What will the price of garlic be in 20 13 years? Thanks.
The price war of garlic has been going on for many years. "Garlic is cruel" and "Garlic is cheap" are mutually offensive and defensive, and the price of garlic has soared and plummeted in turn. By 20 12, garlic farmers and garlic merchants have become familiar with each other's cards. As a result, the war has entered a stalemate stage. The result of the game between the two sides did not tell the winner or loser. The entanglement of 20 12 years has laid an important foreshadowing for 20 13 years: both high prices and low prices have lost market support, and in 20 13 years, garlic may be more terrible unsalable than skyrocketing. Where does "garlic you are malicious" come from? Where will "garlic you bitch" go? What enlightenment will this garlic price war bring to the market in 20 13 years? How to weigh the price of garlic field war is entangled. Compared with previous years, the time for garlic storage this year has been delayed by more than half a month. August 6th was the day when Guo Xiang, a garlic farmer, sold the last batch of garlic. 2.6 yuan, this is the transaction price after several games. 1200 yuan, this is the loss of Guo Xiang per mu of land. 300,000 tons, which is the current inventory gap in jinxiang garlic. Jinxiang, Shandong Province is a famous hometown of garlic in China. Many garlic farmers, like Guo Xiang, accepted a compromise price after weighing the left and right. Compared with previous years, this year, jinxiang garlic not only delayed the warehousing time by half a month, but also showed a shortage of warehousing. The reason lies in the painful game between garlic farmers and garlic merchants, which is quite "tangled". The pain of garlic farmers lies in watching the price of garlic drop from 4 yuan per catty to less than 3 yuan today. The reality is cruel: once garlic germinates, it will be sold without bidding, and sooner or later it will have to be sold to a storer for refrigeration. The closer the warehousing deadline is, the more meaningless it is to insist on high prices. It is only a matter of time before you choose to compromise, otherwise you can only lose more. Surprisingly, the garlic merchants who took the initiative did not feel that they took advantage. The market is sluggish and the demand is not strong. In the eyes of garlic merchants, even the lowest price in the eyes of this garlic farmer still means risk. It is this concern that garlic merchants are not in a hurry to buy garlic on the market before the deadline approaches. Liu Yu, a garlic merchant in Beijing Xinfadi Market, said: "This price is also the result of compromise for us. After all, we can't let ourselves run out of goods before May next year." The garlic market in 20 12 entered the closing stage in such a depressing atmosphere, which also wrote a new stroke in the history of garlic price fluctuation. From the golden age to the crash era, the word "garlic is cruel" came from 20 10, and "garlic is cheap" came from the crash of garlic market in 201/0. But before that, the sharp rise and fall of garlic prices was nothing new. In 2005, the price of garlic rose to a record high. The wholesale price per kilogram was around 7 yuan, and the retail price in supermarkets was around 12 yuan/kg. At the beginning of 2006, due to the increase in export volume and other reasons, the price of new garlic did not fall back until it was listed. At the end of 2006, the price of garlic rose rapidly again, and the price was close to 5 yuan per kilogram. At that time, the market was "prosperous in supply and marketing", and the huge international and domestic market demand pushed the price of garlic all the way up. Garlic was not only expensive but also easy to sell. This period was also regarded as the "golden age" of the garlic market. However, the good times did not last long. In 2007, the price of garlic in the market began to fall, and it fell to 3 yuan per kilogram in May, while the price of new garlic dropped to around 1.5 yuan per kilogram after listing. By the end of 2007, the garlic market had exceeded demand. Fortunately, at that time, there was a great demand for garlic, and the price of garlic was stable at around 1.9 yuan per kilogram. After the new garlic went on the market in 2008, the price of garlic could no longer be "calm". The garlic market completely collapsed, and the price dropped to 0.5 yuan per kilogram. Garlic farmers entered an embarrassing situation of "losing more", and many garlic farmers gave up planting garlic. Due to the decline in output. At the end of 2008, the garlic market began to rise. After the spring of 2009, the price of garlic began to rise. Due to the large reduction of garlic planting area in recent years, the output declined. In 2009 10, the price of garlic began to rise, rising to about 7 yuan per kilogram. The upward trend of garlic price continued to 20 10 years. After the spring of 20 10, the highest price of garlic market reached about 8 yuan per kilogram, and reached the highest price per kilogram 12 yuan in 10. At this time, the soaring garlic price has already attracted the attention of the media, and the brand of "Garlic You Are Malicious" has also begun to ring in the newly emerging Weibo. And some more farsighted reporters boldly predicted as early as the end of 2009: 20 1 1, garlic collapsed! 20 1 1 year, "garlic is cheap" came as scheduled, but no one expected it to come so quickly. In June, 20 1 1, new garlic was put on the market. 20 1 1 year is a "big year"; Encouraged by the market in 20 10, the planting area of garlic producing areas has increased; On the other hand, the weather is suitable for garlic growth. The combination of several factors greatly increased the output of garlic in that year. The supply of garlic exceeded demand overnight, the price plummeted, and even a large area of unsalable sales occurred. A large number of garlic farmers "had no way to sell garlic" and even abandoned and destroyed garlic. The general price increase of grain and oil will gradually increase the cost of growing garlic. At this time, garlic farmers have been pushed to the wall by the rising cost. However, the market is ruthless. Until the end of 20 1 1 or even the beginning of 20 12, the depressed garlic price didn't even give garlic farmers a chance to return their money.