For the global automobile industry, why not?
The area of the Antarctic ice sheet is getting smaller every year, and the strong polar bear is facing a severe survival crisis. Finally, human beings realize that they must change to protect the environment and point the finger at cars.
Therefore, many countries have made plans to ban the sale of fuel-fired vehicles and have introduced plans to tilt towards new energy vehicles. All automobile brands are producing new energy vehicles, especially pure electric vehicles using power batteries.
Moreover, in the face of the new forces headed by Tesla, those traditional brands that have built fuel vehicles for decades and hundreds of years seem to have become chasers.
Indeed, traditional brands can't come up with a perfect solution for a while, so they can only swallow their voices and let the new forces preach that they are the future of the automobile industry, change the life of fuel vehicles and subvert the future travel mode of mankind.
Finally someone can't help it.
Not the first time? "? Shelling? "
12? Month? 19? At the year-end press conference of Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, as the representative of the second-largest automobile group in the world, Akio Toyoda's remarks that he was regarded as shelling electric vehicles caused waves in the automobile industry.
Never mind what Akio Toyoda said this time.
Prior to this, because Tesla's market value has broken through the sky and left other car companies, Akio Toyoda called Musk from a distance:
Don't overestimate Tesla's true value just because of its market value? ……? Although Tesla, as a leading enterprise in electric vehicles, is not mature enough to affect the development trend of the global automobile industry? ……? Tesla is like a family? "? A restaurant with exquisite recipes? "And Toyota has a real kitchen and chef? ……
So, at the sight of Akio Toyoda? "? Shelling? ”？ Electric cars, some onlookers think that he must mean whether electric cars will last, not as reliable as gasoline cars, and they are not fun to drive.
Judging from pure electric vehicles using power batteries, Toyota is indeed a bit backward. At present, only a few models have been launched. "? Oil to electricity? ”？ Pure electric vehicles are not competitive in the face of new forces.
For the title party, Akio Toyoda is just? "? If you can't eat durian, you say durian stinks? ”？ It's just psychological distress.
Yes, there are people, right? "? Return? ”？ He is still a big shot.
After the financial media reported Akio Toyoda's speech, He, chairman of Xpeng Motors, forwarded the Weibo and quoted the story that the mobile phone giant was acquired by Microsoft.
Let's digress, shall we? 80、90? Since then, almost everyone's youth has been related to Nokia.
At that time, people marveled from generation to generation? iPhone？ Cell phone, can I talk to you for a second? "? We did nothing wrong, but I don't know why we lost. "Still very heartache.
I don't know if Tucki compares himself (or the whole new power) to Apple, but Nokia must mean Toyota (or this antique car company). The subtext is: "?" You don't want a dead chicken to cover your meal? " .
What exactly did Akio Toyoda say?
Let me start with a premise: the Japanese government recently announced that it will be in? 2035? From 2006, we stopped selling new cars with pure internal combustion engine power, but did not include hybrid cars.
Then, Akio Toyoda's speech at the year-end press conference of Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association mainly has two themes:
First, if Japan wants to realize the transition to full electrification, it needs to invest high costs, which is a major test for infrastructure.
He suggested that just as gasoline vehicles need gas stations, if electric vehicles are fully promoted, the supporting infrastructure will increase accordingly, and Japan needs investment? 14-37? Trillion yen (8850-23390? /kloc-high cost of 0/100 million yuan).
Moreover, if all cars in Japan are driven by electricity, the sharp increase in electricity consumption is likely to cause a power shortage in Japan in summer and need to be built? 10? A nuclear power plant is enough.
Although there is still some time before only electric vehicles are on the road, this is a problem that must be considered in advance.
Second, considering Japan's energy structure, is it really environmentally friendly to popularize electric vehicles in an all-round way from the perspective of carbon emissions?
The so-called environmental protection and low carbon is not only to avoid pollution when using, but to pursue low carbon in the whole life cycle. For example, the manufacture, production, assembly and scrapping of automobiles and batteries all need energy, including charging, which is also a process of energy conversion. So, are these sources of energy clean?
This is a topic raised a long time ago, which is related to a country's energy structure.
What is the proportion of thermal power generation (coal, gas)? 77%, renewable energy and nuclear power only account for? 23%。 Don't think that we are talking about China. This is the energy structure of our highly developed neighbor.
Someone has calculated an account before. In the whole life cycle, the carbon emissions of electric vehicles may be higher than those of fuel vehicles, or the difference is actually not big. At this time? "? Environmental protection? ”？ Just a false proposition.
In addition, if the pace of transformation between the two eras is too fast, the existing automobile industry structure in Japan (including vehicle manufacturing and supply chain) may collapse. For example, the manufacturers of engines and gearboxes and the corresponding spare parts suppliers did not have enough time to transform, so they had to close down, resulting in millions of people losing their jobs.
Generally speaking, Akio Toyoda thinks? 2035? The plan to stop selling pure fuel vehicles in 2008 is a way for the government to win political capital in front of the international community, without really considering the impact on the domestic automobile industry and society.
It is undeniable that Akio Toyoda is complaining and considering the interests of Toyota.
However, as the president of Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Akio Toyoda is also the spokesman of the whole Japanese automobile industry. What he said is not unreasonable, not an ordinary sprayer.
The transformation of automobiles is certain. Japan wants it, Europe wants it, the United States wants it and China wants it. However, we must not act hastily because of other factors. After all, Japan is not Europe.
Perhaps the relevant departments of our country should also think about Akio Toyoda's speech.
Although Toyota's future plan is to develop a variety of power (including? EV), but we all know that Toyota's strength is hybrid power, and its popularity in Japan is very high. Therefore, Toyota and Honda are considering banning the sale of pure fuel vehicles, but excluding hybrid vehicles. "? Great fortune in misfortune? ”。
Besides, what did we say? "? New energy vehicles? ”？ Not only the so-called pure electric vehicle, Toyota has been insisting on developing fuel cells. It is one of the few car companies (and Hyundai) that have mastered this technology. Hydrogen fuel cell car? Mirai? Has developed to the second generation.
Although the advantages of fuel cell are obvious, its popularization is still a long way to go. It is very expensive to build a hydrogen refueling station into a network, and electricity is also needed to electrolyze water to produce hydrogen.
China has long established new energy vehicles as the mainstream policy, and has been promoting new energy vehicles mainly based on pure electric vehicles through subsidies and restrictions on fuel vehicles, but the policy will be adjusted according to the development status of new energy vehicles.
According to the technical roadmap of energy-saving and new energy vehicles released some time ago? 2.0 actually improves the status of hybrid power: to? 2025? In 2030? What will be the proportion of hybrid power every year? 50%? Over 75%? Above, to? 2035? Reached in 2008? 100%。
And then what? 1.0? In the version, to? 2025? In 2030? What is the proportion of hybrid power every year? 20%? And then what? 25%? Above, the adjustment of the proportion is equivalent to encouraging China automobile enterprises to develop hybrid power.
Earlier, Toyota announced that it would provide technical support for hybrid power to Guangzhou Automobile Group, believing that it was optimistic about the future of hybrid power in China.
In addition, the policy also encourages car companies to develop high technologies such as fuel cells, solid-state batteries or graphene batteries, but it is not so easy to take them out, and mass production is even more difficult.
This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.