Especially in these two days, the price of live pigs is like sitting on a "rocket", with sparks and lightning all the way. The price of live pigs in many places across the country rose by more than 1 yuan in two days.
Throughout the national pig price map, it has been "red" for two consecutive days, and farmers can finally catch their breath! # Pig price #
Pig prices continue to soar, and the price of piglets has also risen back to the height before September! According to a large number of live pig data monitoring, on June 23rd, the national ternary piglet price 15 kg was 4 1.30 yuan/kg, which was a new high in the piglet market since 2022.
The continuous increase in pig prices has given farmers confidence, and farmers have a higher enthusiasm for piglet replenishment, which has led to the increase in piglet prices.
# Piggy price #
In fact, since June, the piglet market has been stable as a whole, hovering at 40-4 1 yuan/kg.
Although the current piglet price is the same as that at the end of August last year, the trend after the two is quite different. As we all know, there is a chain reaction between pig price and piglet price. At present, the pig market continues to rebound, and the trend after the price of piglets is naturally dominated by rising.
After that, the piglet market went up, which is beyond doubt. How much can it go up? How long can it continue to rise? This is what farmers are most concerned about.
Since last year, the high price of a piglet of nearly 2,000 yuan has repeatedly broken the psychological bottom line of pig farmers. Compared with this, the cost of 500-700 yuan is reasonable. After all, feed prices have been rising, and the cost of piglet breeding is also increasing.
However, according to the feedback from the first-line farms, the local piglet compensation cost reaches 900- 1000 yuan, which seems a bit "inflated". It can be seen that there is still a certain "price bubble" in the market, and farmers must not be "hot-headed".
# Raise pigs #
At present, there are not a few farmers who "gamble on the market". According to the monitoring data of institutions in the industry, in 2022, the number of fertile sows in large-scale pig farms showed an overall upward trend. During the 6 months from 202 1 to 12, the number of fertile sows was positive for 4 times, 1 time was flat, and 1 time decreased slightly.
It can be seen that large-scale pig farms have never stopped expanding, which will limit the height of pig prices in the second half of the year to a certain extent, and then affect the price of piglets.
Generally speaking, how much and how long the price of piglets can rise depends on the height and trend of pig price and feed price in the future. According to the forecast of industry organizations, the pig price will not exceed 1 1.5 yuan/kg in the second half of the year, and the feed price will continue to run at a high level, both of which will limit the rising height of piglet prices. It is inferred that the price of piglets may not rise too much in the future.
Attached is the price list of piglets in major provinces and cities in China on June 23rd: