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Urea in some areas is raised to 50 yuan! Will it go up again? Late urea market forecast in April 2022
Today is the solar term in Grain Rain. At this time, farming is busy, and it is a busy period for vegetable sowing and rice transplanting. As an essential fertilizer, urea is in great demand. Changes in general demand will drive up the price, so the price of urea in some areas has risen again. Judging from the current data, the price of urea in various parts of China is generally different, and some areas have slightly increased, with the increase ranging from 10-50 yuan per ton.

So in which areas has the price of urea increased? How much is the price of urea now? Will it go up later? For these issues that everyone cares about, let's take a look at the trend forecast of urea price in 2022.

How much has the price of urea increased?

At present, the price of urea has been raised again, with the increase ranging from 10-50 yuan per ton.

In which 10-20 yuan per ton is raised in Henan, 20 yuan per ton in Anhui, 20 yuan per ton in some areas of Shanxi, 30 yuan per ton in Shaanxi, 50 yuan per ton in Yunnan, 30 yuan per ton in Sichuan, 20 yuan per ton in Heilongjiang, 30 yuan per ton in Liaoning and 20-50 yuan/ton in Xinjiang.

The areas where urea prices are temporarily stable are Hebei, Jiangsu, Inner Mongolia, Jiangxi, Hunan, Guangdong, Fujian and Guizhou.

At present, the lowest ex-factory price of urea in the domestic market is in Northwest China, and the highest is in Guangdong and Guangxi. The ex-factory price of urea in Guangdong and Guangxi is basically above 3,000 yuan/ton.

How much is the price of urea now?

1, mainstream quotation

The factory turnover of small and medium-sized particles in Shandong is 2870-2930 yuan/ton, the factory quotation of small and medium-sized particles in Henan is about 2870-2890 yuan/ton, that of small particles in Hebei is about 2940-2960 yuan/ton, that of small particles in Anhui is about 2940-2980 yuan/ton, and that of small and medium-sized particles in Jiangsu is about 2950-2980 yuan. The price of small and medium-sized particles in Tieling market in Liaoning province is 3000-3060 yuan/ton, the price of small-sized urea market in Heilongjiang province is about 3 130-3 170 yuan/ton, and the mainstream wholesale price of small and medium-sized particles market in Guangxi is about 3 160-3 180 yuan/ton. The wholesale price of small and medium-sized particles in Guangdong is about 3080-3 100 yuan/ton, the ex-factory price of small particles in Guizhou is about 2860-2900 yuan/ton, and the ex-factory price of small particles in Xinjiang is about 2500-2620 yuan/ton.

2. Wholesale price

According to the wholesale price supplied by Huinong. com, at present, the wholesale price of urea in tianqiao district, Jinan City, Shandong Province is 3,050 yuan/ton, in Huazhou District, Weinan City, Shaanxi Province is 31ton, in Jinchuan District, Jinchang City, Gansu Province is 2,900 yuan/ton, in Wudi County, Binzhou City, Shandong Province is 2,690 yuan/ton, and in Jiangnan District, Nanning City, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region is 31ton. The wholesale price of urea in yingshan county City, Huanggang City, Hubei Province is 2650 yuan/ton, that in gongyi city City, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province is 2500 yuan/ton, that in Yumen City, Jiuquan City, Gansu Province is 2340 yuan/ton, that in Xiangfen County, Linfen City, Shanxi Province is 2850 yuan/ton, and that in Zizhong County, Neijiang City, Sichuan Province is 3050 yuan/ton.

Note: The specific price of urea is influenced by the place of origin and other factors. The specific price is subject to local conditions, and this price is for reference only!

Will the price of urea rise again in April?

According to the season and demand, it is unlikely that the price of urea will rise sharply in April, but it is also difficult to have a sharp drop. In April, the domestic urea market will fluctuate within a narrow range in the short term. Overall, the price will rise slightly.

The main factors are these:

1, spring ploughing in the north is postponed

This year, the temperature in the north is lower than in previous years, and the sowing in spring ploughing is somewhat delayed. The fertilizer used in spring ploughing in the northeast is expected to be delayed for half a month, and it will probably be used around May Day. Therefore, the demand for urea will only increase from April to May, and the price will hardly fall.

2. Transportation is blocked

At present, the epidemic situation is spreading in China. Due to the strict influence of the epidemic situation, once the yellow code is assigned, drivers are forced to be isolated, which leads to the recent increase in the freight rate of automobile transportation. There are very few foreign transportation vehicles, the transportation pressure is great, the outward transportation of automobile transportation is blocked, and the overall transportation is not smooth, so the supply and demand are unbalanced and the price of urea remains high.

3. The demand for compound fertilizer is large.

April compound fertilizer is not only the peak period of spring ploughing in the north, but also the initial period of preparing fertilizer in summer. Many dealers in many areas have prepared fertilizer for summer, and the demand for compound fertilizer is large in the market. Urea is one of the raw materials of compound fertilizer. As the demand for compound fertilizer rises, the demand for urea will also increase.

To sum up, this is all the contents of the analysis of the latest urea price market. For the market outlook, the insiders believe that the late stage is still the peak season for urea demand. From the agricultural point of view, the return of green fertilizer in the north is basically over at the end of April, but April-May is the topdressing period for early rice in the south, and the application of fertilizer in spring ploughing is postponed in the northeast due to epidemic situation and temperature, or it is postponed to mid-May, and in June, it is also the topdressing period in the north.

However, the specific price of urea will go up or down, which is influenced by many factors, such as production volume, international urea price and so on. The price will continue to fluctuate. I suggest you collect more market information and choose the opportunity to sell or buy.