With the full start of the autumn harvest, I believe that the farmer Lao Tie is very fond of the market situation of corn and soybeans in Northeast China from the end of this year to the beginning of next year.
In the past two days, the discussion on the price trend of corn and soybean on the Internet has been very heated. Some friends have extreme views. They think that it is very unlikely that domestic food prices will rise in the future.
Because food prices affect the whole body, if food prices rise, other prices will also rise, which is not worth the candle.
First of all, it is said that the rise in food prices is the general trend. I think what we are discussing now is not whether food prices will rise, but how much they will rise.
If the grain price in Northeast China can usher in a substantial increase, it will not only be more conducive to ensuring farmers' income from farming, but also be conducive to the overall situation of national food security.
Here, Lao Dao first objected to these extremely bearish views.
Judging from the long-term trend, from the second half of 2022 to 2023, the prices of corn and soybeans will usher in three major changes, hoping that the farmer Lao Tie can have a basic understanding.
Food price changes 1: corn purchase will show a trend of stabilizing before rising;
Lao Dao said: With the full start of the autumn harvest this year, the corn in the new area of Northeast China has ushered in a high-opening scale price, but the high-opening scale price will not continue to increase, and even some deep processing enterprises will directly offer high prices to buy corn grain sources as much as possible to avoid the passive risks brought by the later corn price increase.
Judging from the listing scale of corn this year, the total listing scale of corn in Northeast China has decreased compared with 20021year.
Therefore, in the course of time, the mechanism of excellent grain and good price will play a more important role.
In the process of adjusting the relationship between supply and demand in the market, corn prices will show a new price increase.
Laodao has great expectations for the corn price increase in Northeast China this year, and the high price of corn is likely to reach 1.5 yuan per catty.
Food price change 2: soybean prices will get stronger regulatory protection this year;
Lao Dao said: Since the beginning of today, the "Grain Planting Strategy" formulated by the state has clearly proposed to encourage soybean planting, and the northeast region has also undertaken a considerable part of the soybean planting expansion task.
Judging from this year's subsidy policy, it is not difficult to find that the state and local governments have formulated a series of subsidy schemes for the cultivation of soybean industry.
Compared with previous years, the planting scale in Northeast China has been greatly improved. If the income from planting soybeans by farmer Lao Tie is unstable this year, who will be willing to plant soybeans in 2023? Therefore, the policy's regulation and protection for the old iron will continue to increase.
Food price change 3: corn and soybean prices will rise moderately, but they will not soar;
Lao Dao said: regarding the market trend of corn and soybean in Northeast China in the future, Lao Dao still thinks that the price of corn in Northeast China will rise moderately, but the price increase will not get out of control.
Although some opinions are very loud, the price increase of grain will affect the whole body, but I think the advantages of moderate price increase outweigh the disadvantages.
Judging from the long-term trend, I think that the favorable food prices in Northeast China exist objectively, and the old irons can sell food in an orderly manner according to their own planting conditions.
(For reference only)
2022 is a crucial year to comprehensively promote rural revitalization. Laodao firmly believes that with the guarantee of various national policies to support farmers, the planting income of farmers will surely be further improved.
Here, I also urge all the old irons to click on the lower right corner at the end of the article and praise the country's food price control policy together.