After the pig price has been bottoming out for half a month, the pig market is finally on the rise, and farmers finally see hope of making a return.

According to usual, the main reason for the rise in pig prices is the lack of pigs, but judging from the slaughter volume of slaughterhouses, the market is not short of pigs. So what is the reason for the rise in pig prices this time? The slaughterhouse owner's words were too direct.

For details, please see the specific analysis:

1. Analysis of local market conditions:

Today, the national pig price is mainly rising, and the phenomenon of slaughterhouses continuing to raise prices to collect pigs increase.

However, due to a slight increase in the number of large-scale slaughterhouses in some areas, the price increase by butchers has narrowed.

Looking at different regions:

The price of pigs in the northern region mainly increased.

The price of Sanyuan pigs outside Heilongjiang increased by 0.1 yuan/jin, with the mainstream price at 5.5-6.0 yuan/jin; Jilin was stable, with the mainstream price at 5.5-6.0 yuan/jin; Liaoning increased by 0.1 yuan/jin, with the mainstream price at 5.7- 6.2 yuan/jin.

Epidemic prevention and control still continues to affect the transportation of live pigs, but terminal white bars are unable to follow the rise, and there is insufficient motivation for the continued rise in pig prices.

Pork prices in the southern region continue to rise.

The price of Sanyuan pigs in Chongqing increased by 0.1 yuan/jin, and the mainstream price was 6.1-6.5 yuan/jin; in Sichuan, it increased by 0.1 yuan/jin, and the mainstream price was 6.2-6.6 yuan/jin; in Yunnan, it increased by 0.1 yuan/jin. The mainstream price is 5.6-6.0 yuan/jin; in Guizhou, it has increased by 0.1 yuan/jin, and the mainstream price is 6.0-6.4 yuan/jin.

At the end of the month, the slaughter volume of large-scale farms decreased, and the periodic tight supply of live pigs supported the rise in pig prices.

2. Baitiao and pork price data information

According to official statistics.

The average price of pork in the national agricultural wholesale market on the 31st was 18.25 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.8% from yesterday.

The wholesale price of white bars in the national wholesale market showed a trend of stabilization and decline.

The concentrated stocking up of goods in some regions is coming to an end, the overall performance on the demand side is flat, and the sales situation of Baitiao has not improved yet.

Beijing Xinfadi rear hip tip is 7.5-8.5 yuan/jin, up 0.5 yuan/jin from yesterday; pork belly is 10.0-12.0 yuan/jin, with the highest price being 12.5 yuan/jin.

3. Progress of pig futures:

On March 31, the opening price of the main pig futures contract was 12,900 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 13,005 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.66%.

The settlement price is 13,025 yuan/ton.

4. Outlook on the market outlook

Judging from the feedback from slaughterhouses, the rise in pig prices in recent days is mainly due to farmers being reluctant to sell at high prices, and large-scale farms taking the lead in raising prices.

According to official data, the current pig production capacity is still higher than the normal storage capacity, and the reduction of production capacity is lower than expected.

The recent reluctance to sell pigs may increase the number of live pigs slaughtered in April.

In the later period, it is necessary to collect the pig slaughter pressure from April to May.

It is recommended to wait and see in recent months.

丨Source: Zhinongtong Quotebao丨Original author: Li Haiyan

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