Dally, the "Second Brother" has another show, and the pig price has skyrocketed to a new high. Farmers are also looking forward to it, and the beauty is in their hearts. Now they can finally sell more money for fat pigs.
It's true. With the pig price plummeting one after another, the pig price in Heilongjiang in some areas has fallen into the "6 prefix", but now the pig market has rebounded rapidly, and the market has entered the "8 yuan era" in an all-round way, and even the pig price in 2118 provinces and cities has entered the "9 prefix".
However, the current "supply and demand pattern" of the pig market has not changed significantly, but the supply and demand structure of the pig market has been temporarily adjusted due to many profit-increasing factors, and it is still slightly weak in supporting the sharp rebound of pig prices, especially in the northern region, so it is necessary to be alert to the surge and fall of pig prices.
near the end of the month, the rhythm of slaughtering pigs in large-scale pig farms slowed down, and the pressure on the supply side decreased, but it was still relatively sufficient. With the arrival of New Year's Day, the mood of slaughtering enterprises increased, which led to a series of rebound in pig prices.
according to Mysteel's data, the operating rate of slaughter has obviously increased. The pig analyst of the Agricultural Products Division of Shanghai Steel Union said that New Year's Day is just around the corner, and the demand is slowly recovering, which has supported the pig price.
The operating rate of slaughter in sample enterprises showed an upward trend for "four weeks in a row". The profit of slaughter enterprises was poor, and the wholesale delivery of white bars in the terminal market was still unsatisfactory. However, with the easing of "cold problem" in some areas, the number of rehabilitation personnel gradually increased, which made the subsequent market consumption gradually enter a "small peak".
With the continuous optimization of prevention and control policies, the catering and tourism markets in many places have also been restored. I wonder if you have noticed that some hotels and scenic spots began to queue up at the weekend, which is a rare queuing phenomenon except for testing in recent years.
according to the data of a certain trip, weekend tickets in some scenic spots in Beijing have surged by 2 times. In addition, a report released by a certain trip said that the proportion of inter-provincial tours on New Year's Day in 2123 has reached nearly 61%, which is 34% higher than that on New Year's Day in 2122.
The recent rebound in pig prices is more driven by "retaliatory demand", but the current increase is difficult to sustain, because the slaughter weight of pigs has declined, but it is still at a high level, indicating that the supply pressure of big pigs still exists.
In addition, after the winter solstice, the demand for cured meat ended, and the "mask problem" still suppressed consumption. Therefore, after the short-term rapid rebound of pig prices, the rising trend of pigs may be difficult to sustain, or it may maintain a "low shock" trend.
Generally speaking, some large-scale pig farms are not optimistic about the market after the Spring Festival. Even in October next year, they will actively adjust the rhythm of slaughter, so that the pressure of slaughtering pigs in the market will be concentrated in the first half of the month.
At the same time, there are not enough large pigs in the hands of free-range farmers, especially some pig sources with secondary fattening and heavy weight, which are still waiting for the rebound in the market, leaving the breeding end with limited time to be released before the Spring Festival, so it is necessary to be alert to the "selling tide on rallies".
under the influence of the "mask problem", the consumption of short-term catering, dining and so on has improved, but compared with the peak season in previous years, it is still at a low level. Under the background of making money, it is still difficult to recover the demand greatly. At present, the consumption support is relatively weak, and the rebound performance of pig prices may be less than expected, and there are signs of rising and falling. Everyone should be vigilant and avoid it.
According to the monitoring of the pig price system, among the 26 provinces and cities monitored today, the price of live pigs rose by 22% and fell by 4%, and the rising areas accounted for 85% of all the monitored.
The lowest average price of live pigs monitored in China is 8.82 yuan/kg, the highest average price of live pigs is 9.11 yuan/kg, and the overall average price of live pigs is 8.96 yuan/kg, which is 1.44 yuan/kg higher than the national average price of live pigs yesterday. Today, the overall price of live pigs shows a trend of "stable and rising more".
according to the purchasing difficulty of slaughter enterprises, the purchasing difficulty of slaughter enterprises in the northern region is weakened, the phenomenon that slaughter enterprises stop planning is obviously increased, the pig price of breeding groups has declined to some extent, traders are not enthusiastic about bidding, farmers are more enthusiastic about selling pigs, and some pig loading points and slaughter enterprises have withdrawn from planning.
The pig procurement of slaughter enterprises in southern China is smooth, and some enterprises have stopped planning. Although the price of pigs has increased to some extent, the breeding group has shown good enthusiasm for slaughter.
The bidding enthusiasm of traders in leading groups has been weakened, and the pig price in group pig farms has declined to some extent, and the traders are less enthusiastic about receiving goods.
The ex-factory price of pigs in slaughter enterprises in Northeast China decreased by 511 yuan/ton, while the price of pigs in slaughter enterprises in Shandong increased by 2111 yuan/ton.
Forecast of pig price trend tomorrow: Based on the analysis of recent pig market factors, it is expected that the pig price will show a trend of "shock with decline" tomorrow, focusing on the listing and transaction of pigs in the pig farms of the Group.
The above interpretation of the pig market is for your reference. Welcome to exchange views on the pig market, grasp the market dynamics, collect and share, and raise pigs to make a fortune.