According to the data, in the domestic egg market, although, near the Dragon Boat Festival market bullish mood, after all, according to the experience of previous years, the end of the market has the enthusiasm of stocking up, and food enterprises also have a certain demand for replenishment, in the demand side of the support, in previous years before the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, egg prices have a tendency to rise in the performance.
But, from the current domestic egg market, production and marketing areas, egg prices "slammed down", due to the consumer market, egg arrivals, however, the consumer market is poor, the breeding side of the shipment of higher emotions, traders pressure on the price of the mood to thick, the domestic production and marketing market, egg prices sideways decline, of which, Beijing, as well as some of the Guangdong Wholesale market fell about 0.15 yuan / catty, Beijing wholesale market egg prices fell back to 4.5 ~ 4.7 yuan / catty! And in the main egg-producing areas, Hebei, Shandong, Henan and Jiangsu, Anhui region, the farm hoarding mood is not high, by the number of new laying hens increased, the risk of moldy eggs rebound, the production area of the farmers fell out of the warehouse phenomenon increased, more egg prices fell back 0.1 ~ 0.15 yuan / catty, Shandong market egg prices generally fell to 4.6 ~ 4.7 yuan / catty or so!
Now, the egg price by the lack of consumer support, farms hoarding deviation, the market slippery slope lower, and for the hog market, at present, pig prices show a strong trend of shock, but, pig prices are still "vindictive" the risk of falling, however, I personally believe that the basis of the decline in the price of pigs before the festival is weak, after the festival or a significant fall! The process!
At present, the average price of domestic hogs hovering at 7.93 yuan / kg, the average price of hogs is about to rise above 8 yuan / kg, 5,000 tons of pork on May 26 storage opened, May 27 will still be 35,000 tons of storage, although the probability of pork storage continue to continue the performance of the abortion of the more, however, this is for the market sentiment has a certain support! At present, the domestic hog supply continues to tight pattern, the market shortage of pigs, slaughterhouse price support weak, pig prices may continue to oscillate strong expectations.
However, although the current price of hogs is about to "break 8", but, during the year, corn and soybean meal prices rose too fast, in which the price of corn rose 6.5% or so during the year, while the soybean meal quotes, although showing a high fall performance, but, by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the international price of food rose, at present, the soybean meal quotes during the year is still up! 20.3%! Domestic feed costs remain high, although the price of hogs oscillated upward, however, the level of profitability of farmers is a concern, the first five months of the domestic hogs generally show a loss of performance, while the recent farmers have a weak profit, but, from the overall profitability there is still a certain gap!
So, supported by the breeding end of the bullish mood, the short-term hog supply shrinkage, superimposed on the pork storage for the market bullish mood, superimposed on the domestic hog futures as well as piglet prices stronger, the breeding end of the price of the mood is not reduced, pig prices may continue to moderate upward trend!
But, as pig prices gradually surged higher 8 yuan / kg, the market will be divided out of the mood, in particular, the second fattening out of the gradual increase in the number of retail hog farms press bar for a long time, the weight of hogs continue to increase, the mood of the barn or will rebound, and the lack of effective support for the consumer market, in the domestic hog market supply and demand for weak fundamentals are difficult to improve the hog prices will be obviously insufficient room to rise, the market is vindictive! The risk of decline!
Individual prediction, at the end of May and early June, the pig slaughter into the gap period, superimposed on the Dragon Boat Festival holiday and pork storage benefits, pig prices or will continue to fluctuate in the trend of strong, pig prices or will rise above 8 yuan / catty, but, after the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, the scale of the pig enterprises are one after another high out of the fence, farmers out of the fence mood rebound, the market large weight hogs impact on the market, in the consumption of support is limited, the price of pigs or will be slippery slope down! It is expected that in June pig prices or will show a weak pattern of shocks, but, into the end of June, pig prices or will rebound again, the market short-term sideways sideways 8 yuan / catty, after entering the 3 quarter, with the weakening of the pressure of pig slaughter, pig prices or have a step by step climb performance, the breeding side will also be a full reversal of losses to profits!
The Dragon Boat Festival is approaching, the egg price slammed "down", pig prices to "retaliatory" fall? Predictions are coming! In this regard, how do you think? The above is the author's personal views, pictures from the network!