Aquatic market:
At present, the domestic aquatic market supply is relatively broad, however, demand is limited by the inertia of consumption after the Mid-Autumn Festival and the domestic mask problem, the market circulation is insufficient, the price is mainly weak to oscillation, in particular, recently, the domestic soybean meal market rushed high, the aquatic feed prices, some of the categories of the breeding end of the pressure into the loss!
According to the data, this week, the general water category, grass carp, crucian carp, carp and tilapia prices stabilized mostly sideways, but, compared with last year, showing different degrees of decline in performance! Among them, the average price of grass carp this week pond 5.9 yuan, prices fell 10% year-on-year, the market demand performance is general, the supply is relatively loose, some areas in South China, grass carp market fell 0.3 ~ 0.8 yuan / catty! And in the crucian carp market, this week's pond average price of 8.7 yuan, down 7% year-on-year, in East China, part of the market by the crucian carp subject to increased disease, the market supply increased significantly, the price shocked downward, Yancheng part of the market fell 0.7 yuan / catty! And in the carp market, the average price of 5.1 yuan this week, down 3% year-on-year, the market supply and sales performance is general, due to the post-holiday demand fallback, consumption support is insufficient, the breeding side of the phenomenon by the rising cost of material control, supply and sales of double-low, the price of the main sideways!
And in the crustacean market, this week, the domestic shrimp pond average price of 23.7 yuan / catty, compared with last week fell back 2.6%! However, for the crab category, with a large number of crabs began to market, but, after the Mid-Autumn Festival demand cooled significantly, the average price of pond crabs this week 48.4 yuan / catty, compared with last week fell back 37.3%! Crab prices "diving", Jiangsu region, hairy crabs generally fall 10 ~ 27 yuan / catty, which, Xinghua area 3.5 two female crab prices fell 20 yuan, down to 65 yuan / catty! 2.5 ~ 4 two male crab prices generally in 22 ~ 38 yuan / catty, female crab prices 33 ~ 130 yuan / catty!
Phosphorus fertilizer market:
Golden nine and silver October came, the domestic phosphate fertilizer market, the downstream demand side of the centralized stocking, and by the cost of raw materials rose, phosphate fertilizer prices sharply higher! In particular, the recent domestic mainstream thermal phosphoric acid average price rose to 10,320 yuan / ton, phosphoric acid prices rose, the root cause lies in the mid-autumn festival, the raw material market, yellow phosphorus prices rose as high as 1,500 to 2,000 yuan / ton, which also caused phosphoric acid prices rebounded by about 1,000 yuan / ton!
According to industry analysis, after entering the Mid-Autumn Festival, the weather turned cooler, the downstream market stockpiling support turned thick, and low corporate inventories, the recent processing enterprise volume and price, the domestic mainstream thermal phosphoric acid industry operating rate rose to 45.1%, while the wet process phosphoric acid operating rate as high as 79.7%, the enterprise operating rate to enhance the price of phosphoric acid by the cost of price increases, the phosphoric acid industry price increases in the performance of the counterattack!
However, I personally believe that, due to the current round of phosphate fertilizer prices supported by excessive rise in yellow phosphorus prices, prices rose sharply, but, into October, with the end of grass-roots stocking up, demand is gradually cooling down, the price may be shocked downward, but, in the short term, subject to cost pressures, the market supply and demand is more prominent performance, the market will still be further upward!
Hog market:
In the domestic hog market, September 25, this round of hog prices for 10 consecutive days, although, the hog price rise is limited, the market from 23.46 yuan / kg, successively rushed to 24.28 yuan / kg, but, due to the consistency of the hog rebound is too thick, the hog price rise is quite "irrational! "performance, the market price warning highlighted!
According to the data, September 25, the national average price of hogs rose to 24.28 yuan, up 0.05 yuan from yesterday, the market showed a narrow range of performance, compared with the previous day, the hog price rise fell back significantly! And in the domestic north and south areas, Shandong, Hubei rushed high and fell, the northern region, pig prices rose significantly contracted, Northeast, North China, pig prices generally stabilized, some of the low-priced hogs are still making up for the performance of the rise!
Which, Heijiliao market butcher offer hovering at 24 ~ 24.15 yuan, pig prices rebound only 0.05 ~ 0.1 yuan / kg! And in the North China market, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia quotes shocked up 0.05 yuan, the rally fell back significantly, of which, Hebei quotes stabilized at 24.3 yuan, Inner Mongolia quotes surged 24 yuan / kg! And in the southern market, pig prices narrowly oscillating, Southwest, slaughterhouse offer most stabilized, Chongqing market narrowly rose 0.1 yuan, Sichuan stabilized 24.7 yuan / kg.
In East China, Shandong narrowly dipped, Anhui, Fujian shock rose, Jiangsu and Zhejiang market stabilized, of which, Fujian quotes rose to 25.2 yuan, Shandong quotes fell to 24.1 yuan / kg! Central China, Hubei fell 0.1 yuan, Henan rose to 24.2 yuan, Jiangxi rose 0.2 yuan, the average price of 24.1 ~ 24.7 yuan / kg! And in southern China, the two Guangzhou market sideways 24.4~25.6 yuan/kg!
Hog prices shocked up, but, from the market feedback, at present, the breeding end of the positive out of the fence has improved, although, the retail market hogs out of the performance of the general, but the scale of the pig enterprises have incremental out of the performance of the fence, superimposed on the phenomenon of the second fattening fell back, the abattoir purchasing difficulty slumped markedly, the market wait-and-see stalemate posture highlights the price of pigs have to punch high downward pressure!
Additionally, the domestic consumer market lacks effective support, although, near the National Day, the market bullish mood still exists, but, due to the high price of pork, the general public has a greater resistance, fresh pork delivery deviation, and the domestic reserve pork continued to put, stable prices to keep the supply of the enthusiasm is strong!
So, based on the market supply and demand adjustment, this round of hog prices rise gradually into the end, the market has the risk of falling back, but the market downside space is limited, after all, the slaughterhouse has a centralized stocking demand, the breeding side also has the expectation of the high out of the pen, the price of hogs will still maintain the performance of the high level of oscillation!
Pig prices "up to face", the fish market is depressed crab "diving", phosphate fertilizer significantly stronger, how? In this regard, how do we see it? The above is the author's personal views!