This year, garlic farmers in many places have been on a roller coaster. The price of garlic moss has gone from five or six yuan per catty to only one or two cents per catty now. They can't even get wages for harvesting. What's more, Not to mention the investment cost of cultivation.
In the fierce competition of today's industrial marketization, farmers, as the lowest level of commodity logistics, bear multiple risks: investment risk, market risk, labor risk, natural disaster risk, as long as one of these risks breaks out , the interests of farmers will be harmed. Similar to the price of garlic moss this year, when it first came on the market, the price was very high, only five or six yuan per pound. But as the temperature has risen and warmed up, the growth of garlic moss has increased rapidly, rare goods are available, and the situation of waiting for a price is gone forever. , and then there is one word: miserable! The price has been falling all the way, far exceeding the bottom line that farmers can bear, because they initially thought that the low price on the market was just garlic moss shipped from elsewhere, which led to price reduction. When these customer goods are sold out, the price of local goods will rise. However, as everyone knows, customers and goods are coming in a steady stream, and the price is dropping day by day, until now it can no longer be sold at all. It's like waking up from a dream!
What causes such a price? The summary is as follows:
1. Information lag is the fatal point for farmers. Modern society has already become a highly information society. Where goods are available, where prices are high, and even the overall cultivation volume of the industry this year, Vendors have long been familiar with it. When the goods are in short supply, they will build relationships with farmers and get close to them. They wish they could treat you like a father and mother. However, when the goods are plentiful and the market is low, they will leave you as far away as possible! They won't do a losing business!
Many farmers always like to read the almanac and the market situation last year. The price of garlic moss last year was more than 4 yuan per pound, so they didn’t have to worry about not being able to sell it. Therefore, farmers will intuitively think that garlic moss will not be sold. It’s very profitable, and you don’t have to worry about not being able to sell it! Therefore, everyone is cultivating garlic moss. This situation is the fundamental reason why the price of garlic moss has plummeted this year!
2. There is a lack of industry guidance. There are industry associations in many places. If they operate well, they will indeed play a role in guiding farmers' production. Direct statistics to farmers. This year’s cultivation trends and profit forecasts will prevent farmers from blindly following the trend and cultivating a certain variety. This also fundamentally avoids cultivation risks.
3. You can’t make a lot of money relying on the weather. Crops like garlic moss basically rely on the weather and make use of natural climate resources. In drought years, the output is low and the price is high. How many years can there be in a drought year? In addition to severe droughts, there are also years with low temperatures. Because low temperatures cause crop growth to be small, the total supply to the market is also small, so the price will be very high. However, who can be sure that low temperatures can occur every year? After all, the warming of the earth is an inevitable trend. Farmers are basically gambling on their luck to make money.
On the other hand, if garlic moss is put on the market during the Spring Festival, the price will be very high, but it will require a large investment, which ordinary farmers cannot afford. If you can produce it industrially, you can proactively connect to the market, and you can make a lot of money.
4. Engaging in low-end production cannot win the market. Crops such as garlic moss originally have two opportunities to avoid risks: the garlic seedling stage and the garlic moss stage. Among them, during the garlic seedling period, especially in winter, the market demand for garlic seedlings is very strong. As long as the cultivation technology is passed and strong, high-quality garlic seedlings are cultivated, an income of 10,000 yuan per mu can be achieved. However, if you wait, Garlic moss, if you want to sell such good things as garlic moss and garlic, you can basically just stare and watch the market price go all the way down. During this period, if someone is smarter and cuts the garlic moss in the early to mid-stage without cutting the total output, it will not result in a loss and may even make a small profit. They just want to wait for the garlic moss to grow before selling it, which leads to continuous losses. There is no such thing as being unable to sell anything.
Therefore, greed leads to losses!
5. In essence, we can look at the size of crops in different years. According to the past cultivation history, there is a phenomenon of crops in different years. In years of low prices or even bad markets, cultivation can be continued in the autumn, and the risk is far higher than that of crops. This year it was much lower. The main reason is that farmers are afraid of a bad market and no longer cultivate this variety. Or it may be very careful to shrink the scale. This psychological state determines the fruitful price of the market in the coming year. This is true for raising pigs, and the same is true for raising chickens. Crop cultivation is even more so.
6. Actively learn technology and conduct mixed intercropping of garlic moss cultivation with other crops to reduce market risks, such as intercropping with loofah in early-maturing cultivation, intercropping with cucumbers, watermelons, melons, etc. If this one doesn't work, there will be another one, thus avoiding market risks.