Yellow and Huaihe region flour market as a whole remained stable
Hebei Shijiazhuang area flour prices were stable, the specific market conditions are as follows: Hebei Pingshan ordinary flour wholesale price of 2520 yuan / ton, Hebei Handan special fine flour wholesale price of 2600 yuan / ton, snowflake wholesale price of 2640 yuan / ton, the price is the same as the same period last week. Hebei Tangshan area flour prices rose, the specific market conditions are as follows: Hebei Tangshan special two powder wholesale price of 2480 yuan / ton, the price of the same period last week rose 40 per ton. Anhui Fuyang area flour prices are stable, the specific market conditions are as follows: Anhui Taihe noodle flour wholesale price of 2140 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of ordinary flour for 2320 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of the special two powder 2320 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of steamed bread flour 2400 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of the special two powder 2320 yuan / ton. Steamed bread flour wholesale price of 2400 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of special flour for 2400 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of special fine flour for 2440 yuan / ton, super fine flour wholesale price of 2480 yuan / ton, the price is flat with the same period last week. Shandong Yantai region flour prices are stable, the specific market conditions are as follows: Lianyungang Donghai special flour wholesale price of 2,480 yuan / ton, Qingdao Pingdu special flour wholesale price of 2,560 yuan / ton, Weifang Changyi special flour wholesale price of 2,560 yuan / ton, Yantai Taihuai special flour wholesale price of 2,560 yuan / ton, the price is flat with the same period last week. Shandong Heze area flour prices are stable, the specific market conditions are as follows: Shandong Heze noodle flour wholesale price of 2160 yuan / ton. Henan Nanyang area flour prices are stable, the specific market conditions are as follows: Nanyang Nanshao ordinary flour wholesale price of 2160 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of special flour for 2240 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of special fine flour for 2520 yuan / ton, Pingdingshan Baofeng wholesale price of 2340 yuan / ton, the price is flat with the same period last week.
Northeastern region flour prices are stable and strong
Liaoning Chaoyang region flour prices are stable, the specific market conditions are as follows: Shandong Liaocheng 60 flour wholesale price of 2,600 yuan / ton, 30 flour wholesale price of 2,820 yuan / ton, Hebei Shenzhou Fuqiang flour wholesale price of 2,740 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of the special fine powder of 2,920 yuan / ton, the price is the same as the same period last week. The prices were all flat compared with the same period last week. Heilongjiang Shangzhi area flour prices rose, the specific market conditions are as follows: Shandong Juno special fine flour wholesale price of 2720 yuan / ton, Henan Huaguan 60 flour wholesale price of 2680 yuan / ton, Shandong Xazin to participate in the special fine flour wholesale price of 2960 yuan / ton, the price is flat with the same period last week; Henan Huaguan 70 flour wholesale price of 2660 yuan / ton, the price of the same period last week, up 60 per ton. Jilin Baicheng area flour prices fluctuated slightly, the specific market conditions are as follows: Shandong Jining super fine flour wholesale price of 2,800 yuan / ton, the price of the same period last week fell 40 per ton; special fine flour wholesale price of 2,880 yuan / ton, the price of the same period last week, up 80 per ton; Hebei Wuteli to participate in the wholesale price of 3,000 yuan / ton of fine flour, the special one powder wholesale price of 2,880 yuan / ton, Shandong Royal granary super fine powder wholesale price of 2880 yuan / ton, Shandong Ripan super fine powder wholesale price of 2880 yuan / ton, the price is flat with the same period last week.
Southern region flour market remains strong
Fujian Fuzhou region flour prices are stable, the specific market situation is as follows: Fuzhou Qingzhi steamed bread flour wholesale price of 2580 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of flour 2440 yuan / ton, Fuzhou Xin Dongfang steamed bread flour wholesale price of 2540 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of flour 2400 yuan / ton, the price is flat with last week. Flat. Jiangxi Jingdezhen area flour prices are stable, the specific market conditions are as follows: Shandong rich and strong powder wholesale price of 2480 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of special fine flour for 2600 yuan / ton, the price is flat with the same period last week. Zhejiang Zhoushan market flour prices rose significantly compared with the end of June, the retail market: special one flour retail price of 2920 yuan / ton, compared with the end of last month 2870 yuan / ton rose 50 yuan / ton; special two flour retail price of 2740 yuan / ton, compared with the end of last month 2670 yuan / ton rose 70 yuan / ton. Wholesale market: the wholesale price of special one flour was RMB 2,760/ton, flat with the end of last month; the wholesale price of special two flour was RMB 2,610/ton, flat. Consumption demand decreased in Zhejiang Quzhou flour stopped rising and stabilized. Influenced by the rising price of new wheat in the production area, flour prices of Zhejiang Quzhou manufacturers were generally raised. Recently, the weather is hot, the flour market consumption demand is reduced, the price gradually stop rising to stabilize, the current market special one powder offer 2580-2660 yuan / ton, special two powder offer 2420-2480 yuan / ton, are flat with the same period last week, with the production area of new wheat listed in large quantities, the weather tends to be hot, the Quzhou market is expected to have sufficient supply of flour in the later period, the price will be stable and weakening.
In accordance with the current wheat and flour market comprehensive analysis, the flour market in the near future is still maintaining a stable possibility, although the flour market is currently in the off-season consumption, market demand is weak, but due to the price of wheat has been high, the support of the cost of production, the price of flour is unlikely to decline.
This year's agricultural products (14.75,-0.54,-3.53%) are particularly attractive, wheat also continued the momentum. A lot of acquisition of trucks have driven to the field, there are state-owned enterprises, private enterprises, there are also foreign enterprises. However, their hands of "white flowers of silver" did not impress the farmers.
These days, Shenzhou City, Hebei Province, Beixi Township, Zhang Qiu village farmers Wang Rui Xing a little "upset". Originally quiet in the empty field sunshine wheat she, now every day will be a few sets of strangers to disturb, ask her family wheat sale. Her five-year-old son always takes the opportunity to slip out of her sight.
After a few days, Wang Ruixing and the strangers got acquainted. From the conversation, I learned that some of these people were from flour milling enterprises in neighboring counties, and some were agents for large companies. Although, these people give the purchase price of a higher than one, but Wang RuiXing not half to sell wheat intention, but let her up the wait-and-see mentality. "Everyone is bullish, and they all say to wait a little longer. Anyway, there is no shortage of money."
The phenomenon of buyers going to the countryside, farmers "reluctant to sell" is not only this one, this region is staged. Two days ago, Beijing Capital Futures agricultural analyst Dong Shuangwei to Henan old family went to the phone. Got back the same information is that farmers are reluctant to sell. "In the past few years, farmers sell food sold out of experience, out of the sooner the more losses. Corn, for example, last year's fall harvest price of 1.7 yuan / kg, has now risen to 1.9 yuan / kg. And now the momentum of wheat prices have no signs of falling back, farmers certainly do not want to sell."
"In some areas of Henan Province, there are three or five villagers in each village who act as vendors or middlemen, keeping an eye on the wheat of people in the same village every day. As long as the price is right, they drive straight there, so farmers don't have to haul it to the town's grain station themselves." Dong Shuangwei said.
Publicly available information shows that this year's acquisition of wheat in addition to the main grain storage, COFCO, China Foods and other state-owned grain enterprises, there are all kinds of grain trading enterprises, grain reserve enterprises, rural brokers, flour milling enterprises. Even in previous years only rely on bidding for state-owned grain depot wheat foreign enterprises also broke into the ranks of wheat acquisition. It is reported that the Yihai Kerry Group only in Jining, put 600 million yuan of acquisition funds entrusted to the local private grain purchasing enterprises, the Grain Bureau system restructuring divestiture of the grain depot and other acquisition of the main body, on behalf of the collection and storage of wheat.
"The purchase price offered by the Yihai Kerry Group has always been higher than the market price, generally about 5 cents per catty. Under this, it has intensified the farmers' reluctance to sell." Dong Shuangwei said.
This all undoubtedly makes the grain storage obviously feel more "pressure". China's grain Henan branch of the data show that at present *** storage wheat 8 million tons, while the same period last year collected 134 million tons.
Today's Observer commentator Zhang Hong believes that the chaos in the wheat purchase market is not a bad thing, at least the farmers will benefit. So can not say that the price increase itself is chaos, because the various market players stand at a different angle, if you stand in the state-owned acquisition of enterprise point of view, will feel a little chaotic. Moreover, in 2004 to do grain circulation system reform, the state has made it clear that it has begun to introduce the mechanism of multiple markets.
However, in Dong Shuangwei's view, the increase in the number of acquisition entities is likely to provide more space for speculators. "In the past few years, a lot of companies have been eyeing the grain sector, and they all think it's lucrative. If you hoard a little now, you won't worry about selling in the future. Moreover, the government is now managing it quite loosely than before. This time, the rise in wheat prices undoubtedly has the factor of speculation." Dong Shuangwei said.
Zheng Fengtian, vice dean of the School of Agriculture and Rural Development at Renmin University of China, was concerned on the other hand. "There are now too many buying bodies, which is likely to lead to distorted statistics on this year's wheat production. So how to prevent malicious competition among enterprises may be a bigger problem." He said.
"In fact, the Ministry of Agriculture, the Development and Reform Commission and other departments are paying close attention to the wheat purchase market. If wheat prices continue to be high in mid-to-late July, tougher measures are likely to be introduced." Dong Jianye, an analyst at Tianqi Futures, said in an interview with China Production News.
For the trend of wheat prices in the future market, Dong Jianye and Dong Shuangwei believe that it is still mainly on the strong side. "The psychological price of farmers is 2.2 yuan/kg. This price is not impossible to realize in some areas. But it is unlikely to occur within the whole country." Dong said. Dong Shuangwei's advice to the old folks is also to wait a little longer, even if you can't sell to the highest point, you can still find a more suitable price.