In 2023, the No.1 Document of the Central Committee was released. Looking at the full text, there are many contents closely related to farmers' friends and pig farmers, such as how to grow corn and soybeans. Is it still subsidized now? How to develop seed industry? How can family farms and cooperatives broaden income-generating channels? What is the future of small-scale pig farms and retail investors? Actually it is mentioned in the document, but what does the specific top-level design mean? What signals are released behind this? In this article, we will make a "vernacular version" interpretation.
Policy subsidies to alleviate the "panic with beans"
Step up the cultivation of soybean oil.
Solidly promote the strip compound planting of soybean and corn, and steadily develop and utilize saline-alkali land to grow soybeans.
Increase subsidies for corn and soybean producers!
Many interpretations of pigs: For China with a population of 654.38+0.4 billion, stabilizing grain production is always the most important thing. However, in the case that our food rations are completely satisfied and our reserves are surplus, the state has tried every means to promote the cultivation of corn and soybeans in the past two years.
This is in line with the purpose of Document No.1 last year.
As we all know, corn and soybean are an important part of livestock and poultry feed. However, China's soybean (soybean meal) is heavily dependent on imports. Without autonomy, it will definitely be "led by the nose". Therefore, in the past two years, the market price of soybean meal in China can only be pushed around by the international market, and farmers are miserable.
Therefore, on the one hand, the state stimulates growers from policy subsidies, on the other hand, it uses all possible land (such as saline-alkali land) in an attempt to alleviate the "bean shortage" in China.
Stimulated by the policy dividend, from the results of last year, the result is to develop in the desired direction.
However, we still have to think about a problem. Subsidies are not a long-term solution. If farmers want to grow soybeans voluntarily, it is necessary to make "growing beans profitable", and the most basic thing is high yield.
How to ensure the output? Then you have to rely on biological breeding.
Seed industry revitalization must not be led by the nose.
Original: It is necessary to further implement the seed industry revitalization action.
We will comprehensively implement major biological breeding projects and solidly promote the national breeding joint research and livestock and poultry genetic improvement plan.
There are many interpretations of pigs: "species" is the source of industry! Seed industry revitalization is an important strategy in the agricultural field at present and in the future.
Whether it is cash crops, crops or livestock and poultry fields, "the rise of seed industry" is imminent.
Many people may not know that almost 99% of the varieties of peppers and eggplant we eat almost every day are "foreign seeds".
In the pig industry, although the market share of China native pigs is increasing year by year, it still can't compare with the three major marine pig breeds-Duroc, Changbai and Dabai, which occupy more than 95% of the market. When it comes to introduction, people will first think of "American pig" and "Dan pig" but there is no "China pig", especially the chicken and duck market.
We all know that if we don't get stuck, we can only vigorously engage in independent research and development. Fortunately, in recent years, the breeding situation in the field of live pigs is improving, and some large-scale breeding companies are launching their own "strains", so the breeding companies with core technologies must be at the top of the industrial chain, and the state's policy inclination towards these enterprises will be more and more big!
One more thing, at present, the breeding technology of genetically modified organisms is very mature abroad, but it is still banned in China. Will the country release the genetically modified organism breeding project in the future? what do you think?
Getting rid of poverty and not returning to poverty is still a tough battle.
Original: Resolutely hold the bottom line of not returning to poverty on a large scale.
There are many interpretations of pigs: I still remember that in 20 19 and 2020, many pig farmers succeeded in getting rid of poverty and living a well-off life by relying on a few sows. At that time, it was true that several sows could buy cars and houses, and the pig industry also made some contributions to the cause of "poverty alleviation" in China.
But look at these two years, especially now the price of live pigs is extremely unstable and has fallen below the cost line. If this situation continues, it must be said that many farmers will lose money and even return to the ranks of the "poor" again.
Then we can also see from Document No.1 that the poverty alleviation achievements that the country has struggled for so many years must be fully preserved, so the country will not allow the pig price to be depressed for a long time and will not ignore retail investors!
Stabilize the pig market, first stabilize the sow.
Take overall responsibility for ensuring the stable production and supply of live pigs, and strengthen the regulation of live pig production capacity, mainly to breed sows.
Strict "vegetable basket" mayor responsibility system assessment.
Various interpretations of pigs: fertile sows are the engine of pig industry. Only by stabilizing the number of fertile sows can we stabilize the slaughter of live pigs and ensure the smooth operation of the live pig market.
According to the market demand in China, the number of normal fertile sows in China is about 4 1 10,000, which can basically keep the balance between supply and demand. At present, the number of fertile sows exceeds the planned 2 million, so the pig industry will also reduce its production capacity in the next step, but we must ensure that "the production capacity cannot be excessively reduced" or it will push the market price to the other extreme.
Normalization of non-plague prevention and control
Original: Do a good job in the prevention and control of major animal diseases such as African swine fever and key zoonosis.
Various interpretations of pigs: Document No.1 once again included African swine fever in the scope of prevention and control of key diseases.
Different from last year's "ensuring that some people are responsible for the prevention and control of major animal diseases such as African swine fever, others are responsible", this year's "normalized prevention and control" was put forward, which shows that the prevention and control of non-epidemic diseases has been "downgraded" to some extent, and it also shows that non-epidemic diseases have coexisted with China's pig industry, but pig farmers still need to sum up their previous prevention and control experience, make continuous progress and fight against non-epidemic diseases!
At the national level, the scale will be further promoted.
Original: Implement the modernization drive of facility agriculture.
Promote the transformation and upgrading of large-scale livestock and poultry farms and breeding ponds.
There are many interpretations of pigs: undoubtedly, the scale of pig industry will be further improved, and the state will continue to promote the transformation and upgrading of large-scale pig farms. With the completion of the transformation of pig farms, the biosafety level and intelligence level of large-scale farms will also be improved, and of course the competitiveness will be further improved. This is the industrial development path of top-level design planning, the inevitable trend of industry development, and the historical choice, which is irreversible.
Retail investors should think about how to deal with themselves in the future.
Family farms and farmers' cooperatives can develop primary processing, increase income and expand sales.
Implement the promotion action of agricultural product processing industry, support family farms, farmers' cooperatives and small and medium-sized enterprises to develop primary processing of agricultural products, and guide large agricultural enterprises to develop deep processing of agricultural products.
Various interpretations of pigs: Throughout this year's Document No.1, the number of references to family farms and cooperatives has decreased, but what is mentioned here is also different from before. In the past, we paid more attention to the bundled development of family farms, cooperatives and large enterprises, hoping that large enterprises could play with family farms and cooperatives. This year, we paid more attention to family farms and cooperatives to develop primary processing of agricultural products.
What do you mean? In fact, as far as the pig industry is concerned, due to the large fluctuation of pig prices in the past two years, we will find that there will be many problems after large companies bind farmers, such as foster parents can't get foster care fees. These problems have to be taken seriously, but the state will certainly not deny this model.
Only now I think of the way out for small-scale farmers such as family farms and farmers' cooperatives-I do some preliminary processing myself.
For example, if you grow sweet potatoes, can you do some preliminary processing of sweet potato slices? This is not only conducive to increasing added value, but also conducive to sales transformation.
Needless to say, for large agricultural enterprises, they have been trying to develop the whole industrial chain, such as Mu Yuan, New Hope and Shuanghui. Food is a typical deep processing, as well as dried pork, ham sausage and so on. Are the battlefields for future big enterprises to compete!
Prefabricated dishes were first written into document no.1.
Original: improve the standardization and standardization level of clean vegetables, central kitchen and other industries.
Cultivate and develop the prefabricated vegetable industry.
Various interpretations of pigs: the related contents of prefabricated dishes were written into the No.1 Document of the Central Committee for the first time this year, but for the pig industry, prefabricated dishes are a very high threshold field, and most of them are games between large pig enterprises with the development of the whole industrial chain.
But it also fully shows that this trillion-dollar track is full of development opportunities.