In fact, this wave of contrarian rebound can't be said to be an increase, but at most it is a kind of "callback" of pig price. Because the previous pig price has fallen too hard and the loss at the breeding end is too deep, it is necessary to sell a pig around 500 yuan, which is even more unacceptable in the context of the continuous price increase of feed raw materials corn and soybean meal, which makes the breeding end have a certain reluctance to sell, and it is difficult to transport pigs and white strips due to epidemic control. Near the end of the month, the output of pig enterprises has decreased, and there are many factors such as rain and snow recently, which makes it more difficult for slaughter enterprises to collect pigs. In order to maintain their daily operations, slaughter enterprises raised prices to collect pigs, which led to a correction in the pig price market for several days.
According to market feedback, in the domestic pork consumption market, due to the decrease in the arrival of white pigs, the transaction price of white pigs in some areas increased slightly, and the prevention and control problems in some areas were prominent, and the price of white pigs increased significantly. However, due to different regulatory measures in different places, the overall pork consumption in the market continues to be weak. In some areas with strict control measures, crowded places are temporarily closed, which obviously restricts the catering consumption in the market, and the residents' willingness to buy has also decreased, making the overall pork consumption in the market unsatisfactory.
Generally speaking, the current epidemic prevention and control has affected the purchase and sale of pigs to a certain extent. The epidemic situation is well controlled. After the lifting of the ban in some areas, the enthusiasm of farmers who are forced to hold fences will be greatly improved, which will affect the short-term pig price.
It is understood that the capacity reduction in the northern region has been basically completed, and most people in the market are optimistic about the market after May. The number of big pigs raised by farmers is relatively small, which has certain pressure. Near the end of the month, the number of live pigs slaughtered by large-scale breeding enterprises was basically completed, but the demand for terminals was still weak, and the epidemic affected sales in some areas. It is difficult for white pigs to get goods, and the slaughter enterprises have reduced their output. It is expected that the pig price will return to the old road and continue the pattern of "weak shock".
According to the monitoring of the pig price system, among the 26 provinces and cities monitored today, the price of live pigs increased by 3 and decreased by 7, which was 16, and the stable areas accounted for 62% of all the monitoring. The whole hog market is in a situation of "great stability and small adjustment".
# Pig price #
(Source: Pig Price System)
On the whole, compared with yesterday, there are obvious signs of reversal in the pig market today, especially in the northern region, where the pig price has turned from stable to falling more, putting an end to the recent rise in pig prices. However, because the domestic pig price has fallen relatively low, there is no risk of another collapse. With the adjustment of multi-site management and control, multi-site road transportation is gradually smooth, and the market is likely to grow in the short term. Everyone should collect it in time and grasp the time of slaughter.
According to the wholesale prices of striped pigs in Beijing and Shanghai, the prices of striped pigs in the wholesale markets in Beijing and Shanghai showed a downward trend, while the prices of striped pigs in Beijing market fell by 1.0 yuan/kg, and the market trading enthusiasm was poor; The average transaction price in Shanghai market fell, and the average price in some markets fell by 5.40 yuan/kg. The market is greatly affected by local epidemic prevention and control. Many markets have stopped trading, and the market supply has not been fully completed. The ex-factory price of white bars in the northern producing areas has stabilized, and traders' enthusiasm for receiving goods is low.
According to the purchasing difficulty of slaughter enterprises, it is still difficult for slaughter enterprises to purchase at low prices. Although the price adjustment of slaughterhouses has some differentiation, the overall price adjustment is weak, and there is a certain stalemate in many markets. The wholesale market is accompanied by certain constraints, and the overall adjustment mood of the market is weak. The pig price of some group pig farms in the north is stable and weak, while the pig price of southern pig enterprises is stable and rising, and the rising phenomenon and range are obviously slowed down.
Market trend of tomorrow's live pig price: Based on the analysis of recent factors in the live pig market, it is expected that the live pig price will show a trend of "stable and weak decline" tomorrow.
The above interpretation of the pig market is for your reference. Welcome to exchange views on the live pig market and grasp the market dynamics.