The price of live pigs in 2023 will definitely be better than that in 2022, because this year's pig-grain ratio is around 6: 1, and next year's pig-grain ratio is around 7: 1. The price of live pigs decreased in 2002110-May, and it did not increase significantly until June, and it began to decrease after reaching its peak in August and September. From 2002 to 2022, the pig market experienced five pig cycles, each lasting about 4 years.

For farmers, two things can be done well. The first is to seize this advantage, optimize the population structure, and make good planning and layout. According to the growth cycle of pigs, the period from reserve sows to commercial pigs is between13 and1April. That is to say, in September-June, 2022, 65438+ 10, binary sows were raised, corresponding to the slaughter of pigs around June-June, 2023, just entering the traditional consumption peak season of pickling and enema in the fourth quarter, and the demand side was profitable, so it is expected to continue to grasp this pig cycle.

The impact of rising pork prices

1. There is a great demand for pork in China. According to official data, the pork shortage in China this year is as high as 9.23 million tons, which will climb to12.37 million tons. If this year and next year are added together, the shortage of pork in just over 400 days will reach more than 20 million tons, and the total output of global pork trade will be about 7 million tons. Among them, China imported more than 3 million tons. Due to African swine fever, the demand gap widened, and pork prices rose significantly.

2. The price increase of pork will affect some people to eat less or not to eat pork, and invisibly shift to consume other meats, resulting in a simultaneous increase in the prices of chicken, beef and various meats in the future. In the second half of the year, many people will say that they can't afford to eat meat, which should be normal.