such as: the demand for garlic, annual and monthly garlic exports, garlic warehouses in the stockpile, as well as planting area and production, the main factor is the garlic producers planting enthusiasm, planting area. According to the actual garlic market trends, garlic buyers hoarders cajoling prices is also one of the impact of the unexpected factors, in the year of the arrival of the garlic you ruthless market, some areas have hoarders cajoling prices is more prominent, *** with the same raised the price of garlic.
In a field with the old garlic farmers Liu exchange learned that they have more than 20 years of experience in garlic production, in the case of agricultural planting technology continues to improve, they witnessed the garlic yield from 1300 pounds can yield to 2500 pounds. However, due to the improvement of planting structure nowadays, making the manager type crop garlic planting area suddenly increased, so that the 18-19 years in the garlic planting enthusiasm is reduced, so this year's garlic prices soared to a high level. Under the trend of profit gain, will certainly expand the planting area, some ideological awareness is not firm enough producers, will be in the October-November period and blindly expand the planting area, is expected to next year's amount of garlic production increased, the price fell back.
Xiaoxi as an observer, for the planting of garlic revenue have some suggestions and views: first, improve the technical level of planting, and strive to improve the planting conditions, and strive to improve the yield from the planting, management! Secondly, good at grasping the annual garlic price quotations, planting garlic also try to choose to plant in the rising market, this time garlic is more likely to be able to make money. Third, when selling garlic, try to sell garlic in the peak demand period, when the demand is large and easy to pull the price of garlic higher, such as the summer months of June-August and the Chinese New Year period.
Xi is expected to be planted this year, on the market is still alive, the probability of earning money is also relatively large.
The above is purely personal opinion, for reference only. Welcome to criticize and correct. Text original, pictures from the network! Thank you
There is a fall and there is a rise
We all know that last year in Jinan, the situation of this garlic it, or very bad, we are in 2017, garlic sold to, each catty sold to 5 to 6 yuan or so
But in 2018, the price fell very quickly. At one time it fell to 7, 80 cents a pound. The best is to sell to about 4 dollars, so under this situation, many people feel that this fall is too strong. Then compared to this year, this situation has not risen? In fact, the entire planting of the market situation we all know, the agricultural products sold then there is a price increase, there will certainly be a price drop
For this problem for the planting of farmers, it has long been a matter of life and death to look down on the issue of not serving
This year's production is less than that of last year
Data suggests that the area of the listing of the year 2021, the balance is reduced by about 25% compared to the same time period in 2018 has been about 25%
So this situation in the whole demand is still rising, but, the capacity to market the product decline, the price will certainly rise
So this year in the major supermarkets or look at that place inside the price of garlic is still very good to see
Inside the market of Kunming in Yunnan Province, in fact, we have been able to see a lot of fresh Garlic has been fully listed
For the quality of different and the price will be different, then compared to last year's situation may have risen to about 200%
This year's price belongs to the higher, sun-dried varieties then sold to 20 yuan a kilogram, that is, sold to the appearance of 10 yuan a catty. Fresh also sold to 5 yuan to 6 yuan a catty
So this price than last year foot rose a lot, in the face of this problem then if
We are in some supermarkets, in fact, saw this, the price is relatively high, once sold to the price of 9 yuan to 14 yuan or so, because of each place, this product or the price of the situation is not the same. All of them will be different.
Last year's stagnation, this year's shortage
For this situation, then due to last year's Yunnan garlic stagnation situation, so this year's growers to reduce substantially
Faced with this situation, before you can, McDonnell Douglas, 5 yuan a catty, then last year's average price can only be sold to the la, a dollar or so, then there are some places even lower. The highest place only sold to 3, 4 yuan
Then this situation, last year, stagnant, then many people are losing money, then this year's price, it rose very much, because the demand is relatively large, this year, this, for the last storage seems to be the case is really in the past few years is relatively low a low tide
So I personally feel that, for the situation to see. This year's price trend will be very good.
This year's trend
According to the current situation, the listing of this product, as well as the issue of inventory, we specifically did an analysis
In April there is no, large quantities of the market, then from the beginning of May should be gradually the listing of this situation will improve
Then the price at this time may be slightly Down, then in June or so the price may be the lowest
Then after June, I personally think that in July when the price should gradually rise
So we do not recommend that in May and June will begin to list the product. Because this time the price may be relatively low, then our best case scenario, then the product should be stored
Wait until the second half of the year in July and August time to market. If you think there is a risk, then we will first ship a part, stay a part of this situation, ship a part of the time, basically for this year's prices will be able to recover the cost
Then stay that part, see when the price is high time to market, this situation you earn, basically belongs to the pure profit!
I want to plant garlic, this year can earn money? For this question. I can definitely tell you that this year, selling garlic can earn money, the current purchase price of garlic near Jinxiang, Shandong Province soared to about 6 yuan? If there are now tens of thousands of pounds of garlic in the hand, then it is certainly able to earn money.
But if you just want to plant garlic, this year began to buy garlic seeds, put into planting garlic, then this batch of garlic need to be listed next year in May and June, then it is difficult to say whether you can earn money.
First of all, because the price of garlic this year is relatively high will certainly stimulate a lot of people who have not planted garlic before to participate in the garlic planting, and the original garlic growers, but also will expand the planting area. So the price of garlic seeds will be very high. An acre of land will probably need about 1,000 yuan of garlic seeds, plus fertilizer, pesticides, films, watering and other inputs, an acre of land almost also need about 1,000 yuan of inputs, plus digging garlic labor costs an acre of land almost need to be about 1,400 yuan, so that this year, the beginning of the planting of garlic, an acre of land will be about 3,400 yuan of inputs. An acre of garlic production, wet garlic almost more than 3,000 pounds, dry almost half to depletion, only 1,500 pounds or so, if according to this year's price of 5 yuan or so to calculate, is to earn money. If according to last year's price of 0.5 yuan a catty, is certainly to lose money, at present, because next year's garlic prices are not known, it is difficult to say can earn money, but according to the chart of garlic prices in recent years, next year's prices will not be as high as this year. Not like this year so earn money. Finally send you a sentence, planting risk, investment need to be cautious.
I am yam bean candy cane, like me, you pay attention to me.
In fact, the value of garlic seed is fluctuating, many reasons, weather, man-made, and on the collection of garlic intermediaries, will have an impact on the price of garlic, multifaceted, so you want to plant garlic in their hearts have a budget.
This no one can guarantee it, first of all, look at next year's market, the second depends on your yield
Hello! Garlic belongs to the two-year cash crop, planted in September and October, harvested in mid- to late May of the following year, it can be seen that this year, garlic farmers made money of garlic is planted in 2018, so that "want to plant garlic, this year can make money? This proposition can not start, clarify the kernel of the proposition is the high price of garlic this year, last year planted garlic people this year are making money, I also want to plant garlic, I want to ask next year can make money″? This problem is particularly prominent every year of garlic you hard, not only non-garlic producing areas of people thinking about this problem, garlic core producing areas experienced garlic farmers are also thinking about the fall is to continue to plant or is to reduce the planting area? According to the experience of the two rounds of high price garlic in 2010 and 2016, the high price of garlic will lead to a large expansion of planting that year, and some non-advantageous areas also follow the trend of planting garlic, and the result is that the price drop in the following 1-3 years leads to garlic you miserable. This year, the mu net profit of garlic can be up to 10,000 yuan, in 2018, the mu profit of garlic one to three thousand dollars or so or capital preservation, while in 2017 it was a loss, planting garlic three years of mu annual average profit of about 4,000 yuan. Truth be told, in some towns and villages in the main garlic-producing areas of grass-roots governments are also encouraging and supporting garlic farmers to adjust their planting structure, planting greenhouse strawberries or other high-yield fruits and vegetables, with a view to avoiding or reducing the negative impact on economic income when the price of garlic is in the doldrums. Planting garlic income and the timing of the sale of garlic is closely related to the sale of garlic in the high-priced time period and low-priced time period, the difference in income of about one-third or more, non-main producing areas of the garlic farmers are less likely to know real-time price information in a timely manner, mu income will be much lower than the main producing areas of garlic farmers; garlic prices are also driven by the high price of garlic seed prices, increasing the cost of planting, according to experience, this year's garlic prices are high, the next year, garlic prices are low the risk of the probability of is also large. To sum up, non-main producing areas of friends if there are mu average profit of 3 to 4 thousand yuan of planting projects, it is recommended that the fall do not have to follow the trend of planting garlic, if you can not find high-yield planting projects, to bet on the luck of the mentality of planting garlic.
This year's planting of garlic can certainly make money! Last year, 6, July market garlic per kilogram of 6 yuan ~ 7 yuan or so, this year, 6, July per kilogram of 8 yuan ~ 9 yuan, supermarkets can reach 5 yuan a kilogram of garlic a year than a year, garlic price is also a month than a month high, it is estimated that next year, the garlic market can be purchased to 9 yuan ~ 10 yuan mark. Want to plant garlic friends can get down to buy garlic seeds! Another month or two to buy garlic seeds peak certainly prices rise. First do a good job of production work, hope that the next year to bring a good harvest and sell at a good price.
This year's planted next year will be 1 dollar a pound.