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Is it true that the high price of garlic is at an inflection point?
Perhaps the public has a good time to eat, and the high garlic price is expected to fall. However, for garlic farmers, it is a worrying thing. The drop in garlic price directly affects income.

However, some recent surveys have found that for various reasons, garlic prices have turned to a turning point (lower) due to the withdrawal of hot money. Chutian Metropolis Daily published a news article on this, which reads as follows:

"Now the price of garlic is equivalent to 6000 points of A shares, which is very risky. We withdrew from the stock market in July and entered the stock market." A person in charge of a company engaged in garlic long-term trading in Jining, Shandong Province told reporters that the inflated garlic is as valuable as the house price, and some large households have not saved garlic at all this year, and the amount of garlic saved has dropped significantly.

August 20th is the last storage time of garlic this year. The garlic in the hands of small traders and farmers began to sell intensively, and the garlic prices in Jinxiang, Shandong Province, Pizhou, Jiangsu Province and Zhongmu, Henan Province plunged in succession. However, the contract price of vegetable electronic disk 10 in Shouguang, Shandong Province started to turn down after hitting a record high of 14440 yuan/ton in July, and continued to fall; The price of garlic contract in Long Ding electronic trading market 10 has dropped for five consecutive times from the sky-high price of 14698 yuan/ton, and fluctuated around 12000 yuan/ton.

Garlic farmers also fry garlic, and the purchase price of garlic is historically high.

The reporter's investigation found that garlic farmers are the first link of the industrial chain, and many garlic farmers are both growers and garlic merchants, and they consciously join the next link of the garlic industrial chain to maximize profits.

Mr. Li, a garlic farmer in Shan County, Shandong Province, has planted garlic in six acres of land. Due to the reduction in production, this year, one acre of land produced 1500 kg of garlic in addition to garlic seeds, and also sold 1600 yuan garlic bolts; According to the current price, Mr. Li's output value of garlic and garlic bolts per mu reaches 9000 yuan. Mr. Li not only grows garlic himself, but also bought 15 tons of garlic from the garlic farmers in Zhuangshang at a cost of100000 yuan. Mr. Li's profit from collecting garlic reached 60 thousand yuan, which exceeded the income from farming. Now, he is ready to sell these garlic before the last storage time.

On August 7th, the reporter went to Nandianzi Market in Jinxiang, Shandong Province, which is known as the weather vane of global garlic trading price. Cars full of garlic lined up in four directions at the intersection in front of the market to block out 10 miles away. At six o'clock in the morning, Mr. Zhang from Gaohe Township took garlic from two acres of his home to Nandianzi Market in Jinxiang. From morning to afternoon, there were not many customers who came to collect garlic. The price of 7 yuan money per catty had dropped to about 5 yuan money a few days ago.

Garlic merchants are worried that the quilt cover will reduce the storage of garlic and start selling.

Mr. Wei, from Xinglong Township, Jinxiang County, Shandong Province, has little land in his family. He started to do garlic business more than 20 years ago. Last year, he had 400,000 yuan of his own, borrowed 600,000 yuan from the bank, used about1000,000 yuan to collect 300 tons at the price of 1.78 yuan/kg, and finally sold it at 3.5 yuan/kg, earning1000,000; This year, the purchase price of garlic hit a record high. Mr. Wei spent1200,000 yuan to buy only 150 tons at the price of 4 yuan/Jin. Now, the price of garlic is only 5 yuan's, and Mr. Wei only earned 300,000 yuan, but he still sold some garlic in his hand. "In addition to garlic export and processing enterprises having to collect garlic, this year some large households with tens of millions of funds were worried about being punished by the National Development and Reform Commission and did not collect garlic. The garlic buyers were mainly small and medium-sized garlic merchants. This year's purchase price has reached a record high, and most garlic merchants are worried that they will leave the bomb in their hands and become the last stick. " Man Wei, general manager of Xuzhou Jinguopu E-commerce Co., Ltd. said that because of the lessons of the plunge in 2008, garlic merchants will concentrate on selling and keep their profits. After all, warehousing inventory is risky, and no one knows how big the inventory is and how the price will be in the future.

Xuzhou Huayuan Agricultural Development Co., Ltd. mainly exports dehydrated garlic to Europe. Zong Wenlei, general manager, told reporters that the price of garlic will turn around this year. In his view, the speculation factor accounts for 20% to 30% of the price increase of garlic. Cold storage owners, small vendors who package plots and Jinxiang participate in garlic speculation. They are like retail investors in the stock market, and they are a lubricant. Without them, garlic farmers cannot sell a good price. "The government should encourage and guide cold storage owners, land parcel contractors, small vendors and storage companies other than garlic enterprises to sell garlic and solve the problem of garlic farmers. China accounts for 90% of the world's garlic exports. Why can't we grasp the pricing power like iron ore?"

I hope the landlord can keep his eyes open, O(∩_∩)0