In the past week, the price of live pigs has remained weak and volatile. At present, the price of pigs in the Northeast and Southwest regions has fallen below 11 yuan/kg, and most other regions are between 11-11.5 yuan/catties. .

According to Zhuhaoduo data monitoring, the average price of three-yuan pigs nationwide today is 22.26 yuan/kg, down 0.2 yuan/kg from yesterday.

The quotations of various provinces and cities across the country are detailed in the following table:

From the quotation table, we can see that there is not much difference in the price of live pigs across the country, basically between 10.5-11.5 yuan/jin! Judging from the trend in the recent period, it is basically weak.

So since the current analysis unanimously agrees that "the market is short of pigs", why does the price of pigs not continue to rise, but weaken and stagnate, or even fall back?

Let’s take a look at a set of data first:

Relevant data show that the slaughter volume of slaughterhouses declined significantly throughout June, with most slaughterhouses declining by about 30~40%. , or even 50%.

This data also shows from the side that not only are there fewer sources of pigs in the current market, but the consumption power of consumers cannot keep up. Pork cannot be eaten, so the slaughter volume is smaller and the slaughter volume is reduced. In this case, the slaughtering companies suppressed prices and even reduced the number of purchases, creating the illusion that the sales of live pigs in the market were not moving, which led to the continued decline in market prices.

So, will the price of pigs rise or fall next? How will it evolve?

1. First of all, the enthusiasm for market consumption is difficult to change significantly for a while. It is understood that the current transaction situation of white bars in the wholesale market is still poor, and it is expected that this situation will continue for some time. This is undoubtedly a restriction on pig sales. Constraints on price rise

2. On the bright side, after the price of pigs fell, farmers were reluctant to sell and bear the price. In addition, the slaughter volume of large-scale pig companies showed a reduction. With the support of these two If the price falls, there will be no risk of a sharp drop in pig prices.

3. According to previous calculations, the pig slaughter volume in July and August is still in the "out of stock" period, and the overall pig slaughter volume is at a relatively low level. Therefore, "fewer pigs" also supports the pig price. The fundamentals of sharp decline!

Taken together, the current pig market is in a stage of competition between the breeding side and the slaughtering side. Both sides have chips in their hands. This is also the fundamental reason why the price of pigs fluctuates in the short term.

At present, market consumption will not increase in the short term, and the number of pigs sold will not increase all at once. Therefore, the "chips" of both parties will not be effectively alleviated in the short term. It is expected that the pig market will decline throughout July. The price will still be mainly volatile.

Warm reminder: Unlike large-scale pig enterprises that produce pigs "on time" every month, small and medium-sized pig farmers only produce two or three crops of pigs a year, so it is not appropriate to press the pen and bet on the market. When the market price is appropriate and good profits can be made, small and medium-sized farmers can sell the products in time and be safe!