Why did pig prices fall so fast this year?
The reasons for the sharp drop in pig prices are as follows: First, consumers have consumer demand, but they lack spending power. Excluding all factors, when asked whether they want to eat pork, green onions, jiaozi, braised pork or sauce-flavored trotters, I think many people will say "must" and eat three meals a day without meat, which shows that consumers still have a huge demand for pork. However, under the influence of society, it seems that we have pressed the "pause button" for our hurried life before, and everyone pays more attention to health than before. At the same time, due to the influence of staying at home for a period of time, consumers' wallets have been unable to make ends meet, which is in the off-season of pork consumption in the past. The reason of pig price plummeting. There are no festivals to celebrate. Although the price of pork has dropped, it is still high. Most people still tighten their belts, greatly reducing the consumption of pork. Second, slaughter enterprises have no choice but to cut prices. Slaughtering enterprises are also companies, aiming at profit. The pork slaughtered by slaughtering enterprises is not selling well because of the influence of consumers. For circulation, it is impossible to keep it in cold storage all the time, which requires more expenses. Therefore, in order to maximize profits, pork is reduced in price and promoted again and again. The low price of live pigs, coupled with the sharp drop in pig prices in recent days, has caused some farmers to panic in the decline and have stepped up their efforts to sell pigs, which has led to the over-concentration of big pigs listed. The more sources of pigs, the easier it is to buy. The more and more slaughter enterprises depress prices, the more frequent they depress prices, and it is natural for pigs to fall. At present, it is not recommended for pig farmers to "press the bar". Standard-weight pigs can be slightly pressed, but the cycle is best not to drag on for too long, because the rebound probability of standard pigs is greater than the decline, and the follow-up market is acceptable, but it is absolutely impossible to blindly press cattle and pigs. Under the background of non-plague, every link of pig farm management is more risky in hot season. It is suggested that pig farmers can reasonably arrange fences and slaughter according to their own pig farms to maximize the benefits of raising pigs. Why do pork prices keep falling? The fluctuation of live pig price has obvious periodicity, from low point to high point, and then to low point, the cycle is about three to five years. Now the pig production capacity has been fully restored. At present, the market supply shows a trend of falling volume and price. "Pig cycle" is a manifestation of the adjustment of resource allocation in the pig industry with the price. At present, the current "pig cycle" is still going on, and the price of live pigs has not bottomed out. Nowadays, pig farmers in rural areas are all modern business concepts. They are self-employed, selling their own meat, and there is no middleman. Even if the price bottoms out, they only earn more and earn less, not lose money. With the follow-up of aquaculture modernization, the cost of raising pigs has dropped, and the era when farmers lose money is gone forever. Next, as long as they don't give up, it is inevitable to make money. Blindly chasing speculative profits is just an accident. The tide of pork price reduction has come, and the price in some areas has dropped by nearly 30%. What is the reason? The reason is that the market supply exceeds demand. The value of any commodity is determined by the market. When the relationship between supply and demand changes, the value will change. Pork is a very common commodity after all. 1. One of the reasons for the price reduction of pork: the market consumption power decreased after the Spring Festival. As an important traditional festival, the Spring Festival has the advantages of letting everyone have a rest and reunion, but it also has the disadvantage of consuming everyone's money. After such a celebration period, it is very normal for the market to be weak. During the Spring Festival, everyone should spend a certain amount of money on gifts, reunions, travel and other matters before returning to rational consumption. In this case, saving and planning are obviously the consumption habits at this stage, and it is this consumption habit that has led to the decline in the supply and demand of pork in the market. 2. The second reason of pork price reduction: the expansion of pig industry leads to the decline of pork price. During the long-term rise of pork in the early stage, some new farmers were guided to join and the original farmers expanded their breeding scale, which improved the supply capacity of pork. The influx of pork into the market makes it difficult for pork prices to rise again, and then with the constant change of supply and demand, pork prices will continue to change, which is one of the very important reasons for the decline of pork prices. 3. The third reason for pork price reduction: the release of reserve meat also led to a decline in pork prices. The price of pork has been rising in the early stage, which is unacceptable to many working-class consumers. In order to change the relationship between supply and demand in this market, the relevant departments have also vigorously developed the market for reserve meat, and the purpose of putting these reserve meats is to adjust the market price of pork. Conclusion: The shrinking of the consumer market and the expansion of the supply market lead to a rapid decline in the market digestibility of pork and a natural decline in the price. According to the existing relationship between supply and demand, it is estimated that the subsequent price will not rise for some time. Why is the price of pork reduced now? Why? First, the low season of seasonal consumption leads to a decline in demand. The first half of the year is usually a period when pork consumption turns from prosperous to weak, and the continuous weakening of consumption will further reduce pork prices. Moreover, the increase in slaughter also eased the tight supply of pork to some extent. Second, since the beginning of the year, the price of poultry products has been falling and running at a low level, which has replaced pork consumption to some extent. Third: since 20 16, the price of live pigs has risen sharply, while the price of raw materials has gone down. However, the high price of piglets has led farmers to increase the average profit per pig by pressing the fence. It is common to raise "cattle and pigs", and the average slaughter weight of pigs fluctuates, which increases the supply of pork. Fourth: the impact of imported pork. In 20 16 years, China imported about1620,000 tons of pork, a substantial increase of about 108%. In the first half of 20 17, pork imports continued to rise year-on-year, which had a certain impact on domestic pig prices. Although foreign pork prices are rising and domestic pork prices are falling, people in the industry believe that the import volume will remain at a certain high level. Most food prices are rising this year, but why is pork reduced? During the epidemic in 2020, the rise of pork caught everyone off guard. Most food prices are rising now, but pork, which used to be very expensive, has been reduced, which also makes everyone feel confused. Data show that in 2020, the price of pork rose to about 28 yuan per catty, and today it has dropped to more than ten yuan per catty. This price change is unprecedented for everyone. There were some problems with pork a few years ago. The reasons for the decline of pork, such as swine fever and some national health problems, have not led to such a low price of pork. Then the decline of pork is actually a good trend for many people. Because pork is a kind of meat that needs to be eaten in daily life, there is a great demand for pork in every family. In addition, there are more and more pork farmers now, and a scarce item will become more expensive. But if an item becomes ordinary, no one will buy it no matter how expensive it is. Therefore, pork will also decline, and for many people, pork is only bought because the price of pork is cheaper than other meats. If pork is so expensive, you won't choose to buy pork again. Things are scarce, so pork is also fresh, so many vendors have no choice but to reduce the price of pork again and again. The increase in pork prices in 2020 is due to the epidemic situation, which has brought certain difficulties to farmers. So now the epidemic situation is not so serious, so farmers, farmers raise more and more pigs. The decline of pork in China is normal and inevitable. There are more and more farmers because there are more and more farmers, but the demand for pork is as always, so these merchants can't sell all the pork. Then pork can't be sold, and it will rot in their hands, so these vendors will try their best to sell pork at low prices or discounts. So that's why all food prices are rising, but pork prices are falling. Pork prices have fallen sharply for more than two months. What is the main reason for the price reduction? On August 2, 20 19, the executive meeting of the State Council put forward a series of requirements on stabilizing pig production and pork supply and price, and the crux of "dare not raise", "refuse to raise", "have no land to raise" and "have no money to raise" is being broken. Through policy guidance and production support, it is expected that pig production will gradually recover in 2020, and the price of live pigs will gradually fall. In September, 2020, the national average price of live pigs has fallen below 17 yuan, and some areas even fell to the level of 15 yuan.