Judging from the piglet market in these two days, the piglet price has been falling for two consecutive days, with a single-day drop of 1.09 yuan/kg, a decrease of 2.5%.
As can be seen from the historical data, the general price of live pigs will go up, and the price of piglets will follow. The trend of the two is highly positive, but the price of pigs is still firm, but the price of piglets has begun to rise and fall!
Specifically, let's take a look at the price of piglets in major domestic provinces and cities 15 kg today:
Shandong Province 15 kg ternary piglets mainstream price 600-900 yuan/head; Jilin Province 15 kg piglet mainstream price 600-850 yuan/head; The mainstream price of ternary piglets in Zhejiang Province, Henan Province 15 kg is 700- 1000 yuan/head; Hubei province 15 kg outside the mainstream price of ternary piglets 650-825 yuan/head; 600 yuan/Tou, Guangdong Province 15kg, the mainstream price of ternary piglets.
# Piggy price #
Judging from the piglet quotations in the above provinces and cities, the price of piglets in these two days has dropped by 50- 100 yuan/head compared with the previous two days. Recently, the 15 kg piglet trading market has obviously cooled down, and the piglet trading price in some areas even fell below 600 yuan/head.
The price trend of piglets generally represents farmers' views on the market outlook. Optimistic about the natural enthusiasm of the market outlook is high, but not optimistic about the natural enthusiasm of the market outlook.
If the farmers make up the price at this time, it corresponds to the pig market in the second half of11-65438+February. It stands to reason that165438+February is the peak season for pork consumption, which supports the pig price to some extent, but the enthusiasm of farmers to make up the price has declined, indicating that farmers are cautious about the market at the end of the year.
Judging from the number of fertile sows, there are still 4 1.92 million sows at present, and the normal number has been more than 4 1 10,000 since 2022, which means that the supply of live pigs will still be abundant in the next 10 month.
Under the influence of changes in residents' consumption structure and epidemic situation, the overall consumption of pork in the second half of the year is still full of great uncertainty, which affects farmers' judgment on the market.
In addition, although the price of live pigs has risen sharply at present, the price of pork for terminal consumption has not increased much. The hot climate in the north and the continuous rainfall in the south are not conducive to the growth of terminal consumption, and the rise in pig prices still needs the support of terminal consumption.
And there are speculative behaviors such as secondary fattening on the supply side. At present, slaughter enterprises suffer serious losses and the operating rate is low.
In short, judging from the current stock of fertile sows and the forecast of the market in the second half of the year, some farmers' enthusiasm for piglet replenishment has decreased, which shows that some farmers are cautious about pig prices in the second half of the year. Judging from the price trend of piglets, it is expected that the price of piglets will not increase much in the short term, mainly due to shock operation.
what do you think?