A large number of Russian soldiers marched into Ukraine over the weekend, and the other side did not show weakness, killing hundreds of Russian soldiers at once (Phoenix TV Chinese Channel reported). Although Russia immediately denied this report, Putin dared to say at the weekend that "Russia is an unparalleled nuclear power, and it is best not to mess with us", indicating that the current situation is close to the bottom line that Russia can tolerate.
Objectively speaking, despite the constant artillery fire in eastern Ukraine, its popularity was similar to that of Sichuan during the Cultural Revolution in China, and the death toll was similar. There is still a huge room for upgrading the battle, at least large-scale air combat has not happened yet. According to reports, Ukrainian ground forces have been fighting Russia at the established location, and the number of people dispatched should be more than 1 10,000. Although the Russian side has crossed the border, the largest number is thousands of people, and it is carrying light weapons-it is helpful. Now the United States and European countries are helping Ukraine, asking for money and secretly giving it to others. The humiliation of Russia is increasing day by day, but they will never dare to send troops, because everyone knows that Putin dares to use nuclear weapons.
For Putin, the toughest man in the world, his favorite games are "tit for tat" and "playing hardball". What's more, the dead are nothing to Putin, and many people have died, which is nothing to Putin. Western countries are all democracies, and they can't play barefoot Putin. Therefore, it can be judged that there is basically no solution to the Sino-Ukrainian crisis at this stage, and someone must make major concessions, and the person who makes concessions must be the West. The premise of making concessions to the west is that the hot war is escalating step by step and the death toll is greatly increasing. At least, we can see air strikes and air battles-like the wars during the Cultural Revolution, from broadswords and spears to tank howitzers-until someone can't stand it. It may be the international community, especially the western countries!
It must be emphasized that the Russian-Ukrainian crisis is different from any regional conflict in the past few decades. Countries in the Middle East, for example, are at war all the year round. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict point is located in the geopolitical center of the international community and is too close to the big countries. At the same time, 50% of the huge energy needed by Europe is provided by or through this region. The Russian-Ukrainian crisis is escalating, and western countries are definitely indispensable-but there is nothing they can do! Russia will never allow Ukraine to become a pawn of NATO, but the vast majority of Ukrainian people have never believed in Russia and must seek NATO protection. There is no breakthrough point of compromise between Russia and Ukraine, and the only way is for the international community to intervene. At present, 80% of the international community condemns Russia, but 90% dare not face Putin. You said that Putin returned Crimea to change the map of World War II, so does Ukraine's accession to NATO belong to changing the map of World War II? To tell the truth, it is understandable that Putin wants his neighbors to be closer to him. What's more, this neighboring country was Russian territory before and after World War II. But Putin's biggest problem is dictatorship and casualness, which makes neighboring countries, including Europe and America, uneasy. Putin boasts that he has the most nuclear weapons in the world and can solve all problems by force, but Ukrainians are not easy to bully, and the people there inherit the noblest national spirit in their blood. What's more, Ukraine was once a nuclear power, and it still retains a team of experts who make nuclear weapons. I dare say that the Russian-Ukrainian crisis will continue like this. In less than two months, Ukraine will claim to have the latest nuclear weapons! Once the Russian-Ukrainian crisis threatens to use nuclear weapons, human society will face the threat of nuclear war for the first time!
Objectively speaking, nuclear weapons can't be used, because they never kill the enemy, which will pollute the people of the country, neighboring countries and even distant countries. This is the bottom line of the international community. When Putin talks about nuclear weapons, he is actually testing the bottom line of the international community! Therefore, it is unlikely that the international community will solve the Russian-Ukrainian crisis today, but it is certain that in the future, the western countries will give in and Putin will go down the stairs with dignity.
When can things change? First of all, politics seriously affects the economy, especially the economy of big countries! This big country is definitely not China, and it is definitely not the United States. The only possible influence is European countries, mainly Germany and France. But this is not enough, and it will also affect the security of more countries, especially the large-scale nuclear pollution that may be caused by the outbreak of nuclear war. From this point of view, neither China nor the United States can stay out of it.
I believe that once geopolitical conflicts break out, they cannot be resolved in a short time and will inevitably escalate. The dead are inevitable, and more dead are inevitable. Some time ago, the Russian-Ukrainian crisis was raging, and the international community only stayed in the stage of condemnation. That's because there are too few dead people and the market is still stable. In the next stage, the international market will no longer be as calm as it was some time ago, and we will definitely see a storm. First, the global stock market will plummet, especially in the euro zone countries, and then in the United States, including Hong Kong and Asian countries. Later, we will see the collapse of the euro and the pound. This plunge is by no means the kind of tinkering around the edges in the previous stage, and the euro will never hold 13000 points. The fall of the euro should be aggressive and frightening, just like a financial crisis!
The conclusion is that nuclear war may not be fought, but it is a real rehearsal. With nuclear weapons, we can finally restore the stability of Russia and Ukraine and test the sanctity of the territory of World War II! Russia is absolutely desperate and will never yield, and the western powers will definitely yield in the end. Finally, one thing must be reminded: apart from the euro crash, the upcoming Asia-Pacific meeting in 1 1 month will also be in big trouble-Putin threatens people with nuclear weapons, who will pick him up!