Eggs are in great demand in our country, so there are also many areas with egg farming, for farmers, egg farming efficiency is their greatest concern, so how is the second half of the egg market? The following one to understand.
Eggs are a common food on the table, many people like to eat.
Eggs are in great demand in China, so there are many areas of egg farming, for farmers, egg farming efficiency is their greatest concern, then the second half of the egg market? The following one to understand.
One, the new changes in the egg industry
The egg industry is currently the main changes in these changes, respectively, is the continued recovery of hen stocks, pink eggs accounted for a higher proportion; Amoy chicken and egg spreads are large; the protein gap under the African swine fever; sudden breeder eggs to the business; the occurrence of swine fever to affect the proportion of egg substitution; swine price fluctuations, etc., which are the factors affecting the egg industry.
Two, the second half of 2019 egg price quotations
The second half of each year is the peak season for eggs, especially in August and September.
Every year, August and September are the time of high temperatures, the heat is not conducive to hen laying, and August and September is the beginning of the school year, the demand for eggs in the school canteen greatly increased.
This time the market demand is greater than production, the price of eggs will rise.
And when it comes to various festivals, such as Christmas and New Year's Day, the demand for eggs will also increase at this time.
Together with the impact of African swine fever, this is when consumers turn their attention to eggs, a meat substitute, thus increasing the demand for eggs.
At present, farmers and farming enterprises are highly motivated to directly subsidize young chickens, and it is expected that the price of eggs will rise in the second half of 2019, stimulated by the profitability of panning chickens and the considerable profitability of farming, with the selling price predicted to be around 4.5 yuan at a high level.
Three, 2019 egg futures market
Currently under the fermentation of pig price theme, the speculation is difficult to suspend, the long-term impact of egg futures and spot prices.
Additionally the high price of knockout chickens supports the logic of accelerating the elimination of capacity removal after every sharp drop in spot, potentially leading to the off-season.
Finally, the collapse of broilers to eggs sounded the alarm, egg hens continue to replenish the background, can be expected is that eggs are also likely to be similar to broilers in a period of sharp decline
This year, the industry in the high profitability of high replenishment background of shorting is very difficult to change the mindset of the capital side of the swine fever in the background of the long, but also will not be in the first half of a collective defection, as long as the egg spot can not be completely disproven The two parties will be entangled for a long time, the earliest time to falsify the current downtrend, and then every off-season low and peak season high is a window of time to falsify.
This is a process that requires balance, while focusing on the eggs themselves on the prices of hogs, broilers and other supply and demand concerns help to grasp the strength of the capital side of the expected, and ultimately stepped on the beat of the market instead of simply looking at the spot price and move.
The above is for the second half of 2019 egg forecast introduction, from the content and data we can see, egg prices are affected by various aspects, and the current impact is the biggest is the African swine fever, so if the second half of the swine fever to get a complete solution, then the egg market is going to have a certain impact, all in all, from the current point of view, the egg industry in the second half of the year is also available, the follow-up to hold the wait and see.