But another thing that farmers are worried about is that, along with the domestic soybean meal supply tensions intensified, the feed prices followed by another wild ride, the domestic soybean meal futures prices climbed all the way to a new all-time high, and may continue to trend upward.
The national soybean meal spot price rose to 5430 yuan / ton, there is a shock of 6000 yuan / ton may be, it can be said that the fourth round of feed price wave has not passed, the fifth round of feed price wave again, which allows farmers to do?
Some farmers even said frankly, the current price of pigs is very low, some time the pigs grow meat is not as valuable as the material, the other costs have not been counted, the mentality of the farmers have changed, and even some farms are not full of pigs to eat.
Recently, frequent feed price increases are mainly due to a variety of feed raw material prices generally rose sharply, in the current "Russian-Ukrainian conflict" and "domestic epidemic" under the dual impact of corn, soybeans and other raw materials are expected to maintain the trend of oscillation upward, feed prices are also strong running trend. Was also strong running trend, affected by this, from the last price increase only a few days past, the feed industry, a new round of feed prices again: Haida, Aohua, Tongwei, Xiangda and other feed enterprises March 25 onwards, the price increase, the highest up 400 yuan / ton.
Multiple feed mill responsible person also said that the feed follow-up whether to continue to increase prices depends entirely on raw materials, if raw material prices rise further, then feed prices are bound to follow, in addition, because of price fluctuations, feed mills are currently raw material inventories are low.
According to a number of industry analysts said that the current bulk of raw materials is still no sign of the top, South American soybean production cuts have become a foregone conclusion, rising grain prices, farmers are reluctant to sell, coupled with the impact of the epidemic logistics obstruction and the second half of the peak season of breeding, corn and other prices are expected to maintain the trend of oscillating upward, we have to have a psychological preparedness in advance.
At present, it can be said that the stock of hogs is still at a high level, the cost of feed is still rising, the risk of blind selling pressure is very big, because the current excess capacity of hogs and the lack of end consumption, it is difficult to provide sustained power to the rise in hog prices, with the price of hogs from up to stabilize, the probability of the pig market to go back to the old way, the farmers by the impact of rising costs, the pessimism of the fermentation of the mood of some areas farmers Out of the fence mood to thick, due to the control measures in many places severe, many cities dine-in as well as catering consumption is restricted, the wholesale market downstream traders to go slow, the market white pork leftover increased, the consumption presents obvious constraints, is expected to be in this situation, the price of hogs or will be in the "low sideways" struggling.
According to the pig price system monitoring shows that the 26 provinces and cities monitored today, the price of hogs 6 up, 5 down, 15 flat, stable areas accounted for 58% of all monitoring, the pig market as a whole is in a "stable oscillation" trend.
#Pig prices#
(Data source: pig price system)
Overall, today's pig market and yesterday compared to show a certain stalemate, but based on the market wait-and-see mood to thick, in the supply and demand for double low stage, the market to the sideways weakly down, after all, more than one epidemic prevention and control of supply and marketing have certain restrictions, taking into account the continuing backlog of farmers hog production capacity, and feed expenditure continues to rise, the farmers out of the fence. Expenditures continue to rise, farmers out of the fence mood gradually strengthened, the market is still the risk of panic out of the fence, so the recent situation of the pig market is still not optimistic, the capacity of the rear or will aggravate the performance of the bottom of the pig price, it is recommended that farmers in the hog industry before the recovery comes, the appropriate stop-loss, and to strengthen the management of cash flow of the farm, so as not to be caught in the dilemma of the dilemma.
According to the wholesale price of white pigs in Beijing and Shanghai consumer cities, Beijing and Shanghai wholesale market white open pound price showed a downward trend, Beijing market open pound price fell 0.5 yuan / kg, the market trading enthusiasm performance is poor; Shanghai market turnover average price showed a decline in the market affected by the local new crowns, a lot of the market has ceased trading, the northern producing areas of the white out of the price of the phenomenon appeared stabilized, traders to take over poor. Traders to take stock of poor enthusiasm.
According to the slaughtering enterprise purchasing difficulty, local slaughtering enterprise low price purchasing difficulty still exists, many enterprises are affected by the epidemic factors, some enterprises in the northeast of the recent slaughtering phenomenon, the whole market appeared a certain stalemate phenomenon, affected by the market is greater, the market overall adjustment of the mood of the weak, grouping pig farms pig price adjustment phenomenon weak, the two wide, Sichuan and Chongqing areas of the farming group hogs for sale Difficulty increased significantly, the leading group in most provinces of the hogs sold outside the volume of reduction.
Tomorrow's hog price trend: Combined with the recent analysis of pig market factors, it is expected that tomorrow's hog prices show a "sideways weak decline" trend.
The above interpretation of the hog market, for your reference, welcome to exchange views on the hog market, to grasp the dynamics of the market.