Introduction September is coming to the end of the month, and the northern and southern regions of China are gradually entering the rhythm of autumn harvest. At present, wheat is listed by new corn, and traders have the consideration of tengku, and the price is mainly weak.
In the corn market, the trend of new and old corn is divided, new grain is higher, old grain is lower, and the market adjustment is waiting for the new grain to be available.
In the hog market, the rising price of pigs is "open", and the market is bullish, so it is difficult to restrain the rebound of pig prices when frozen meat strikes! So, what happened in the market, and what changes have taken place in the prices of pigs, corn and wheat? Today we will analyze it in detail!
the pig price rise is "open"!
in the pig market, according to the analysis of pig price data, on September 8, the average price of ternary lean-meat pigs outside the country rose by 1.22 yuan, and the price quoted by slaughter enterprises rose to 23.94 yuan/kg.
The average price of pigs in Sanyuan increased by 1.15 yuan, and the slaughter enterprise quoted 23.42 yuan/kg, while the price of miscellaneous pigs increased by 1.11 yuan, and the slaughter enterprise quoted 22.96 yuan/kg! The domestic feed corn raw material price is 2884 yuan/ton, and the 43% soybean meal price is 4817 yuan/ton. At present, the pig-to-grain ratio in the domestic pig market has risen to 8.3:1, and the breeding profit is loose!
From the national market, on September 8th, the pig price showed an overall upward trend. Only Inner Mongolia fell to 1.3 yuan, and Chongqing fell by 1.15 yuan. In most parts of China, the pig price rose at 1.13~1.74 yuan/kg, while in Anhui, Guizhou and Yunnan, the pig price rebounded by 1.6~1.74 yuan, of which the price in Hainan was 25.48 yuan/kg.
in the traditional low-price area, the pig price in the northeast market rose to 22.94~23.53 yuan/kg, and the market showed a significant boost!
It is understood that on September 7th, the official put in 5,111 reserve pork, and all localities also jointly put in reserve pork. However, in the domestic consumer market, the post-holiday demand performance was sluggish. As the domestic mask problem still exists, the demand for catering and dining was suppressed, and the residents' post-holiday demand willingness declined, overlapping and frozen pork supplemented the market, which had obvious restraining and guiding effects on the live pig market. However, judging from the performance of the domestic live pig market, the pig price rose.
Personally, although the follow-up of consumption is unfavorable, the breeding side has the right to speak. In recent days, due to the high sentiment of the market about the bullish price of pigs at the end of the year, some pigs have been fattened twice, and fattened for about 3 months, which is exactly the height of the year. Therefore, the phenomenon of secondary fattening in the market has increased again, and the hot money is mainly connected with large-scale pig enterprises, which also causes the pig sources of large-scale pig enterprises to be diverted and the cost of flowing into slaughterhouses to increase.
As for retail pig farms, as the National Day approaches, the weather turns cold, the spread of domestic pig price standard fertilizer increases greatly, the market's enthusiasm for breeding and fattening big pigs heats up, and the phenomenon of retail pig farms is increasing, which further limits the scale of pig slaughter!
Therefore, due to the insufficient supply of live pigs in stages, the rising price of live pigs has intensified. However, with the rising price of live pigs breaking the previous high, the farmers may have the emotion of recognizing the price and leaving the market, and the price of live pigs is still at risk of rising and falling!
the price of wheat barn is weak!
In the domestic grain market, at present, the performance of wheat price is sluggish, and the focus of the market has also shifted to new grain corn. For wheat, some traders have increased the circulation of wheat, and flour enterprises have a strong wait-and-see stalemate. The domestic spot wheat price is mainly weak!
personally, this year's wheat sales rhythm is relatively fast. At present, due to the poor substitution demand of feed enterprises, and the end of the purchase of grain storage and grain depot, the supply of wheat is relatively loose, while the downstream goods of demand-side flour mills are weak. Although the cooler weather is conducive to the recovery of consumption, due to the loose supply of wheat and the superposition, some traders have the phenomenon of hoarding, so the quotation of flour mills is mainly weak. At this stage, the domestic mainstream.
Among them, in Yudong Flour, Binzhou, Shandong Province, the listed price of wheat dropped by 11 yuan, and the execution price was 1.55 yuan/kg; Shaanxi Weinan Wudeli quotation fell by 11 yuan, and the execution price was 1.583 yuan/kg; Hua county Lisheng's quotation dropped by 16 yuan, and the execution price was 1.547 yuan/kg!
in the short term, the price of wheat will still fluctuate mainly in a narrow range, with the price sideways around 1.55 yuan/kg. However, with the end of the wheat storage, the surplus grain in the market will gradually decrease, and the demand will gradually improve, so the price of wheat is expected to rise against the trend. However, the key to determining the rise of wheat in the later period will also be affected by the auction of temporary storage wheat. Personally, it is difficult for the price to rise above 1.6 yuan/kg at the end of the year.
the new corn grain opens higher and the old grain goes lower!
In the domestic corn market, with the arrival of autumn harvest, the open-scale price of new grain corn has been released one after another. This year, the open-scale price of new grain corn has increased significantly, especially in Northeast China, North China and Huanghuai area. At present, some farmers have sporadic new grain corn, and the open-scale price has increased by 1.16~1.1 yuan/kg compared with last year. At present, the price of 31-moisture corn in Northeast China is generally around 1.11~1.16 yuan/kg, and in Shandong area, it has increased by 1.16 yuan/ The purchase price is 1.25~1.28 yuan/kg, while the loading price of aged corn is maintained at about 1.36 yuan/kg. At present, the new grain is higher, the aged grain is lower, and the new aged corn enters the cycle of consolidation!
according to the market feedback, due to the high opening of new grain, in the northeast, due to the gradual decrease of the inventory of old grain corn, the soybean planting area in the northeast producing area has increased this year, and some areas in Liaoning and Jilin are expected to reduce production. Therefore, traders are bullish, the enthusiasm of old grain corn is weak, and some factories have a narrow price increase phenomenon. Among them, Heilongjiang Suihua Haotian, Jingliang Longjiang and Longfeng corn, 14 moisture dry grain.
However, in North China and Huanghuai area, due to the trend that the price of old corn has dropped and merged with new corn, traders' enthusiasm for shipment has increased, and the circulation of corn in the market has increased, and some factories have reduced their prices to collect grain. Among them, Ningjin Yufeng's offer fell by 11 yuan, and the execution price was 1.37 yuan. In Shandong area, there were 541 cars waiting in line in front of the factory, but some enterprises still kept down their prices. Zhucheng Yuanfa, Zhucheng Xingmao and Shandong Mineng's offer fell by 11 yuan.
personally, at present, the price of corn fluctuates within a narrow range, but with the acceleration of the harvesting process of new corn, the listing of new corn is gradually increasing, and the corn market is still weak. In particular, at present, the new corn has opened higher, traders are cautious in building warehouses, and the new corn will fluctuate downward with the increase of harvest, while the old corn still has the trend of merging with the new grain at a lower price. Therefore, at present, the new corn does not have the ability to build warehouses.
The rising price of pigs is "hanging", the new corn grain is higher and the old grain is lower, and the price of wheat is weak! What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the picture comes from the Internet!