1. Market characteristics this month and the overall market trend this year: According to the survey, the turtle market was at a good price of 18.5 yuan/kg at the beginning of this month, and began to drop to 17.5 yuan/kg in the middle of the month and to 16 yuan/kg at the end of the month. Within a month, the market will be lowered to 2.5 yuan, and the following market will go back and forth in 6 yuan. In addition, according to relevant statistics, from February this year, the market price of more than six soft-shelled turtles was 16 yuan/kg, and the highest price this year was 22~23 yuan/kg, and the main business time was from March to April.

Second,

Characteristics compared with last year's market: Compared with the same period of last year, the annual price of more than 6 turtles was above 14 yuan/kg, the highest price was in May-June, and the price of more than 6 turtles fluctuated between 17- 18 yuan/kg. According to the analysis of the above market characteristics, the price recovery rate this year is faster than last year, but the decline rate is also faster and greater than last year. See the table as shown:

3. Cost budget and customer psychology: The market price dropped rapidly this month compared with the same period of last year, which is related to the rising cost of raising turtles this year. This mainly comes from the shortage of fishmeal this year, the high feed cost in the late feeding period and the rising raw material market, which caused the turtle feed cost to increase by 2~2.5 yuan/kg compared with previous years, thus causing customers with heavy capital and cost awareness to catch fish in advance. The current market price has been lowered to 16 yuan/kg, compared with 65438 in the same period last year.

Fourth, the market forecast is expected to rebound in the later period: According to relevant surveys, compared with the same period last year, the fishing time this year is earlier than last year, and the fishing ratio is also higher than last year. In addition, it is not the peak season of turtle consumption, and the market will rebound in the late peak season. Please pay attention, but it remains to be seen when it will rebound and how much it will increase.

According to the development and consumption demand of soft-shelled turtle in recent years, experts estimate that the market in the next three years is still optimistic. First, people are more and more aware of the nutritional value of soft-shelled turtle, and more and more people like to eat soft-shelled turtle; Second, the quality and safety of soft-shelled turtles are getting better and better than in previous years, people are more assured to eat, and the market price is also increasing steadily. Turtles have no room to fall.