In the context of the continuing market downturn, farmers pressed to sell increased, and the state in order to stabilize the market also opened the pork storage work, for the current pig market has played a certain role in the uplift.
Hogs ushered in a certain market rise, is the pig market open "rebound"?
Swine prices rebound, the market to build a solid foundation for the market, a short period of price increases difficult to maintain, for the previous decline in hogs is mainly due to oversupply, but when can the market from the supply and demand ends of the market to maintain a balance is to build and stabilize the price of pigs an important foundation.
From stepping into the beginning of late March, the national pig price stability, and some areas of the largest single-day increase also reached 0.3 yuan per catty, especially in the northeast of the price of the overall upward trend, up 0.05 to 0.2 yuan per catty, Central China in 0.1 to 0.3 yuan, a larger increase in the distribution of the region in the north and northeast of the price of the rest of the region is basically in a stable state. stable state.
For the current hog prices, pig prices rose collectively, for the basis of the base is mainly the following: (1) the price of hogs fell, the cost increased, the pressure on farmers to sell prices.
(2) market with large-scale farming increased, the market supply gradually reduced.
(3) Lower pork prices, market consumption increased.
(4) Some farmers are panicked to slaughter.
(5) National storage to stabilize prices.
(6) Slaughtering companies enhanced terminal acquisition.
From the current market point of view, pig prices have a certain price increase base, for the subsequent price to play a long-term development.
But for the subsequent hogs there is still a certain market impact on the rise in hog prices played a hindering role.
The main points are as follows: 1, the current de-capacitation is slower from the step to 2022 hog inventory, sow inventory has reached 42.68 million head, more than 6% decline over the first half of last year, the chain decline of just 0.5%, an increase of 4% over the normal year.
From the data, the current pig decapacitation is slow.
And from the recent increase in sow introductions and breeding costs have created a lot of pressure on the market.
The current market loss is still high, after all, the market breeding costs have been as high as 7 yuan per catty above, while the current price of hogs is only 6 yuan per catty.
The current loss per hog is 300 to 500 yuan per head.
But according to statistics, for the second half of the pig market is still full of confidence.
Currently the market is cheaper for sows after restocking, which plays a role in the subsequent rise.
And the subsequent market price of hogs will have certain changes, for the rise in hog prices played a big role in hindering.
2, pork consumption has increased, the overall is still relatively low according to the pig slaughtering cycle, in April to May the amount of pig slaughtering is still relatively sufficient, which for the slaughtering enterprises to increase the slaughtering rate is also relatively high, from the white market supply is sufficient, therefore, for the price of pigs on the supply side played a big role in the market consumption is relatively low, will be for the consumption of the lack of power.
In addition, the current has been carried out pork storage work, and again storage work no precise information.
Under the influence of the current epidemic, many schools, catering industry has been affected to some extent, and the consumer's home consumption to reduce the outgoing, therefore, the consumption of pork will certainly be affected, and part of the region's slaughtering enterprises began to increase the amount of pork stocks, therefore, pork consumption is relatively low price is difficult to rise, the state of the market is difficult to determine that the supply of pigs exceeds the demand.
Comprehensive analysis of the above, I personally believe that the current pig market needs a long time to adjust, not only supply and demand, how to reduce the cost of farmers is something worth considering, after all, the current feed prices, transportation and other aspects are one of the important reasons for the impact of farming losses.
In any case, the market is volatile, many unpredictable things increased factors, in the subsequent pig market hope to go steady, less "shock".