First of all, the rise in pork prices is not a good thing, and it will definitely be unacceptable to consumers, so the rise in pork prices will have a certain impact on life. Before the outbreak of the epidemic, the price of pork was around 15 yuan every year, but with the outbreak of the epidemic, the price of pork rose to a catty in 25 yuan this year. Many people predict that the price of pork may rise to 25 yuan per catty by the end of this year. Is it true?
The price of pork is rising because pig farmers are constantly reducing the number of live pigs, especially in the northern region, where a large number of live pigs are free-range. These pig farmers have reduced the number of live pigs, which has led to an oversupply of pork in the market.
So in September this year, the price of pork dropped, and the price of pork was around 3 yuan per catty. Although the price of pork has declined, it is still not a small impact.
it is not unreasonable that the decline in pork prices will make consumers unacceptable and lead to the decline in pork prices in the market.
First, the cost of raising pigs has increased
From the perspective of breeding costs, the cost of raising pigs has increased substantially this year. According to statistics, the cost of raising pigs is about 2 yuan per pig, which means that each pig needs the cost of 3 yuan.
Moreover, the price of pigs is relatively high this year, and the price of pig feed has also increased substantially. Now, the price of pig feed is more than one ton in 1 yuan. These costs will lead to an increase in the cost of raising pigs, and the growth rate of pigs will slow down, resulting in an increase in the sales price of pork.
however, the growth cycle of pigs is long, and they can be released after 18 days, which means that a pig can be sold to 2 yuan, and if the price of pork drops to 3 yuan per catty at this time, it can be sold.
Compared with last year, the price of such live pigs has increased by more than 4 yuan. If you can't sell it or the delivery rate is low, you can only lose money. Of course, there are still many places under construction in the market, so the price of pork will rise.
second, the decline in pork prices is also a positive for farmers.
After the price of pork fell in September, many pig farmers began to increase the number of live pigs, which led to an oversupply of pork. At this time, after the price of pork drops, the price of pork will be relieved to a certain extent, so although the price of pork has dropped, it still belongs to a relatively low level.
Moreover, after the price of pork drops, some pork consumption will shrink in the market, and after the price drops, these pork will increase, which can meet people's demand for pork. Moreover, pork itself contains a certain amount of fat, which is also relatively low, and pork tastes more chewy. The price of pork will be relatively low.
so at this time, the price of pork will drop by a part. If consumers can't accept it, naturally there is no desire to buy pigs. When the production of live pigs is reduced, the price of pork will fall, and the price of pork will further reduce the demand of consumers for pork, and the price will naturally fall.
Third, the reduction of the cost of raising pigs will reduce the proportion of pork consumption demand.
as we all know, price is the most important factor for pigs. In the first half of 22, many pig farmers withdrew from the pig industry, so many pig sources were concentrated in the northern region, which led to the oversupply of pork in the market, the price began to decline, and the price of pork also showed a downward trend.
In the past, people raised pigs in many rural areas, but what should we do if the supply of pork is still insufficient? Only by continuing to raise pigs, can we only sell pigs in pigsty all the time. Although the price of pork has increased, there is still an oversupply situation, so the price of pork will drop, but the consumption will not increase.
In this way, the price of pigs will not keep rising, because pig farmers will continue to reduce the cost of pig breeding and the price of pork, so as to reduce the breeding cost and improve the production efficiency. However, the decline in pork prices will make consumers get some compensation in pork consumption.