The performance of pig prices in recent days has made farmers very happy. After all, the price of pigs in the deep loss area a few days ago has now risen to near the peak of the cost line. It is really a surprise to sleep for one night to increase the value of a pig 100 yuan. According to a lot of data monitoring of pigs, the average price of three-yuan live pigs outside China today is 14.35 yuan/kg, which is 0. 17 yuan/kg higher than yesterday. What is rare is that the rising momentum in Northeast China, North China and East China is still rapid. Among them, the increase in Liaoning, Hebei, Anhui and other places is around 0.5 yuan, and the price of pigs in more than 70% of the country has risen above 7 yuan, but it has fallen in the south. # 么么么么么 # There are roughly the following reasons for this increase in pig prices 1. Long-term losses have made pig farms more resistant to price and reluctant to sell. 2. The market is generally optimistic about the increase in the number of pigs whose pig prices flow to secondary fattening in the second half of the year. 3. Affected by the public events, pork consumption will be promoted in a short period of time. The general judgment of the pig price trend in the next month or two is the main basis for judging the weak situation, and there are also three 1. At present, there is still no fundamental support for pork consumption in the off-season and insufficient motivation for pig price increase. 2, affected by the public * * * event in the future, such as the May Day holiday, has limited boosting effect. 3. There was sufficient supply of pigs in the second quarter. So why is the supply of live pigs sufficient in the second quarter? Relevant data show that in the fourth quarter of 20021year, the number of piglets was at a high level of about10.99 billion, but in the first quarter of this year it dropped to10.69 billion. Reduced by about 20 million heads. It takes about 5-6 months for piglets to be slaughtered, that is to say, if the birth of piglets is postponed for two quarters, the slaughter amount of pigs can be obtained. According to this calculation, the output of live pigs in the second quarter of this year will peak, and the output in the third quarter will be significantly reduced. This is also a strong support for the statement that the pig price will turn losses into profits in the third quarter, but pig farmers who are not optimistic about the pig price in the second quarter are generally optimistic about the pig price after September. Recently, the price of piglets and the price of live pigs have maintained a high level, rising continuously at the same frequency. Today, the average price of piglets has approached the 30 yuan/kg mark. According to this price, it takes about 450 yuan to outsource a pig weighing 30 kg. In yesterday's article about the price of piglets, there was a message from a pig friend saying that 30 kg of piglets 100 pigs had an average 500 yuan per head. It is understood that the piglet market is extremely hot at present, and many piglets in sow farms have been scheduled to be sold out, which is also why pig farmers are optimistic about the market in the second half of the year. At this point, we can also see the judgment of pig farmers from our questionnaire. From the questionnaire, we can also see that nearly half of people think that the price of pigs will be higher than that of 9 yuan after September. Then, according to yesterday's cost calculation plan, the cost of filling the column now will be about 7.6 yuan/kg when it is released five months later. If the pig price can really rise above 9 yuan after September, then a pig will have more than 300 profits, which belongs to a higher profit space. Be wary of the impact of secondary fattening for the third quarter. At present, the market is generally optimistic that the enthusiasm of the second fattening in the second half of the year will increase or the pressure of slaughtering pigs will be concentrated in the third quarter, which will have an impact on pig prices, which requires pig farmers to be vigilant.