In recent times, with the increase in the number of people around the "Yang Kang", the consumer market has recovered, chicken prices, pig prices, sheep prices have different changes.

Chicken prices rose 1 yuan in 3 days, fast large class, medium-speed class and slow class of national chicken rose across the board, pig prices fell to a "new low", sheep prices remain sluggish, farmers losses increased.

Gasoline prices also entered the upward "new channel".

One, chicken prices rose a dollar in three days

It is reported that the fast big categories of national chicken bottomed out at the end of December after the overall rapid rise in recent days, three days rose more than 1 yuan, the national average price rose to 5.77 yuan.

The medium-speed category of national chicken rose to 6.09 yuan, back to the break-even point.

The average price of slow category national chicken rose to 7.28 yuan.

The bottoming out of the national chicken price rebound, one is because with the end of the peak of infection around the "Yangkang" people gradually increased, the overall consumption around the good, pulling the price of the rebound.

Rather, the medium-speed category, fast and large categories of national chicken fell below the cost line, the breeding end of the loss intensified, the head of the enterprise in order to turn a loss into a profit, seize the opportunity to improve consumption to pull up the price of chicken.

Three is because after the return of Yangkang personnel, the production of slaughtering enterprises one after another to resume, driving the breeding end of the sales and chicken prices.

Fourth, the arrival of New Year's Day and the approach of the Spring Festival, the market poultry trading volume rose from the previous year.

However, for the subsequent chicken prices, the industry is generally not optimistic.

Some organizations said that the current market supply of chicken is still high, although some areas of the infection peak has passed, but more areas have not yet entered the peak of the expected retaliatory consumption is difficult to appear, just pulled up the chicken price is still the risk of retracement.

The head of the live poultry wholesale market said the broiler consumer market is expected to need to wait until after the end of the infection peak, enterprises to resume work, students to start school before the recovery, the chicken price of a complete reversal will need to wait until March 2023, or even the Qingming Festival.

The head of the Guangdong chicken sales company also said, considering the impact of the aftermath of the epidemic, the market will also have to consume the previous backlog of production capacity, the improvement of chicken prices will need to wait until March 2023," he said.

Second, pig prices fell to a "new low"

Pig prices after a few days of retracement, the previous increase has not only been completely "spit", and even fell to a new low.

The national average price of hogs fell to 8.225 yuan, specific to each region, in which the price of hogs in East China fell to 7.9-8.7 yuan, central China hogs fell to 7.7-8.4 yuan, South China hogs fell to 8.1-9.7 yuan, North China hogs fell to 7.7-8.3 yuan, Northeast China hogs fell to 7.408 yuan, Southwest China hogs fell to 7.3-8.4 yuan.

The continuous fall of hog prices can not be separated from so many logics:

1, after the liberalization of the epidemic around the world, the number of infected people is increasing, and the market demand for hog consumption is not increasing but decreasing.

2, the breeding end of the big fat is still stocked, with the approach of the Spring Festival, the breeding end of the pig willingness to strengthen, pig prices under pressure.

3, the end of pickling demand, consumption support weakened.

4, the increase in the number of people living at home, residents' income is affected, consumers are shy, pork consumption is less than expected.

According to pig vendors, the current slaughtering enterprise big fat plan is less, the market standard pig is not a shortage, the current price of the standard pig in 8-8.2 yuan, the price of big fat in 7.2-7.3 yuan, big fat and standard pig price difference of about 1 yuan, indicating that the market is not a shortage of big fat, the short-term price of pigs is expected to continue to fall.

For pig prices in 2023, some institutions analyze that the current persistent downturn in pig prices will help stimulate the breeding side to accelerate the pigs, but also to a certain extent will inhibit the further recovery of production capacity, the second quarter after the Spring Festival, the increase in the number of people all over the Yangkang, the market is expected to be a retaliatory consumption after the stabilization of the epidemic, superimposed on the students started school, the enterprises back to work, the price of pigs has the hope of a change in the previous year's The price of hogs will hopefully change from the previous year's downturn and usher in a rising market.

To the third quarter, pork consumption continues to be good, superimposed on the third quarter corresponding to the sow production capacity is the current state of depression, pig prices are expected to rise further.

Comprehensive analysis, it is expected that the pig price in 2023 is hopefully better than the pig price in 2022.

Three, sheep prices fell terrific

According to statistics, the current Hebei Tangxian small-tailed cold sheep string 12/catty, fine wool sheep string 12.3 yuan/catty, Xinmin sheep 12.6/catty, Henan Anyang sheep elimination of ewes 11 yuan/catty, Shandong Yannwo small-tailed cold sheep string 12.1 yuan/catty, fine wool sheep string 12 yuan/catty, Xinmin sheep 13.3/catty.

Anhui Huiyang fattening lake sheep 16 yuan/catty.

This year's live sheep prices compared to the same period last year, the overall to be lower 8-10 yuan / catty, sheep prices downturn, a fall, one because before the relatively high profits of sheep, the market capacity of sheep significantly increased, the supply of mutton at a high level.

Two is because the current price of lamb remains at forty or fifty a catty, while pork prices are only sixteen or seventeen yuan a catty, pork price advantage is obvious, lamb consumption has been hit.

Three because of the impact of the epidemic, the end of the catering consumer demand continues to be sluggish, sheep price support is limited.

From the point of view of the current supply and demand situation, before the Spring Festival, the supply and demand relationship between sheep prices is difficult to change, sheep prices are more difficult to rise.

But after the Spring Festival, lamb consumption is hopeful that with the resumption of work by enterprises, as well as the end of the epidemic infection around the peak of the retaliatory consumption stimulated by the obvious rise, the original industry is expected to rebound in sheep prices in May and June there is hope that the advance to 2023 in March and April.

Four, oil prices "up again"

I believe we have seen the oil prices to rise in news reports, according to the current oil price formation mechanism, January 3, 24:00, the domestic retail limit price of refined oil products will be opened in 2023 the first time to adjust, and it is "! Out of the blue", the first adjustment will be ushered in a rise.

According to institutional calculations, as of December 30, the ninth working day, the average price of reference crude oil is 79.46 U.S. dollars / barrel, the integrated rate of change of 3.51%, corresponding to the domestic retail price of diesel will be increased by 240 yuan / ton.

The rise in oil prices is mainly due to several logics:

1, near the end of the year, the infection peaks around the end of one after another, the increase in the number of people returning to their hometowns, the demand for gasoline is good.

2, the United States announced the buyback of strategic oil reserves.

3. Extreme weather affects U.S. oil production.

4, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories fell.

While international crude oil prices continue to rise, several market organizations believe that a possible epidemic rebound and recession in early 2023 will put more pressure on oil prices in early 2023.

But we shouldn't get our hopes up too much for oil prices in 2023, which, judging from the current market, are likely to remain high.