Time flies so fast, and it is now late November in 2022.
As December approaches, domestic pig prices have experienced violent fluctuations in recent days. The continuous fluctuations in pig prices at the grassroots level are also affecting the farmers' mentality of selling pigs.
For us farmers, starting from late November, the future pig price situation will show drastic changes.
The state’s supervision of the grassroots pig market continues to increase, and the release of reserve meat will become a core factor affecting pig prices.
Today, Pig God of Wealth will collect for you the overall situation of domestic pig prices in the coming period.
Just now, the China Weather Network issued a new round of weather warning news. Heavy snowfall and cold wave are coming again. Will our country usher in a cold winter this year that has only happened once in 60 years? Let’s also make a detailed report below, and let’s talk about the specific situation together.
The price drop in pig prices has begun! A sharp drop of 3.5 yuan per catty? Can pig prices start to rise in the future?
Pig God of Wealth said: From late November until now, grassroots pig prices have experienced violent fluctuations.
According to incomplete statistics, the mainstream purchase price of live pigs has now dropped by 12.52 yuan month-on-month, and the quoted price of live pigs has fallen back to the market range of 11 to 12 yuan.
Affected by the rising prices of feed raw materials such as corn and soybean meal, the pig-to-grain ratio at the grassroots level has now dropped to a level of 8.47:1.
Compared with the previous high point, farmers' income from pig raising has fallen sharply.
Zhu Caishen still remembers that at the beginning of November, the mainstream purchase price of pigs at the grassroots level once reached 15 yuan per catty.
The current mainstream price of live pigs is only 11 to 12 yuan per catty, and the price of pigs has dropped by 3.5 yuan per catty.
This has fully explained 3 things for us! Let’s find out together!
The first thing: Domestic pig prices have risen to the ceiling after successive increases in the early stage. Even if pig prices will rebound in the future, the increase will not be particularly large;
The second thing: After the country launched a new round of reserve meat release, the supply and demand relationship of pigs at the grassroots level has changed.
Under the influence of the release of reserve meat, pig prices will continue to show a downward trend in the future;
Thing 3: The risk of farmers holding the pen to bear the price It is getting bigger and bigger. The price of live pigs is falling and the price of feed is rising. In the process of rising and falling, farmers are facing increasing risks of carrying prices;
Based on the above three things, Look, Zhu Caishen believes that in the future, the overall situation of the national pig market will still show violent fluctuations.
Just two days ago, Xin Guochang, Deputy Director of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, made the latest judgment on the pig market conditions on New Year’s Day and Spring Festival this year.
He believes that the national pig production is still growing and the demand for pork increases during the peak consumption seasons of New Year's Day and Spring Festival, but the market supply will also increase steadily.
The supply of pork is sufficient, and it is unlikely that pig prices will continue to rise sharply.
According to the current wholesale price of pork strips at the grassroots level, the overall average wholesale price is 29 yuan per kilogram, a decrease of 4% compared with last week and a decrease of 16% compared with the beginning of October.
Coupled with the continuous launch of reserve meat at the grassroots level in various places, this has further affected the performance of pig prices in the later period.
Based on the above situation, it is difficult for pig prices to see a strong surge in the future. We also hope that the majority of farmers can prepare early.
As big as a blizzard! Will this be the first cold winter in 60 years? Central weather warning notice!
The Pig God of Wealth said: As December approaches, in late November, the weather situation in the north and south becomes particularly severe.
According to the latest weather news released by the China Weather Network, there will be continuous rain and snow weather in Xinjiang, Northeast and other places. When this round of cold wave weather strikes, the temperature in many areas The drop can even reach 10~16℃.
In particular, I hope everyone will pay attention to the heavy snowfall weather that will occur in Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang and other places in the future.
At the same time as the cold wave and cooling weather appeared, there was a heated discussion on the Internet that this year will usher in a cold winter that only occurs once in 60 years.
In response to this matter, the Pig God of Wealth also consulted relevant meteorological experts. The expert’s reply was that this year our country will not usher in a cold winter that only happens once in 60 years! From a professional meteorological perspective, it is not rigorous to describe solar terms as occurring once in decades.
So this is just an individual’s speculation on the weather and does not represent the scientific prediction results of the meteorological department.
I hope that the majority of farmers can also have a basic understanding of the future meteorological situation.
2022 has arrived in late November in the blink of an eye. Although domestic pig prices have been extremely volatile in recent times, Pig Wealth God believes that it is guaranteed by various national regulatory policies.
Our farmers’ income from pig raising will definitely not be bad this year.
I also hope that everyone can focus on collecting changes in the weather. After all, changes in the weather will also affect the efficiency of pig transportation at the grassroots level. We do not rule out the possibility that pig prices will rise in the short term in some areas in the south.
I still urge everyone to take action together, click on the lower right corner of the article to read it, and give a like to the country’s pig price control policy and weather warning news.