Garlic price trend in 2022
According to the price trend of 20 14 -20 19, the price of garlic has obviously increased in 20 16. The main reasons are that the cold weather and low temperature in 20 15 years caused a large area of garlic frostbite. Continuous cloudy days caused low temperature and scanty illumination in the north for 40 consecutive days, and the illumination time was short. As a result, the garlic yield decreased greatly in 20 16 years.
Combined with the heavy rain in September 9- 10/October in 2020, the main garlic producing areas such as Henan and Shandong suffered from heavy precipitation, and some areas missed the sowing time due to waterlogging, and the planting area decreased.
Generally, the sowing time that can be sown is also delayed by nearly 1 month, and garlic does not grow to 4-5 leaves (the best wintering state). In addition, there were two consecutive cold waves in 1 1 month, which caused a large area of garlic frostbite. The overall performance is similar to that in 20 15 years, so it is speculated that the price of garlic will increase slightly in 2022.
In fact, affected by this year's cold wave, most dishes have gone up in price. Garlic has also been frostbitten in large areas in these two cold waves, so the price of garlic may rise slightly in 2022.
Factors affecting the price change of garlic
There are many factors that affect the price of garlic, such as planting area, natural disasters, inventory, international situation, and the amount of hot money entering the market.
1, market inventory
First of all, the price of garlic is mainly affected by the inventory in the first year. For example, if the stock of garlic is below 500,000 tons, the price of garlic will continue to rise.
According to the normal garlic inventory,1100,000 tons is normal, but the garlic inventory seen in the international garlic trade network in 20021year was 3.45 million tons, and the time point ended at 1 1 20th.
2. Changes of garlic planting area
Secondly, the change of garlic planting area is also a major factor. For our garlic farmers who grow garlic, everyone will fall into such a cycle.
Both the garlic with high price will choose to expand kind of garlic, and the garlic with low price will choose to reduce the planting area. Such a cycle has been summed up by everyone as the so-called garlic several change cycles and "one year to earn, two years to pay, three years to pay."
3. The influence of international factors
Then there is the uncertain international situation and the entry of capital hot money. Every year, the so-called fried garlic group enters. In recent years, Wenzhou gang, Beijing gang and Northeast gang are popular.
The entry of capital can certainly promote the popularity of garlic trading market to a certain extent. But if we can't find a better consumer terminal, garlic is just a hype as a physical stock.
4. Impact of natural disasters
The high price of garlic in 20 16 is closely related to the freezing injury in winter, so the freezing injury and late spring cold have great influence on garlic.