Of course, the good news doesn't stop there. There are three good news recently: the price of meat and vegetables has dropped, gasoline is expected to drop for three years in a row, and firecrackers have an inflection point in lifting the ban. Let's look at the specific situation.
The prices of meat and vegetables have dropped.
What people often say in the past two years may be "everything goes up except wages."
It's hard to make money by yourself. If prices rise again, life will be more difficult. Fortunately, the prices of meat and vegetables have dropped recently.
Let's talk about the price of meat first, because pork is our favorite meat, and the trend of pork price has the role of a weather vane. "When it goes down, it goes up."
"From 5438+00 at the end of June to now, domestic pork prices have been falling continuously. By the end of February 14, the price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market was 29.79/ kg, which was significantly lower than the previous price of more than 40 yuan.
The logic of pork price decline is mainly as follows:
1, a large number of pigs that should be released in September1October were compressed to be released in February and February, and the number of standard pigs available for release was also increasing. Coupled with the small-scale pigs sold by farmers urgently, the number of pigs slaughtered in the market has increased, and the weight of pigs has also increased, resulting in oversupply of pork.
2. In the past, pork consumption was depressed because of the blockade, but now the blockade is optimized, but people are afraid to go out, and pork consumption is worse than before.
Recently, however, news came from pig dealers that the supply of standard pigs was tight and the slaughtering enterprises were dissatisfied with their plans, indicating that with the consumption some time ago, the number of pigs available for slaughter in the market dropped significantly, and the price of superimposed pigs approached the cost line, and the breeding end was reluctant to sell them.
Considering that the subsequent pork consumption will increase obviously with the arrival of favorable holidays and retaliatory consumption after the epidemic situation improves, the pork price is likely to stop falling and rebound.
Let's talk about the price of vegetables Previously, due to the high vegetable output this year, the epidemic situation in some areas was closed, vegetables were unsalable, the price of vegetables dropped sharply, and the price of vegetables fell to a very low level.
Recently, the transportation of vegetables has been resumed, and the previously unsalable vegetables have basically been consumed. In addition, open-air vegetables have entered the final stage, and greenhouse vegetables have been listed one after another. On June 65438+February 14, the average price of 28 vegetables monitored was 4.52 yuan/kg, up 0.4% from yesterday.
Compared with the price of vegetables in the same period last year, we can find that the price of vegetables has dropped greatly this year.
According to media reports, the prices of celery and spinach are only 40% of the same period last year, and the current green cauliflower is only 20% of the same period last year.
In addition, the prices of white radish and eggplant decreased by 20% compared with last year, and the prices of green radish and broccoli decreased by 40%.
It can be seen that the price of vegetables is cheap this year.
However, institutional analysis believes that there will be a high probability of subsequent vegetable prices rising:
1. Open-air vegetables have entered the final stage, but the cost of planting vegetables in greenhouses is high and the total output is relatively low.
2. After the epidemic situation improved, catering consumption resumed and the demand for vegetables increased.
3, the New Year's Day holiday is exciting, and there is a peak demand for vegetable gift boxes before the Spring Festival.
It is expected that gasoline will "fall three times in a row"
According to the relevant regulations of gasoline price adjustment in China, the next oil price adjustment time is 65438+February 19. Today is the seventh working day of the new round of oil price adjustment. By the end of June, 65438+February 14, the crude oil price was updated. WTI crude oil opened at $75.27 a barrel today and closed at $75.25 a barrel yesterday, up 0.
Brent crude oil opened at $80.53 a barrel today and closed at $80.54 a barrel yesterday, down $0.065438 +0.
In the last three working days, international oil prices have risen. Due to the large decline in the previous period, the comprehensive change rate of international crude oil prices is still negative. According to the agency's forecast, the domestic oil price will continue to be lowered by 5 10 yuan/ton in June 5438+February 19, which is equivalent to a drop of 0.39-0.46 yuan per liter of oil price.
At present, the price of No.92 gasoline is 7.95 yuan/liter, that of No.95 gasoline is 8.53 yuan/liter, and that of No.0 diesel is 7.63 yuan/liter. After a further reduction of 0.39-0.46 yuan, the domestic price of No.92 gasoline will drop to about 7.5 yuan/liter, and the price of No.95 gasoline will drop to about 8. 1 yuan/liter.
There are still three working days left in the subsequent gasoline price adjustment cycle. Even if the international oil price continues to rise, it is difficult to change the fact that the oil price fell in 65438+February 19, which will only affect the adjustment range of the oil price.
Firecrackers lifted the ban and turned around.
With the approach of the Spring Festival, the topic of prohibiting setting off firecrackers has caused a heated discussion on the Internet.
Friends who oppose the lifting of the ban believe that setting off fireworks and firecrackers will produce harmful gases such as carbon monoxide, nitric oxide and hydrogen sulfide, which will not only cause health to people, but also pollute the environment.
Before the ban on burning, people were injured or caused fires every year because of setting off fireworks and firecrackers.
Friends who support the lifting of the ban believe that setting off fireworks and firecrackers is an important part of our Spring Festival activities, just like eating moon cakes in the Mid-Autumn Festival, zongzi in the Dragon Boat Festival and dumplings in the Lantern Festival. Without the roar of firecrackers every year, we feel that there is no flavor of the year.
However, the lifting of the ban on firecrackers has improved the situation. That is, at the beginning of 20021,Sichuan channel, the client of People's Daily, published an article entitled "Building a message to the local government: it is not appropriate to ban firecrackers". Although it is a cold meal this year, it can at least show that some media are also concerned about setting off fireworks.
In my opinion, setting off fireworks and burning straw should not be banned across the board, but should be banned on the basis of targeted solutions according to local actual conditions.
Straw burning has turned around. There are already regional regulations in Northeast China, and straw burning can be carried out on the premise of meeting various requirements.
The same is true of setting off fireworks and firecrackers. It can be stipulated that burning is not allowed in most cases, but such particularly important festivals as the 30th, 1st and 15th of the first month should be cancelled.
If there is no local condition to set off fireworks and firecrackers, the local government can set off fireworks to celebrate according to local conditions, which can effectively solve the safety problem.