It is no longer possible to restore the price of meat to the previous price of more than ten yuan. In the past, there were many small farmers in China, and they relied entirely on the market economy to make profits from raising pigs. There is no state subsidy, but large-scale breeding is subsidized by the state. The two are different. In the past, the state targeted small and medium-sized and scattered farmers, causing them to completely quit farming and lose confidence in farming. Coupled with the import of foreign pork and the follow-up of the virus, the risk of the breeding industry is even greater. The current group of people engaged in breeding will never return to the old industry. Imported meat is a staple in our country.
If there are really several large enterprises raising pigs. It turns out that pigs are too difficult to raise, and pigs are easy to raise but also difficult to raise. Only in this way can you make big money if pork is expensive. Pork is expensive now not because pigs are difficult to raise but because piglets are not even available. Pork may become a house.
It is unlikely that the price of pork will come down: 1. Grain prices, labor, site, etc. determine your production costs. Except for the site, the other two items of private free-range breeding cannot be reduced, resulting in Not competitive. The abandonment of pig breeding by professional farmers is not a phenomenon that occurred after swine fever. It appeared a few years ago when big capital entered pig breeding. Swine fever only amplified the impact of this incident; 2. Farmers dare not raise pigs: high Entry price (pigs are too expensive), high operating costs (feed and labor are expensive), and unclear market prospects (no one can say when large quantities of U.S. pork will be imported one day. Their pork is subsidized by the U.S. government, large-scale breeding, and low-cost breeding (Food is also heavily subsidized in the United States, and energy is cheap.) With the support of three parties, who can fight for the price? ),
It’s difficult. It’s not easy to get back to 20 yuan per pound in a short time. Don’t just expect to return to the original level. This is an objective law. When the price of something rises, it is impossible to return to the original position. Take housing prices as an example. The state controls housing prices. Many houses are built, but they cannot be sold. The price has not dropped, it is still getting higher year by year. The same is true for the goods, the price is rising, but the price has dropped very little. Now the price of pork has reached the point where ordinary people cannot afford it.
I am a meat seller. To be honest, meat cannot be sold. If the price of meat is between 15 yuan and 18 yuan, consumers can still accept it. Now it is around 27 yuan and it cannot be sold at all. When we go out, there are new ones and old ones every day. The fundamental reason for this result is monopoly. In the past, self-employed people collected pigs from everywhere, and the slaughterhouses charged processing fees. There was a lot of meat leaving the factory every day, self-employed people traded freely, and pigs raised by small retail households were cheap. Nowadays, The slaughterhouse does not process external goods, but plans to slaughter, cutting off the cake of self-employed people, causing most of them to withdraw, making transportation inconvenient, and the remaining pigs raised by the elderly will also end, creating an illusion of pig shortage, and I am afraid that they will not be able to eat cheap meat for a long time!
The rise in pork prices is due to the lack of pork supply. Large-scale pig farms are too monopolistic, which has affected the previous free-range farming model of each household and occupied and monopolized the pork market. Once swine fever breaks out, large-scale monopolized pig farms will The supply of pig farms is being destroyed intensively, and there is no supply of pork. Large-scale monopoly pig farms have several shortcomings: First, monopoly pig farms have single pig genes, lack diversity, poor pork quality, and poor disease resistance; second, they are monopolistic. Just imagine, the enthusiasm of individual farmers across the country in raising pigs has been blocked. Monopoly attacks have stopped raising pigs. In the future, the national pork market will be supplied by a few monopolized pig farms. Once any unexpected problems occur in these monopolized pig farms and supply cuts occur, disrupting the market will become inevitable. Monopoly by big capital is to make the cost of raising pigs lower and the price of pork cheaper. However, if there is an accident or artificial manipulation of excessive monopoly, it will disrupt the market and be detrimental to the people and the country. By the same token, China's agricultural product seeds are monopolized by capital, especially the monopoly of foreign capital, which is more harmful and requires vigilance.
Cost and supply and demand determine commodity prices. Regardless of the relationship between supply and demand, given the current price level, grain and feed prices have increased so much. If the price of pork returns to 13 or 4 yuan, farmers will definitely lose money. Let’s look at the relationship between supply and demand. Jiangsu’s policy of shutting down polluting breeding industries in the past few years was still implemented in October last year. This policy had a huge impact on the breeding industry. It not only affected large and medium-sized breeding farms, but also had the greatest impact. For small or individual farmers, it is estimated that after the hardships in the first two or three years, those farmers will no longer be involved in the pig industry. Originally, the number of animals raised was small and the economic income was low, so it was better to work part-time. Finally, we hope that the central government will come up with more positive policies and pin food safety on foreign imports. This is tantamount to handing over the lifeblood of our people to other countries. We should listen less to the advice of pseudo-experts and care more about people's livelihood.