From the last two days of the piglet market, piglet prices have fallen for two consecutive days, and the single-day drop is not low, a total of 1.09 yuan/kg, a drop of 2.5%.
We look at the historical data, generally rising pig prices, piglet prices will follow the rise, the two trends are highly positively correlated, but now pig prices are still firm, piglet prices have begun to fall back!
Specifically, we first look at today's 15 kg piglet prices in major provinces and cities:
Shandong Province, 15 kg ternary piglet price mainstream price of 600-900 yuan / head; Jilin Province, 15 kg piglet price mainstream price of 600-850 yuan / head; Henan Province, Zhejiang Province, 15 kg ternary piglet price mainstream price of 700-1000 yuan / head; Hubei Province, 15 kg ternary piglet price mainstream price of 700-1000 yuan / head. The mainstream price of 15 kilograms of foreign three yuan piglet price of 650-825 yuan / head; Guangdong Province, 15 kilograms of foreign three yuan piglet price mainstream price of 600 yuan / head.
#Piglet price#
From the above several provinces and cities of piglet offer, the last two days piglet price than the previous two days fell back 50-100 yuan / head, the recent 15 kg piglet transaction market cooled down significantly, and even local piglet transaction price fell below 600 yuan / head.
The trend of piglet prices generally represents the farmers' view of the market, bullish on the market naturally fill the high enthusiasm, not bullish on the market naturally fill the poor enthusiasm.
Farmers if this time to fill the fence, corresponding to the second half of the November-December hog market, according to reason, November-December is the peak season of pork consumption, the pig price has a certain support, but the enthusiasm of the farmers to fill the fence recedes, indicating that farmers are cautious about the end of the market.
We analyze from the point of view of the breeding sows, the current breeding sows are still 41.92 million, and since 2022 has been in the normal retention of more than 41 million, which also indicates that the next 10 months of hog supply is still in a state of abundance.
And under the influence of the change in the consumption structure of the population and the epidemic, the overall consumption of pork in the second half of the year is still full of great uncertainty, which affects the farmers' judgment of the market.
Additionally, although the price of hogs is rising more violently, but the end consumption of pork prices have not risen much, the hot climate in the north, the south of the rain and not conducive to the growth of the end consumption, the price of pigs still need to support the end consumption.
And the supply side of the second fattening and other speculative behavior, the slaughterhouse is currently a serious loss, the start rate is low.
All in all, from the current breeding sows in the stock and the second half of the market forecast to judge the two aspects, some farmers have reduced the enthusiasm for piglet restocking, indicating that there has been a part of the farmers have been cautious about the second half of the price of pigs, from the piglet price trend, piglet prices are expected to have a short-term and not a big increase to vibration run-based.
What do you think?